Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $25.2000 (0.96%) ($24.9700 - $25.7350) on Wed. Dec. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.5% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $25.2000(0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(18%)    GLD(15%)    SIL(14%)    GDX(13%)    GDXJ(8%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -2.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-7%)    TBT(-3%)    BWX(-2%)    XLK(-1%)    VIXM(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.75% (StdDev 5.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.41(7.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.84(10.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.66(11.21%)
To recent high   -33.3%
To recent low   32.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 6.44% (three month std-dev: 5.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_10_2014	32.28	22.66	22.84	23.41			25.2(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	-10000	9	11	0.31	42%	-0.83	58.9	5.5%	0	1.7	62	0
2	Dec_9_2014	32.55	22.43	22.72	22.87			24.96(11.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	6	-10000	7	3	0.59	42%	-0.82	46.8	5.5%	0	1.8	59	0
3	Dec_8_2014	32.82	22.18	22.53	22.41			22.35(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3	-10000	-1	-7	0.18	38%	-0.88	30.4	5.29%	0	0.1	54	0
4	Dec_5_2014	33.11	22.1	22.64	22.49			21.92(-3.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-10000	10	3	0.17	38%	-0.96	26.1	5.28%	0	-0.1	50	0
5	Dec_4_2014	33.43	22	22.73	21.93			22.61(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-5	-10000	-4	-7	0.29	38%	-0.86	0.4	5.28%	0	0.4	63	0

6	Dec_3_2014	33.72	21.83	22.69	22.17			22.49(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-3	-10000	-6	7	0.16	38%	-0.82	-16.9	5.28%	0	0.4	62	0
7	Dec_2_2014	34	21.79	22.71	22.55			22.7(-0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10000	-2	28	0.28	36%	-0.85	-25.9	5.29%	0	0.6	61	0
8	Dec_1_2014	34.29	21.77	22.71	22.7			22.75(19.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	-3	44	0.71	36%	-0.98	-36.2	5.31%	0	0.6	63	0
9	Nov_28_2014	34.63	21.75	22.67	22.86			19.11(-19.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2.4	6	-10000	-13	64	0.63	27%	-1.56	-47.5	4.69%	0	-1.7	49	0
10	Nov_26_2014	35.18	21.99	22.85	23.57			23.8(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	7	118	0.14	32%	-0.85	-40.1	4.04%	0	1	73	0

11	Nov_25_2014	35.48	22.1	22.51	23.25			24.38(3.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	36	-10000	8	119	0.22	32%	-0.78	-39.9	4.04%	0	1.1	78	0
12	Nov_24_2014	35.76	22.22	22.14	22.89			23.47(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	5	100	0.15	32%	-0.33	-43.8	4%	0	0.5	56	0
13	Nov_21_2014	35.88	22.37	21.79	22.65			23.53(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	3	75	0.3	32%	-0.86	-45.4	4%	0	0.5	54	0
14	Nov_20_2014	36.19	22.53	21.5	22.5			22.68(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	11	64	0.17	32%	-0.85	-44.6	3.96%	0	0.1	51	0
15	Nov_19_2014	36.5	22.75	21.2	22			22.18(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	9	15	0.48	32%	-0.84	-47.9	3.95%	0	-0.2	43	0

16	Nov_18_2014	36.81	22.98	20.88	21.63			22.58(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	9	-49	0.26	32%	-0.84	-49.2	3.95%	0	-0.1	37	0
17	Nov_17_2014	37.12	23.28	20.79	21.26			22.27(-2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	-10000	11	-97	0.25	32%	-0.83	-49.1	3.95%	0	-0.3	34	0
18	Nov_14_2014	37.43	23.58	20.77	20.81			22.81(13.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-28	-10000	10	-140	0.7	31%	-0.82	-51.4	3.97%	0	-0.2	36	0
19	Nov_13_2014	37.74	23.82	20.69	20.39			20.17(-0.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-50	-10000	3	-207	0.17	22%	-0.87	-53.7	3.57%	0	-1	23	0
20	Nov_12_2014	38.07	24.23	21.04	20.27			20.34(-1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-52	-10000	8	-230	0.18	22%	-0.83	-54.9	3.57%	0	-1.1	23	0

21	Nov_11_2014	38.39	24.65	21.64	20			20.69(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-67	-10000	-7	-247	0.22	22%	-0.83	-58	3.57%	0	-1.1	26	0
22	Nov_10_2014	38.71	25.04	22.27	20.24			20.02(-3.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-72	-10000	-13	-250	0.28	22%	-0.82	-56.8	3.53%	0	-1.5	19	0
23	Nov_7_2014	39.03	25.49	22.96	20.73			20.73(5.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-67	-10000	-9	-240	0.3	22%	-0.76	-55.8	3.53%	0	-1.4	21	0
24	Nov_6_2014	39.33	25.89	23.62	21.07			19.58(3.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-78	-10000	-23	-243	0.39	17%	-0.63	-53.8	3.42%	0	-2	20	0
25	Nov_5_2014	39.58	26.35	24.43	21.95			18.97(-13.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-85	-10000	-39	-224	0.96	16%		-51.8	3.42%	0	-2.7	15	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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