Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(U.S. Bancorp)
USB latest price $39.3212 (-0.35%) ($39.0748 - $39.8229) on Wed. May. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $39.3212(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USB advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USB advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(86%)    VYM(77%)    IVE(72%)    XLI(71%)    XLB(68%)
Factors Impacting USB price   USB will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    VIXM(-27%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.35(-0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.21(0.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.29(0.08%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $59.231b

U.S. Bancorp operates as a bank holding company. It offers financial services, including lending and depository services, cash management, foreign exchange and trust and investment management. The firm also offers mortgage, refinance, auto, boat & RV loans, credit lines, credit card services, merchant, bank, checking & savings accounts, debit cards, online & mobile banking, ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage and leasing services. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

$. USB price fluctuates within 0.99% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150606

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_6_2015	39.77	39.29	39.21	39.35			39.32(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10000	1	38	4.8	52%	0	-16.2	0.85%	0	0.1	52	0
2	May_5_2015	39.77	39.29	39.18	39.33			39.46(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	4	29	5.44	52%	0	-20.6	0.86%	0	0.4	46	0
3	May_4_2015	39.77	39.3	39.12	39.26			39.72(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	11	10	5.12	52%	0	-29.4	0.87%	0	1.1	47	0
4	May_1_2015	39.77	39.29	39.04	39.08			39.15(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	2	-30	3.74	57%	-0.03	-38.2	0.89%	0	-0.4	31	0
5	Apr_30_2015	39.78	39.32	39.04	39.05			39.11(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	-10000	1	-52	6.46	53%	-0.03	-32.7	0.89%	0	-0.5	37	0

6	Apr_29_2015	39.79	39.35	39	39.04			39.21(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	2	-61	5.64	53%	-0.05	-29.9	0.92%	0	-0.3	42	0
7	Apr_28_2015	39.81	39.38	39.03	39.01			39.11(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10000	3	-64	5.8	48%	-0.05	-33.9	0.93%	0	-0.6	43	0
8	Apr_27_2015	39.83	39.42	39.08	38.95			38.83(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-2	-68	5.7	48%	-0.05	-43.8	0.96%	0	-1.3	40	0
9	Apr_24_2015	39.85	39.44	39.22	38.98			38.99(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-12	-10000	3	-55	6.45	48%	-0.03	-60.4	0.96%	0	-1.1	42	0
10	Apr_23_2015	39.86	39.46	39.3	38.93			39.07(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10000	-1	-61	6.88	48%	-0.03	-77.9	0.97%	0	-1	38	0

11	Apr_22_2015	39.87	39.48	39.37	38.95			39.07(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-20	-10000	-6	-61	5.52	54%	-0.03	-94.1	0.97%	0	-1	42	0
12	Apr_21_2015	39.88	39.53	39.43	39.06			38.77(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10000	-9	-54	6.17	58%	0	-92.3	1.03%	0	-1.9	35	0
13	Apr_20_2015	39.88	39.62	39.51	39.25			39.01(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-11	-44	5.7	58%	-0.03	-78.9	1.07%	0	-1.4	36	0
14	Apr_17_2015	39.89	39.7	39.57	39.49			38.72(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-14	-10000	-11	-21	9.39	58%	-0.03	-55.2	1.07%	0	-2.1	49	0
15	Apr_16_2015	39.9	39.78	39.69	39.73			39.18(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-2	-10000	-5	9	10.15	62%	-0.03	-46.2	1.07%	0	-1.4	52	0

16	Apr_15_2015	39.91	39.85	39.75	39.73			39.62(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	6	-10000	0	24	10.91	65%	0	-27.3	1.07%	0	-0.5	55	0
17	Apr_14_2015	39.91	39.91	39.77	39.84			39.71(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	1	21	7.54	61%	-0.03	-15	1.08%	0	-0.4	45	0
18	Apr_13_2015	39.92	39.91	39.8	39.81			40.22(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	6	13	6.14	64%	0.03	-14.8	1.1%	0	0.5	43	0
19	Apr_10_2015	39.91	39.96	39.69	39.67			39.91(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	1	-19	4.03	64%	0	-25.8	1.1%	0	-0.1	38	0
20	Apr_9_2015	39.91	39.96	39.62	39.66			39.75(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	1	-33	3.7	59%	0	-26.9	1.11%	0	-0.4	42	0

21	Apr_8_2015	39.91	39.96	39.58	39.65			39.62(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-2	-51	3.82	59%	0	-33.1	1.14%	0	-0.7	37	0
22	Apr_7_2015	39.91	39.98	39.62	39.69			39.55(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-4	-57	4.36	59%	0	-39.2	1.14%	0	-0.8	35	0
23	Apr_6_2015	39.91	40.04	39.72	39.77			39.52(-0.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-11	-10000	3	-52	5.94	57%	0.03	-34.8	1.15%	0	-1	34	0
24	Apr_2_2015	39.9	40.09	39.83	39.69			39.88(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	6	-51	4.47	53%	0	-40	1.19%	0	-0.4	47	0
25	Apr_1_2015	39.9	40.12	39.87	39.56			39.68(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	3	-62	6.13	53%		-50.4	1.18%	0	-0.9	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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