Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(U.S. Bancorp)
USB latest price $40.4289 (2.24%) ($39.8644 - $40.4289) on Fri. Aug. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $40.4289(2.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USB advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USB advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(86%)    VYM(76%)    IVE(71%)    IWD(71%)    XLI(70%)
Factors Impacting USB price   USB will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.56(2.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.57(2.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.31(2.85%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $60.9b

U.S. Bancorp operates as a bank holding company. It offers financial services, including lending and depository services, cash management, foreign exchange and trust and investment management. The firm also offers mortgage, refinance, auto, boat & RV loans, credit lines, credit card services, merchant, bank, checking & savings accounts, debit cards, online & mobile banking, ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage and leasing services. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

$. USB price fluctuates within 1.65% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2016	38.83	39.31	39.57	39.56			40.43(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	6	-10000	6	7	7.57	56%	0.08	87.9	1.31%	0	1.7	65	0
2	Aug_4_2016	38.8	39.18	39.48	39.41			39.54(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1	-10000	-0	-2	4.17	51%	0.05	68.6	1.28%	0	0.5	53	0
3	Aug_3_2016	38.78	39.05	39.47	39.42			39.64(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	1	5	6.72	51%	0.03	58.2	1.3%	0	0.7	67	0
4	Aug_2_2016	38.77	38.92	39.45	39.4			38.98(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-4	15	5.86	49%	0.05	53.4	1.29%	0	0.1	69	0
5	Aug_1_2016	38.75	38.82	39.51	39.5			39.22(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-2	36	5.49	49%	0.05	57.8	1.29%	0	0.4	73	0

6	Jul_29_2016	38.73	38.75	39.53	39.55			39.68(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	14	-10000	-0	57	5.8	49%	0.08	60.8	1.3%	0	0.9	87	0
7	Jul_28_2016	38.7	38.66	39.5	39.56			39.59(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	21	-10000	2	78	3.93	49%	0.05	55.6	1.3%	0	0.9	88	0
8	Jul_27_2016	38.68	38.55	39.43	39.52			39.53(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	24	-10000	0	97	5.48	49%	0.08	48.9	1.31%	0	1	91	0
9	Jul_26_2016	38.65	38.41	39.31	39.52			39.49(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	28	-10000	0	113	4.88	49%	0.05	39.2	1.31%	0	1	91	0
10	Jul_25_2016	38.63	38.25	39.2	39.51			39.49(-0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	33	-10000	0	133	4.75	49%	0.03	27.3	1.31%	0	1.1	92	0

11	Jul_22_2016	38.62	38.14	39.05	39.5			39.7(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	2	139	5.02	51%	0.05	23.1	1.31%	0	1.4	72	0
12	Jul_21_2016	38.6	38.11	38.85	39.44			39.4(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	-10000	5	136	5.16	51%	0.05	26.5	1.33%	0	1.2	65	0
13	Jul_20_2016	38.58	38.06	38.62	39.32			39.49(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	40	-10000	10	129	4.92	54%	0.05	26	1.33%	0	1.4	71	0
14	Jul_19_2016	38.56	38.01	38.36	39.07			39.49(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	9	114	6.77	56%	0.1	20.9	1.35%	0	1.5	75	0
15	Jul_18_2016	38.52	37.95	38.09	38.82			39.4(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10000	11	107	8.62	56%	0.08	12.8	1.36%	0	1.5	78	0

16	Jul_15_2016	38.49	37.89	37.9	38.53			39.41(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	-10000	13	94	9.96	56%	0.08	0.4	1.37%	0	1.7	64	0
17	Jul_14_2016	38.46	37.83	37.74	38.19			38.81(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	15	58	12.18	54%	0.08	-18.3	1.35%	0	1.2	44	0
18	Jul_13_2016	38.43	37.79	37.58	37.81			38.23(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	11	19	6.24	55%	0.05	-41.1	1.34%	0	0.5	47	0
19	Jul_12_2016	38.41	37.8	37.43	37.54			38.26(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	-10000	12	-18	6.38	56%	0.03	-57.1	1.37%	0	0.6	47	0
20	Jul_11_2016	38.4	37.83	37.23	37.24			37.92(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	-10000	2	-67	4.42	56%	0.05	-71.1	1.38%	0	0.1	46	0

21	Jul_8_2016	38.38	37.89	37.15	37.19			37.72(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-23	-10000	-2	-85	6.02	56%	0.03	-71.4	1.38%	0	-0.2	46	0
22	Jul_7_2016	38.37	37.98	37.3	37.24			36.91(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10000	-3	-74	5.51	51%	-0.03	-66.3	1.36%	0	-1.1	41	0
23	Jul_6_2016	38.38	38.13	37.46	37.32			36.88(0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-15	-10000	1	-64	6.26	51%	0	-62.6	1.39%	0	-1.2	41	0
24	Jul_5_2016	38.38	38.28	37.63	37.3			36.75(-2.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-12	-10000	5	-63	5.96	51%	0	-63.2	1.39%	0	-1.4	39	0
25	Jul_1_2016	38.38	38.44	37.81	37.18			37.69(-0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	-10000	4	-78	4.68	54%		-67	1.36%	0	-0.7	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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