Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(U.S. Bancorp)
USB latest price $38.1056 (0.64%) ($37.7156 - $38.2728) on Fri. Mar. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.86% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $38.1056(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USB advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USB advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(86%)    VYM(76%)    IVE(71%)    IWD(71%)    XLI(70%)
Factors Impacting USB price   USB will decline at least -0.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.93% (StdDev 1.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.29(2.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.88(3.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.73(3.75%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $57.4b

U.S. Bancorp operates as a bank holding company. It offers financial services, including lending and depository services, cash management, foreign exchange and trust and investment management. The firm also offers mortgage, refinance, auto, boat & RV loans, credit lines, credit card services, merchant, bank, checking & savings accounts, debit cards, online & mobile banking, ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage and leasing services. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

$. USB price fluctuates within 2.12% (three month std-dev: 1.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2016	38.41	36.73	36.88	37.29			38.11(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	9	27	6.13	51%	0	19.8	1.86%	0	1.8	61	0
2	Mar_3_2016	38.41	36.67	36.72	36.97			37.86(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	9	26	5.69	50%	0	13.8	1.89%	0	1.7	68	0
3	Mar_2_2016	38.41	36.6	36.59	36.66			37.64(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	12	-10000	11	16	7.47	49%	0	3.3	1.9%	0	1.6	56	0
4	Mar_1_2016	38.41	36.51	36.53	36.27			37.06(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	5	-10000	6	1	6.57	49%	-0.05	-15.4	1.89%	0	0.9	52	0
5	Feb_29_2016	38.43	36.5	36.54	36.08			35.77(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-10	-10	7.4	47%	-0.08	-14.3	1.82%	0	-1.1	46	0

6	Feb_26_2016	38.46	36.58	36.61	36.4			36.49(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	-10000	-1	2	7.2	48%	-0.05	4.1	1.81%	0	-0.1	46	0
7	Feb_25_2016	38.48	36.57	36.46	36.43			36.35(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-2	-17	6.34	48%	-0.05	10.5	1.82%	0	-0.3	45	0
8	Feb_24_2016	38.5	36.58	36.45	36.5			35.7(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-12	-10000	-9	-19	9.22	47%	-0.08	15.7	1.8%	0	-1.4	47	0
9	Feb_23_2016	38.53	36.61	36.55	36.81			36.1(-3.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-5	-10000	-7	3	9.23	47%	-0.05	30.5	1.8%	0	-0.8	52	0
10	Feb_22_2016	38.55	36.59	36.61	37.05			37.36(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	7	19	8.16	49%	0	34.3	1.75%	0	1.2	52	0

11	Feb_19_2016	38.55	36.55	36.58	36.84			36.65(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	-10000	12	11	10.98	47%	-0.05	22.8	1.73%	0	0.2	47	0
12	Feb_18_2016	38.57	36.51	36.64	36.47			36.68(-1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	3	-6	7.67	49%	-0.03	2.9	1.73%	0	0.3	52	0
13	Feb_17_2016	38.58	36.48	36.62	36.39			37.26(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	1	-10000	4	-9	7.86	49%	0	-12.6	1.74%	0	1.2	55	0
14	Feb_16_2016	38.58	36.43	36.49	36.25			37.33(2.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-2	-10000	4	-18	11.23	50%	0	-24	1.74%	0	1.5	57	0
15	Feb_12_2016	38.58	36.37	36.44	36.13			36.31(4.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-10000	-6	-17	12.46	48%	-0.03	-36.9	1.71%	0	-0.1	57	0

16	Feb_11_2016	38.59	36.41	36.52	36.32			34.78(-4.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-14	-10000	-16	-6	12.47	44%	-0.08	-29.6	1.62%	0	-2.8	40	0
17	Feb_10_2016	38.62	36.49	36.71	36.81			36.26(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	8	-10000	-1	35	9.33	48%	-0.05	-26.4	1.54%	0	-0.5	55	0
18	Feb_9_2016	38.64	36.56	36.73	36.85			36.59(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	14	-10000	4	44	12.76	48%	-0.03	-29.7	1.53%	0	0.1	54	0
19	Feb_8_2016	38.65	36.56	36.7	36.73			36.71(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10000	-2	34	13.89	48%	-0.03	-48	1.54%	0	0.2	53	0
20	Feb_5_2016	38.66	36.58	36.6	36.73			37.23(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	0	31	10.22	50%	-0.03	-67.3	1.57%	0	1.2	57	0

21	Feb_4_2016	38.67	36.59	36.52	36.78			37.25(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	6	29	9.29	50%	-0.05	-86.9	1.57%	0	1.2	50	0
22	Feb_3_2016	38.69	36.62	36.37	36.61			36.48(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10000	1	14	10.53	48%	-0.05	-99.4	1.54%	0	-0.2	52	0
23	Feb_2_2016	38.71	36.72	36.34	36.59			35.99(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3	-10000	-2	-4	6.99	48%	-0.05	-89.2	1.53%	0	-0.9	40	0
24	Feb_1_2016	38.73	36.84	36.37	36.64			36.96(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	-10000	10	-3	6.24	50%	0	-88.7	1.5%	0	0.1	49	0
25	Jan_29_2016	38.73	36.96	36.3	36.36			37.2(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	4	-28	11.72	49%		-99.1	1.52%	0	0.3	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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