Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(U.S. Bancorp)
USB latest price $40.5345 (0.74%) ($40.1046 - $40.6466) on Tue. Apr. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.56% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $40.5345(0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USB advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USB advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(86%)    VYM(76%)    IVE(71%)    IWD(71%)    XLI(70%)
Factors Impacting USB price   USB will decline at least -0.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.78% (StdDev 1.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.19(0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.45(2.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.52(5.23%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.5%
Market Cap   $61.059b

U.S. Bancorp operates as a bank holding company. It offers financial services, including lending and depository services, cash management, foreign exchange and trust and investment management. The firm also offers mortgage, refinance, auto, boat & RV loans, credit lines, credit card services, merchant, bank, checking & savings accounts, debit cards, online & mobile banking, ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage and leasing services. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

$. USB price fluctuates within 3.04% (three month std-dev: 1.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160526

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_26_2016	37.83	38.52	39.45	40.19			40.53(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	-10000	9	162	7.9	66%	-0.03	52	1.56%	0	1.7	74	0
2	Apr_25_2016	37.84	38.37	39.17	39.92			40.24(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	-10000	11	152	8.61	62%	0	47	1.57%	0	1.7	73	0
3	Apr_22_2016	37.84	38.24	38.85	39.57			40.47(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	-10000	13	124	9.26	64%	0	38.2	1.61%	0	2.2	67	0
4	Apr_21_2016	37.84	38.1	38.48	39.16			39.78(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	8	90	10.08	63%	0	31.9	1.62%	0	2	63	0
5	Apr_20_2016	37.84	38.01	38.16	38.92			39.94(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	24	-10000	10	67	9.58	63%	-0.03	30.5	1.62%	0	2.5	66	0

6	Apr_19_2016	37.85	37.92	37.9	38.62			39.17(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	10	45	11.36	61%	-0.05	27.7	1.61%	0	2	56	0
7	Apr_18_2016	37.87	37.87	37.71	38.31			38.52(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	10	25	7.57	60%	-0.05	22.2	1.6%	0	1.1	57	0
8	Apr_15_2016	37.89	37.86	37.65	38			38.41(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	11	11	7.05	57%	0.03	13.2	1.61%	0	1	55	0
9	Apr_14_2016	37.88	37.82	37.6	37.67			38.58(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	9	-10000	13	-5	9.32	59%	-0.05	6.8	1.64%	0	1.4	56	0
10	Apr_13_2016	37.9	37.78	37.52	37.27			38.41(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.2	-4	-10000	6	-32	10.47	55%	-0.05	-8.6	1.66%	0	1.2	50	0

11	Apr_12_2016	37.92	37.74	37.49	37.08			37.63(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-10	-10000	1	-44	7.66	55%	-0.08	-11.1	1.72%	0	-0.2	40	0
12	Apr_11_2016	37.95	37.75	37.5	37.04			36.95(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-7	-55	7.32	54%	-0.11	-15.6	1.72%	0	-1.6	30	0
13	Apr_8_2016	37.99	37.78	37.58	37.25			36.81(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-8	-51	4.99	52%	-0.11	-9.4	1.72%	0	-2	29	0
14	Apr_7_2016	38.03	37.79	37.7	37.5			36.54(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-17	-10000	-9	-39	8.35	51%	-0.13	-6.2	1.73%	0	-2.6	37	0
15	Apr_6_2016	38.08	37.82	37.88	37.78			37.47(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-5	-19	5.29	51%	-0.05	4.2	1.72%	0	-0.8	50	0

16	Apr_5_2016	38.1	37.8	37.97	37.95			37.43(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-3	-10000	-2	-5	6.22	51%	-0.05	12.6	1.73%	0	-0.8	45	0
17	Apr_4_2016	38.12	37.8	38.07	38.01			38.02(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	2	-10000	1	6	4.69	49%	-0.05	37.1	1.72%	0	0.4	58	0
18	Apr_1_2016	38.14	37.83	38.1	37.97			38.04(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	1	10	5.21	49%	-0.03	50.8	1.75%	0	0.4	59	0
19	Mar_31_2016	38.15	37.82	38.08	37.93			37.94(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-10000	-2	17	6.58	49%	-0.05	63.7	1.76%	0	0.3	69	0
20	Mar_30_2016	38.17	37.8	38.06	38			38.31(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	-10000	-0	27	6.29	49%	-0.05	87.1	1.76%	0	1.1	70	0

21	Mar_29_2016	38.19	37.74	38.02	38.01			37.75(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-10000	-4	34	5.84	50%	-0.05	96.1	1.76%	0	0	64	0
22	Mar_28_2016	38.21	37.65	38.01	38.14			37.79(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-4	39	4.15	50%	-0.1	67.6	1.77%	0	0.2	49	0
23	Mar_24_2016	38.25	37.59	38	38.26			37.87(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	12	-10000	1	44	6.33	50%	-0.05	64.6	1.77%	0	0.4	47	0
24	Mar_23_2016	38.27	37.52	37.89	38.24			38.25(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	-10000	4	36	6.76	52%	-0.03	55.6	1.77%	0	0.9	54	0
25	Mar_22_2016	38.28	37.4	37.76	38.12			38.38(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	3	24	5.77	52%		41.9	1.79%	0	1.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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