Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 26, 2015

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $20.8000 (0.24%) ($20.7000 - $21.5700) on Thu. Feb. 26, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.84% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $20.8000(0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV declines -6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(18%)    GLD(15%)    SIL(13%)    GDX(12%)    BWX(8%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -3.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-7%)    TBT(-3%)    VIXM(-1%)    XLK(-0%)    XBI(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.42% (StdDev 6.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $6.25(-69.95%)
Resistance Level   $22.09
5 Day Moving Average   $20.19(3.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.85(-0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.09(-5.84%)
To recent high   -30.9%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 7.74% (three month std-dev: 6.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150326

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_26_2015	23.37	22.09	20.85	20.19			20.8(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	1	-52	0.24	42%	-0.34	-111.9	6.84%	0	-0.8	36	0
2	Feb_25_2015	23.45	22.44	20.98	20.1			20.75(5.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-10000	1	-63	0.48	42%	-0.3	-94.3	6.85%	0	-0.8	36	0
3	Feb_24_2015	23.52	22.81	21.15	20.05			19.71(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-3	-72	0.64	42%	-0.38	-81.5	6.83%	0	-1.3	33	0
4	Feb_23_2015	23.61	23.2	21.49	20.28			20(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-11	-74	0.49	42%	-0.25	-76.3	6.83%	0	-1.3	35	0
5	Feb_20_2015	23.67	23.68	21.71	21.09			19.7(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-7	-64	0.55	42%	-0.34	-54.9	6.84%	0	-1.4	33	0

6	Feb_19_2015	23.75	24.19	22.18	21.61			20.33(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-5	-49	0.58	42%	-0.34	-38.8	6.84%	0	-1.3	42	0
7	Feb_18_2015	23.83	24.62	22.62	21.97			20.52(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-5	-53	0.69	42%	-0.25	-28.8	6.84%	0	-1.4	30	0
8	Feb_17_2015	23.89	25	23.01	22.39			20.85(-13.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-6	-59	1.51	42%	-0.62	-17.5	6.84%	0	-1.5	30	0
9	Feb_13_2015	24.04	25.32	23.01	22.85			24.06(7.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	5	-58	0.42	49%	-0.25	-5.7	6.76%	0	-0.5	40	0
10	Feb_12_2015	24.1	25.3	23.34	22.44			22.3(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10000	-6	-87	0.12	47%	-0.33	-6.4	6.7%	0	-1.1	29	0

11	Feb_11_2015	24.18	25.38	23.43	22.88			22.13(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-7	-101	0.15	47%	-0.37	-0.2	6.7%	0	-1.2	27	0
12	Feb_10_2015	24.27	25.49	24.01	23.39			22.61(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10000	-4	-93	0.15	47%	-0.33	8.8	6.71%	0	-1.1	33	0
13	Feb_9_2015	24.35	25.51	24.58	23.73			23.15(5.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-2	-85	0.24	47%	-0.33	15.2	6.71%	0	-0.9	38	0
14	Feb_6_2015	24.43	25.47	25.03	23.9			22(-10.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-10000	-6	-82	0.8	48%	-0.53	20.9	6.72%	0	-1.3	39	0
15	Feb_5_2015	24.56	25.48	25.79	24.35			24.49(-0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-10000	4	-54	0.24	48%	-0.45	29.7	6.59%	0	-0.4	59	0

16	Feb_4_2015	24.67	25.38	26.33	24.06			24.71(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-10000	-8	-43	0.35	48%	-0.48	27.5	6.83%	0	-0.2	59	0
17	Feb_3_2015	24.79	25.27	26.75	24.75			24.32(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-10	-18	0.37	48%	-0.48	38.5	6.83%	0	-0.3	56	0
18	Feb_2_2015	24.91	25.12	27.14	25.62			23.97(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10000	-8	16	0.24	48%	-0.48	46.5	6.83%	0	-0.4	60	0
19	Jan_30_2015	25.03	24.92	27.47	26.36			24.27(5.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-12	45	0.47	44%	-0.48	50.5	6.88%	0	-0.2	63	0
20	Jan_29_2015	25.15	24.69	27.46	27.45			23.03(-18.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	8	-10000	-14	73	1.2	44%	-0.59	59.9	6.98%	0	-0.5	62	0

21	Jan_28_2015	25.3	24.63	27.57	28.86			28.17(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	-10000	-2	121	0.3	48%	-0.39	73.2	6.59%	0	1	73	0
22	Jan_27_2015	25.4	24.2	27.17	29.03			28.66(3.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	1	139	0.41	48%	-0.39	74.8	6.58%	0	1.2	75	0
23	Jan_26_2015	25.5	23.77	26.56	28.89			27.68(-6.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	39	-10000	2	150	0.49	48%	-0.47	75.1	6.57%	0	1.1	76	0
24	Jan_23_2015	25.62	23.36	25.99	28.73			29.69(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	-10000	14	170	0.39	50%	-0.35	75.4	6.51%	0	1.8	87	0
25	Jan_22_2015	25.71	22.82	25.15	27.46			30.12(3.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	51	-10000	16	156	0.63	48%		68.6	6.51%	0	2.2	89	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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