Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(U.S. Bancorp)
USB latest price $41.7772 (3.76%) ($40.2816 - $42.0341) on Wed. Jul. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $41.7772(3.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USB advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(86%)    VYM(77%)    IVE(72%)    XLI(71%)    XLB(68%)
Factors Impacting USB price   USB will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    VIXM(-27%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.31(3.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.13(4.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.36(3.51%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $62.931b

U.S. Bancorp operates as a bank holding company. It offers financial services, including lending and depository services, cash management, foreign exchange and trust and investment management. The firm also offers mortgage, refinance, auto, boat & RV loans, credit lines, credit card services, merchant, bank, checking & savings accounts, debit cards, online & mobile banking, ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage and leasing services. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

$. USB price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_15_2015	40.01	40.36	40.13	40.31			41.78(3.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	22	-10000	26	10	16.09	59%	0.05	-16.9	1.01%	0	2.3	55	0
2	Jul_14_2015	39.99	40.3	39.91	39.78			40.26(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-14	-10000	4	-68	8.76	50%	0	-42.5	0.89%	0	-0.1	39	0
3	Jul_13_2015	39.99	40.31	39.87	39.71			40.22(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-21	-10000	3	-93	6.07	50%	-0.02	-41.8	0.91%	0	-0.2	41	0
4	Jul_10_2015	40	40.34	39.92	39.66			39.86(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-26	-10000	-2	-99	5.41	50%	0	-37.5	0.91%	0	-0.9	41	0
5	Jul_9_2015	40	40.39	39.99	39.7			39.42(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-10000	-12	-106	6.4	48%	-0.02	-26.5	0.9%	0	-1.8	35	0

6	Jul_8_2015	40.01	40.47	40.13	39.92			39.15(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-27	-10000	-7	-86	6.21	48%	-0.05	-10.3	0.89%	0	-2.6	34	0
7	Jul_7_2015	40.03	40.53	40.33	40.05			39.89(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	0	-67	8.59	52%	0	5.9	0.86%	0	-1.6	40	0
8	Jul_6_2015	40.03	40.54	40.44	40.04			40.01(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-10	-65	6.15	52%	-0.05	11.5	0.86%	0	-1.3	45	0
9	Jul_2_2015	40.05	40.55	40.52	40.21			40.02(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-7	-51	4.84	52%	0	30.3	0.87%	0	-1.2	41	0
10	Jul_1_2015	40.05	40.54	40.61	40.33			40.51(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-12	-10000	-3	-40	6.03	54%	0	36.7	0.86%	0	-0.1	44	0

11	Jun_30_2015	40.05	40.52	40.63	40.39			39.82(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-10000	-16	-43	7.55	55%	0	37.4	0.83%	0	-1.4	34	0
12	Jun_29_2015	40.05	40.51	40.72	40.66			39.83(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-13	-10000	-14	-9	7.3	55%	-0.02	45.7	0.87%	0	-1.2	49	0
13	Jun_26_2015	40.06	40.49	40.72	40.9			40.84(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-10000	1	32	6.82	62%	0.02	50.7	0.81%	0	0.6	69	0
14	Jun_25_2015	40.05	40.41	40.8	40.88			40.65(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-2	41	5.71	57%	0.05	45.2	0.81%	0	0.4	60	0
15	Jun_24_2015	40.03	40.38	40.83	40.92			40.82(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	1	65	5.96	57%	0.02	44.5	0.84%	0	0.7	68	0

16	Jun_23_2015	40.02	40.34	40.84	40.9			41.15(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	6	79	4.54	57%	0.08	37.6	0.85%	0	1.3	64	0
17	Jun_22_2015	39.99	40.26	40.75	40.8			41.04(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	6	85	5.21	57%	0.08	29.2	0.85%	0	1.3	70	0
18	Jun_19_2015	39.96	40.19	40.63	40.7			40.73(-0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-10000	-1	84	14.7	57%	0.05	22.3	0.85%	0	1	70	0
19	Jun_18_2015	39.94	40.15	40.57	40.72			40.85(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	24	-10000	-1	100	8.89	57%	0.08	20.4	0.86%	0	1.3	69	0
20	Jun_17_2015	39.91	40.15	40.46	40.74			40.73(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	24	-10000	-2	100	8.01	57%	0.03	22.3	0.86%	0	1.2	59	0

21	Jun_16_2015	39.9	40.11	40.4	40.77			40.68(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-10000	6	111	5.83	60%	0.03	29.5	0.86%	0	1.1	57	0
22	Jun_15_2015	39.89	40.09	40.27	40.67			40.51(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	30	-10000	7	99	6.29	60%	0.05	29.9	0.88%	0	0.8	60	0
23	Jun_12_2015	39.87	40.06	40.15	40.54			40.85(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10000	9	82	4.76	62%	0.03	23.2	0.87%	0	1.6	61	0
24	Jun_11_2015	39.86	40.04	40	40.39			40.92(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	13	58	7.06	62%	0.08	27.5	0.9%	0	1.8	58	0
25	Jun_10_2015	39.83	40	39.88	40.15			40.88(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	14	-10000	9	28	7.94	57%		23.6	0.9%	0	2	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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