Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 9, 2014

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $53.5900 (1.13%) ($52.6010 - $54.3500) on Wed. Jul. 9, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.98% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $53.5900(1.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(19%)    GLD(16%)    SIL(14%)    GDX(13%)    GDXJ(9%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -1.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-8%)    XLK(-1%)    VIXM(-1%)    XBI(0%)    QQQ(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.49% (StdDev 2.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.34(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.21(0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.11(6.94%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   41.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 9.02% (three month std-dev: 2.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140809

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_9_2014	47.65	50.11	53.21	53.34			53.59(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	16	-10000	2	57	0.21	58%	-0.23	79.9	2.98%	0	0.8	86	0
2	Jul_8_2014	47.76	49.5	53.06	53.22			52.99(0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	21	-10000	-1	85	0.24	58%	0.13	77.1	2.99%	0	0.7	87	0
3	Jul_7_2014	47.7	48.86	52.97	53.22			52.71(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	0	122	0.76	58%	-0.25	75.7	3%	0	0.7	88	0
4	Jul_3_2014	47.82	48.22	52.88	53.31			53.55(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	-10000	1	157	0.07	58%	0.08	71.9	2.98%	0	0.9	87	0
5	Jul_2_2014	47.78	47.53	52.62	53.27			53.87(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	51	-10000	3	194	0.2	58%	0.08	70.2	2.99%	0	1.1	90	0

6	Jul_1_2014	47.74	46.75	51.76	53.06			52.97(-0.9%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0	55	-10000	2	215	0.21	58%	0.08	68.2	2.99%	0	1.1	91	0
7	Jun_30_2014	47.7	46.02	50.9	52.88			53.45(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	62	-10000	4	236	0.48	58%	0.1	66.3	2.96%	0	1.3	92	0
8	Jun_27_2014	47.65	45.23	49.92	52.58			52.7(-1.2%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0	66	-10000	3	254	0.26	58%	0.11	62.9	2.96%	0	1.3	93	0
9	Jun_26_2014	47.6	44.49	49.05	52.37			53.34(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	75	-10000	6	281	0.16	58%	0.13	60.7	2.96%	0	1.6	96	0
10	Jun_25_2014	47.54	43.78	48	51.87			52.86(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	91	-10000	22	298	0.21	58%	0.13	60.1	3%	0	1.8	95	0

11	Jun_24_2014	47.48	43.08	46.78	50.23			52.07(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	87	-10000	23	277	0.25	54%	0.11	52.5	2.99%	0	1.9	96	0
12	Jun_23_2014	47.43	42.44	45.63	48.57			51.92(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	80	-10000	24	247	0.33	54%	0.11	43.7	3.05%	0	2.2	94	0
13	Jun_20_2014	47.38	41.88	44.39	46.83			51.65(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	71	-10000	23	216	0.43	54%	0.08	37.4	3.05%	0	2.6	94	0
14	Jun_19_2014	47.34	41.37	43.13	45.25			50.85(13.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	64	-10000	24	183	0.83	54%	0.08	32.1	3.09%	0	3.1	92	0
15	Jun_18_2014	47.3	40.88	41.92	43.63			44.66(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	-10000	15	165	0.26	43%	-0.06	18.9	2.59%	0	1.8	71	0

16	Jun_17_2014	47.33	40.72	41.27	42.82			43.78(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	-10000	11	130	0.21	43%	-0.08	6.6	2.62%	0	1.6	69	0
17	Jun_16_2014	47.37	40.61	40.71	42.21			43.22(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	-10000	13	104	0.21	43%	-0.08	-5.6	2.65%	0	1.4	65	0
18	Jun_13_2014	47.41	40.51	40.18	41.52			43.76(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	-10000	16	63	0.25	43%	-0.11	-14.3	2.7%	0	1.9	54	0
19	Jun_12_2014	47.46	40.43	39.58	40.65			42.75(5.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	13	11	0.37	49%	-0.11	-24.6	2.68%	0	1.4	46	0
20	Jun_11_2014	47.51	40.49	39.24	39.98			40.61(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	9	-23	0.09	45%	-0.17	-25.3	2.72%	0	0.1	40	0

21	Jun_10_2014	47.59	40.59	39.12	39.47			40.69(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	9	-52	0.21	45%	-0.17	-32.4	2.72%	0	0.1	40	0
22	Jun_9_2014	47.67	40.71	39.01	38.99			39.77(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	-10000	7	-79	0.05	45%	-0.21	-39.3	2.7%	0	-0.5	36	0
23	Jun_6_2014	47.77	40.76	39.18	38.61			39.41(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	-10000	5	-87	0.32	39%	-0.21	-49.3	2.86%	0	-0.7	35	0
24	Jun_5_2014	47.87	40.84	39.48	38.35			39.43(3.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-25	-10000	-1	-96	0.41	39%	-0.23	-53.3	2.92%	0	-0.7	32	0
25	Jun_4_2014	47.98	40.95	39.72	38.41			38.04(-0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-32	-10000	-6	-110	0.07	36%		-52.8	2.87%	0	-1.5	16	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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