Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USLV: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $19.0100 (1.14%) ($18.2101 - $19.2400) on Thu. Mar. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.53% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $19.0100(1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV declines -4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(17%)    GLD(15%)    SIL(13%)    GDX(12%)    BWX(8%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -2.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-7%)    TBT(-3%)    VIXM(-1%)    XLK(-0%)    XBI(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.765% (StdDev 5.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.92(6.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.77(6.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.85(0.85%)
To recent high   -36.9%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 6.95% (three month std-dev: 5.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150419

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_19_2015	21.88	18.85	17.77	17.92			19.01(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	7	-50	0.33	44%	-0.36	-65.3	5.53%	0	0.1	35	0
2	Mar_18_2015	21.96	18.9	17.79	17.56			18.8(9.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	-10000	8	-68	0.61	44%	-0.41	-76.1	5.53%	0	-0.1	34	0
3	Mar_17_2015	22.05	18.98	17.83	17.19			17.12(-1.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-25	-10000	-2	-93	0.17	40%	-0.5	-86.6	5.4%	0	-1.3	14	0
4	Mar_16_2015	22.16	19.17	18.07	17.28			17.43(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-10000	-2	-91	0.28	37%	-0.45	-95.1	5.4%	0	-1.3	32	0
5	Mar_13_2015	22.26	19.49	18.33	17.39			17.22(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-4	-83	0.21	34%	-0.49	-72.7	5.76%	0	-1.4	28	0

6	Mar_12_2015	22.37	19.74	18.69	17.6			17.24(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-9	-74	0.25	34%	-0.49	-75.1	5.81%	0	-1.5	32	0
7	Mar_11_2015	22.48	19.99	19.04	18.06			16.93(-3.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-9	-60	0.71	34%	-0.53	-77.3	5.8%	0	-1.9	26	0
8	Mar_10_2015	22.6	20.28	19.43	18.56			17.6(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-8	-45	0.38	34%	-0.53	-78.5	5.79%	0	-1.7	28	0
9	Mar_9_2015	22.72	20.56	19.66	18.98			17.98(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-7	-38	0.28	38%	-0.44	-76.3	5.78%	0	-1.7	27	0
10	Mar_6_2015	22.82	20.77	19.88	19.4			18.25(-6.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-18	-10000	-9	-45	1.02	38%	-0.48	-81.4	5.94%	0	-1.8	18	0

11	Mar_5_2015	22.93	21.07	20.05	19.93			19.53(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-4	-40	0.19	40%	-0.39	-65.2	5.93%	0	-1	37	0
12	Mar_4_2015	23.02	21.32	20.14	20.18			19.44(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-4	-42	0.28	40%	-0.43	-65	5.94%	0	-1.2	38	0
13	Mar_3_2015	23.12	21.56	20.25	20.44			19.7(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-0	-43	0.46	40%	-0.39	-70.2	5.94%	0	-1.1	36	0
14	Mar_2_2015	23.21	21.78	20.36	20.45			20.1(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	0	-53	0.2	40%	-0.39	-79.3	5.94%	0	-1	36	0
15	Feb_27_2015	23.3	21.98	20.73	20.43			20.87(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	4	-38	0.28	42%	-0.3	-91.3	6.78%	0	-0.6	46	0

16	Feb_26_2015	23.37	22.09	20.85	20.19			20.8(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	1	-52	0.24	42%	-0.34	-111.9	6.84%	0	-0.8	36	0
17	Feb_25_2015	23.45	22.44	20.98	20.1			20.75(5.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-10000	1	-63	0.48	42%	-0.3	-94.3	6.85%	0	-0.8	36	0
18	Feb_24_2015	23.52	22.81	21.15	20.05			19.71(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-3	-72	0.64	42%	-0.38	-81.5	6.83%	0	-1.3	33	0
19	Feb_23_2015	23.61	23.2	21.49	20.28			20(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-11	-74	0.49	42%	-0.25	-76.3	6.83%	0	-1.3	35	0
20	Feb_20_2015	23.67	23.68	21.71	21.09			19.7(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-7	-64	0.55	42%	-0.34	-54.9	6.84%	0	-1.4	33	0

21	Feb_19_2015	23.75	24.19	22.18	21.61			20.33(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-5	-49	0.58	42%	-0.34	-38.8	6.84%	0	-1.3	42	0
22	Feb_18_2015	23.83	24.62	22.62	21.97			20.52(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-5	-53	0.69	42%	-0.25	-28.8	6.84%	0	-1.4	30	0
23	Feb_17_2015	23.89	25	23.01	22.39			20.85(-13.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-6	-59	1.51	42%	-0.62	-17.5	6.84%	0	-1.5	30	0
24	Feb_13_2015	24.04	25.32	23.01	22.85			24.06(7.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	5	-58	0.42	49%	-0.25	-5.7	6.76%	0	-0.5	40	0
25	Feb_12_2015	24.1	25.3	23.34	22.44			22.3(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10000	-6	-87	0.12	47%		-6.4	6.7%	0	-1.1	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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