Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $24.0600 (7.89%) ($23.8100 - $24.7070) on Fri. Feb. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.76% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $24.0600(7.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV declines -6.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(18%)    GLD(15%)    SIL(13%)    GDX(12%)    BWX(8%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -3.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-8%)    TBT(-3%)    VIXM(-1%)    XLK(-0%)    XBI(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.38% (StdDev 6.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $3.9(-83.79%)
Resistance Level   $25.32
5 Day Moving Average   $22.85(5.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.34(3.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.32(-4.98%)
To recent high   -20.1%
To recent low   26.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 10.58% (three month std-dev: 6.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150313

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_13_2015	24.04	25.32		22.85			24.06(7.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	5	-58	0.42	49%	-0.25	-5.7	6.76%	0	-0.5	40	0
2	Feb_12_2015	24.1	25.3	23.34	22.44			22.3(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10000	-6	-87	0.12	47%	-0.33	-6.4	6.7%	0	-1.1	29	0
3	Feb_11_2015	24.18	25.38	23.43	22.88			22.13(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-7	-101	0.15	47%	-0.37	-0.2	6.7%	0	-1.2	27	0
4	Feb_10_2015	24.27	25.49	24.01	23.39			22.61(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10000	-4	-93	0.15	47%	-0.33	8.8	6.71%	0	-1.1	33	0
5	Feb_9_2015	24.35	25.51	24.58	23.73			23.15(5.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-2	-85	0.24	47%	-0.33	15.2	6.71%	0	-0.9	38	0

6	Feb_6_2015	24.43	25.47	25.03	23.9			22(-10.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-10000	-6	-82	0.8	48%	-0.53	20.9	6.72%	0	-1.3	39	0
7	Feb_5_2015	24.56	25.48	25.79	24.35			24.49(-0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-10000	4	-54	0.24	48%	-0.45	29.7	6.59%	0	-0.4	59	0
8	Feb_4_2015	24.67	25.38	26.33	24.06			24.71(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-10000	-8	-43	0.35	48%	-0.48	27.5	6.83%	0	-0.2	59	0
9	Feb_3_2015	24.79	25.27	26.75	24.75			24.32(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-10	-18	0.37	48%	-0.48	38.5	6.83%	0	-0.3	56	0
10	Feb_2_2015	24.91	25.12	27.14	25.62			23.97(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10000	-8	16	0.24	48%	-0.48	46.5	6.83%	0	-0.4	60	0

11	Jan_30_2015	25.03	24.92	27.47	26.36			24.27(5.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-12	45	0.47	44%	-0.48	50.5	6.88%	0	-0.2	63	0
12	Jan_29_2015	25.15	24.69	27.46	27.45			23.03(-18.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	8	-10000	-14	73	1.2	44%	-0.59	59.9	6.98%	0	-0.5	62	0
13	Jan_28_2015	25.3	24.63	27.57	28.86			28.17(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	-10000	-2	121	0.3	48%	-0.39	73.2	6.59%	0	1	73	0
14	Jan_27_2015	25.4	24.2	27.17	29.03			28.66(3.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	1	139	0.41	48%	-0.39	74.8	6.58%	0	1.2	75	0
15	Jan_26_2015	25.5	23.77	26.56	28.89			27.68(-6.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	39	-10000	2	150	0.49	48%	-0.47	75.1	6.57%	0	1.1	76	0

16	Jan_23_2015	25.62	23.36	25.99	28.73			29.69(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	-10000	14	170	0.39	50%	-0.35	75.4	6.51%	0	1.8	87	0
17	Jan_22_2015	25.71	22.82	25.15	27.46			30.12(3.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	51	-10000	16	156	0.63	48%	-0.35	68.6	6.51%	0	2.2	89	0
18	Jan_21_2015	25.8	22.24	24.32	26.08			28.99(3.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	-10000	12	128	0.77	48%	-0.39	59.5	6.54%	0	2.4	72	0
19	Jan_20_2015	25.9	21.79	23.58	25.06			27.97(3.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	42	-10000	15	121	0.7	49%	-0.54	48	6.53%	0	2.5	75	0
20	Jan_16_2015	26.04	21.37	22.84	23.92			26.9(15.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	35	-10000	14	98	0.9	49%	-0.57	30.5	6.47%	0	2.8	68	0

21	Jan_15_2015	26.19	20.98	22.06	22.88			23.3(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	6	74	0.56	45%	-0.68	3.6	6.17%	0	1.5	65	0
22	Jan_14_2015	26.37	20.78	21.64	22.47			23.22(-2.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	3	63	0.34	45%	-0.68	-20.8	6.17%	0	1.7	66	0
23	Jan_13_2015	26.55	20.66	21.43	22.25			23.93(7.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	21	-10000	5	70	0.66	45%	-0.64	-31	6.17%	0	2.4	69	0
24	Jan_12_2015	26.72	20.67	20.97	21.88			22.23(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	4	57	0.24	42%	-0.71	-35.7	6.09%	0	1.4	57	0
25	Jan_9_2015	26.91	20.78	20.77	21.59			21.72(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	8	53	0.19	42%		-25.7	6.08%	0	0.7	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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