Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 31, 2016

Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(U.S. Bancorp)
USB latest price $40.0204 (-0.3%) ($39.8615 - $40.3756) on Tue. May. 31, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $40.0204(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USB advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USB advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(86%)    VYM(76%)    IVE(71%)    IWD(71%)    XLI(70%)
Factors Impacting USB price   USB will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.94(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.38(1.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.23(2.01%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $60.285b

U.S. Bancorp operates as a bank holding company. It offers financial services, including lending and depository services, cash management, foreign exchange and trust and investment management. The firm also offers mortgage, refinance, auto, boat & RV loans, credit lines, credit card services, merchant, bank, checking & savings accounts, debit cards, online & mobile banking, ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage and leasing services. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

$. USB price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_31_2016	37.87		39.38	39.94			40.02(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	10	72	6.61	66%	0.11	-8.1	1.1%	0	1.5	56	0
2	May_27_2016	37.83	39.23	39.27	39.73			40.14(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	10	53	3.91	66%	0.08	-20.3	1.21%	0	1.7	62	0
3	May_26_2016	37.8	39.2	39.12	39.5			39.88(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	9	34	4.37	66%	0.05	-35.7	1.22%	0	1.2	57	0
4	May_25_2016	37.78	39.22	39.04	39.28			40.15(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	14	-10000	11	23	7.81	67%	0.03	-38	1.21%	0	1.5	61	0
5	May_24_2016	37.77	39.23	38.93	39.03			39.52(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	12	7	5.61	66%	0.03	-42.2	1.22%	0	0.4	55	0

6	May_23_2016	37.76	39.27	38.9	38.74			38.94(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-10000	-0	-23	6.42	58%	0.05	-43.9	1.22%	0	-0.5	41	0
7	May_20_2016	37.74	39.33	38.9	38.75			39.01(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	2	-35	5.78	60%	-0.03	-31.5	1.3%	0	-0.5	37	0
8	May_19_2016	37.75	39.4	38.89	38.69			38.81(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-10000	-3	-50	9.55	60%	-0.03	-21.7	1.31%	0	-0.8	39	0
9	May_18_2016	37.76	39.45	38.9	38.77			38.9(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-10000	-2	-60	12.63	60%	-0.05	-11.3	1.31%	0	-0.8	36	0
10	May_17_2016	37.78	39.51	38.91	38.81			38.06(-2.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-27	-10000	-10	-79	14.34	57%	-0.05	0.6	1.3%	0	-2.1	24	0

11	May_16_2016	37.8	39.57	39.08	39.07			38.96(0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-17	-10000	1	-70	16.49	65%	0.05	22	1.27%	0	-0.9	31	0
12	May_13_2016	37.78	39.57	39.19	39.04			38.72(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-2	-73	6.98	65%	-0.05	29.9	1.31%	0	-1.2	33	0
13	May_12_2016	37.8	39.56	39.3	39.1			39.2(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	-10000	2	-75	7.29	69%	-0.03	43.7	1.31%	0	-0.5	34	0
14	May_11_2016	37.81	39.53	39.41	39.05			39.13(-0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	-10000	1	-69	5.83	62%	0	52.4	1.42%	0	-0.5	44	0
15	May_10_2016	37.81	39.51	39.55	39.02			39.31(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-10000	-3	-62	6.41	62%	0	51	1.51%	0	-0.2	44	0

16	May_9_2016	37.81	39.43	39.67	39.1			38.82(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-9	-49	4.3	62%	0	47	1.51%	0	-0.6	50	0
17	May_6_2016	37.81	39.35	39.82	39.37			39.05(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-6	-19	5.31	62%	-0.05	44.7	1.51%	0	-0.3	59	0
18	May_5_2016	37.83	39.26	39.96	39.54			38.93(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-10000	-9	7	5.95	62%	-0.05	39.3	1.52%	0	-0.3	59	0
19	May_4_2016	37.85	39.15	40.06	39.82			38.99(-1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	-11	33	8.84	64%	-0.03	39.7	1.52%	0	-0.1	57	0
20	May_3_2016	37.86	39.09	40.17	40.16			39.72(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10000	-5	70	6.58	67%	0	43.1	1.52%	0	0.5	66	0

21	May_2_2016	37.86	38.98	40.13	40.32			40.16(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	24	-10000	-0	97	8.87	63%	0.05	45.9	1.52%	0	0.9	77	0
22	Apr_29_2016	37.84	38.87	39.98	40.33			39.9(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-10000	-4	111	10.58	65%	0	48.2	1.55%	0	0.8	79	0
23	Apr_28_2016	37.84	38.77	39.85	40.45			40.31(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	-10000	3	138	6.64	65%	0	52.8	1.56%	0	1.2	85	0
24	Apr_27_2016	37.84	38.65	39.68	40.34			40.68(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-10000	5	155	9.69	65%	0.03	51.7	1.56%	0	1.6	90	0
25	Apr_26_2016	37.83	38.52	39.45	40.19			40.53(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	-10000	9	162	7.9	66%		52	1.56%	0	1.7	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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