Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $22.0400 (5.96%) ($20.9100 - $22.7700) on Tue. Jan. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.09% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $22.0400(5.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(18%)    GLD(15%)    SIL(14%)    GDX(13%)    BWX(8%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -3.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-7%)    TBT(-3%)    XLK(-1%)    VIXM(-1%)    XBI(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.045% (StdDev 6.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.48(7.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.03(10.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.09(4.5%)
To recent high   -24.1%
To recent low   16.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 10.34% (three month std-dev: 6.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2015	27.51	21.09	20.03	20.48			22.04(5.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	9	14	0.58	46%	-0.76	-22.3	6.09%	0	0.4	53	0
2	Jan_5_2015	27.72	21.07	19.86	19.95			20.8(7.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	1	-23	0.64	46%	-0.79	-23.3	6.14%	0	-0.1	38	0
3	Jan_2_2015	27.94	21.16	19.78	19.87			19.28(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-0	-47	0.6	42%	-1.45	-26.7	6.08%	0	-0.9	32	0
4	Dec_31_2014	28.35	21.32	19.81	19.9			18.99(-10.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-1	-70	0.95	42%	-0.91	-31.3	6.08%	0	-1.1	30	0
5	Dec_30_2014	28.61	21.51	19.88	19.95			21.28(9.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-10000	8	-89	0.61	43%	-0.83	-33.5	5.95%	0	-0.1	36	0

6	Dec_29_2014	28.85	21.58	19.83	19.51			19.42(-4.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-31	-10000	-4	-112	0.39	40%	-0.89	-40.7	5.89%	0	-1	42	0
7	Dec_26_2014	29.11	21.59	20.34	19.75			20.39(5.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	-10000	1	-93	0.25	40%	-1.39	-44.8	5.86%	0	-0.6	47	0
8	Dec_24_2014	29.52	21.76	20.76	19.69			19.41(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-1	-88	0.1	39%	-0.81	-42.2	5.79%	0	-1.1	40	0
9	Dec_23_2014	29.76	22.01	21.31	19.73			19.25(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-1	-76	0.16	39%	-0.9	-38.9	5.79%	0	-1.3	40	0
10	Dec_22_2014	30.03	22.23	21.88	19.77			19.1(-7.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-7	-69	0.37	39%	-0.96	-37.8	5.79%	0	-1.5	38	0

11	Dec_19_2014	30.32	22.46	22.23	20.18			20.59(2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-10000	-14	-65	0.22	39%	-0.88	-33.5	5.73%	0	-1	43	0
12	Dec_18_2014	30.59	22.58	22.39	21.05			20.11(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-15	-33	0.26	39%	-0.94	-16.5	5.85%	0	-1.3	60	0
13	Dec_17_2014	30.88	22.7	22.67	22.04			19.59(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-17	-10000	-17	-15	0.44	38%	-0.96	2.4	5.83%	0	-1.7	43	0
14	Dec_16_2014	31.18	22.87	23	23.16			19.48(-7.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-11	-10000	-16	6	0.52	38%	-0.98	27.6	5.84%	0	-2.1	42	0
15	Dec_15_2014	31.49	23.03	23.37	24.26			21.15(-15.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2.1	7	-10000	-3	37	0.55	40%	-0.91	61.1	5.77%	0	-1.3	48	0

16	Dec_12_2014	31.78	23.12	23.56	24.5			24.92(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	9	48	0.24	44%	-0.72	77.6	5.48%	0	1.3	57	0
17	Dec_11_2014	32.01	22.89	23	23.9			25.06(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	8	16	0.25	42%	-0.84	63.6	5.48%	0	1.5	60	0
18	Dec_10_2014	32.28	22.66	22.84	23.41			25.2(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	-10000	9	11	0.31	42%	-0.83	58.9	5.5%	0	1.7	62	0
19	Dec_9_2014	32.55	22.43	22.72	22.87			24.96(11.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	6	-10000	7	3	0.59	42%	-0.82	46.8	5.5%	0	1.8	59	0
20	Dec_8_2014	32.82	22.18	22.53	22.41			22.35(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3	-10000	-1	-7	0.18	38%	-0.88	30.4	5.29%	0	0.1	54	0

21	Dec_5_2014	33.11	22.1	22.64	22.49			21.92(-3.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-10000	10	3	0.17	38%	-0.96	26.1	5.28%	0	-0.1	50	0
22	Dec_4_2014	33.43	22	22.73	21.93			22.61(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-5	-10000	-4	-7	0.29	38%	-0.86	0.4	5.28%	0	0.4	63	0
23	Dec_3_2014	33.72	21.83	22.69	22.17			22.49(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-3	-10000	-6	7	0.16	38%	-0.82	-16.9	5.28%	0	0.4	62	0
24	Dec_2_2014	34	21.79	22.71	22.55			22.7(-0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10000	-2	28	0.28	36%	-0.85	-25.9	5.29%	0	0.6	61	0
25	Dec_1_2014	34.29	21.77	22.67	22.7			22.75(19.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	-3	44	0.71	36%		-36.2	5.31%	0	0.6	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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