Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 3, 2015

Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(U.S. Bancorp)
USB latest price $39.2617 (1.29%) ($38.5269 - $39.5066) on Tue. Feb. 3, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $39.2617(1.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USB advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USB advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(86%)    VYM(77%)    IVE(72%)    XLI(71%)    XLB(68%)
Factors Impacting USB price   USB will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    VIXM(-28%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(-10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.57(1.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.82(1.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.61(1.69%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $59.142b

U.S. Bancorp operates as a bank holding company. It offers financial services, including lending and depository services, cash management, foreign exchange and trust and investment management. The firm also offers mortgage, refinance, auto, boat & RV loans, credit lines, credit card services, merchant, bank, checking & savings accounts, debit cards, online & mobile banking, ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage and leasing services. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

$. USB price fluctuates within 1.97% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_3_2015	38.78	38.61	38.82	38.57			39.26(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	2	60	8.77	49%	0.05	-65.5	1.18%	0	0.9	57	0
2	Feb_2_2015	38.76	38.62	38.65	38.52			38.76(1.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	6	-10000	-6	40	6.2	47%	0	-74.1	1.17%	0	0.2	51	0
3	Jan_30_2015	38.76	38.71	38.54	38.66			38.02(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-10000	-11	33	10.42	40%	0.03	-64.7	1.21%	0	-0.8	44	0
4	Jan_29_2015	38.75	38.84	38.48	38.92			38.62(1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10000	-6	24	6.88	49%	0.03	-60.3	1.2%	0	-0.2	41	0
5	Jan_28_2015	38.74	38.96	38.37	39.07			38.19(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-1	13	7.58	51%	0.03	-49.6	1.34%	0	-0.8	41	0

6	Jan_27_2015	38.73	39.11	38.38	39.09			38.99(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	13	9	5.4	54%	0.03	-41.9	1.32%	0	-0.1	48	0
7	Jan_26_2015	38.72	39.22	38.33	38.77			39.49(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-10000	14	-23	4.61	54%	0.05	-44.2	1.31%	0	0.2	47	0
8	Jan_23_2015	38.7	39.3	38.25	38.41			39.3(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	18	-64	8.16	57%	0.03	-44	1.32%	0	0	39	0
9	Jan_22_2015	38.69	39.39	38.28	37.97			39.4(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-15	-10000	15	-104	9.47	56%	0.05	-43.7	1.32%	0	0	39	0
10	Jan_21_2015	38.67	39.47	38.26	37.59			38.28(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-40	-10000	0	-160	11.21	55%	0	-43.1	1.28%	0	-0.8	27	0

11	Jan_20_2015	38.67	39.6	38.34	37.58			37.38(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-56	-10000	-10	-192	12.68	52%	0	-39.1	1.28%	0	-1.5	18	0
12	Jan_16_2015	38.67	39.78	38.57	37.82			37.67(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-58	-10000	-11	-197	9.9	52%	0	-34.8	1.27%	0	-1.5	21	0
13	Jan_15_2015	38.67	39.89	38.86	38.08			37.14(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-65	-10000	-22	-195	10.88	47%	-0.03	-34.3	1.26%	0	-2	14	0
14	Jan_14_2015	38.68	40	39.23	38.61			37.5(-1.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-53	-10000	-16	-164	12.85	47%	-0.03	-34.2	1.29%	0	-2.1	15	0
15	Jan_13_2015	38.69	40.11	39.61	39.01			38.19(-1.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-41	-10000	-8	-138	7.3	49%	0.03	-35.5	1.27%	0	-1.8	21	0

16	Jan_12_2015	38.68	40.19	39.94	39.21			38.61(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-10000	-8	-122	4.86	49%	0.03	-38.6	1.27%	0	-1.6	30	0
17	Jan_9_2015	38.67	40.29	40.21	39.42			38.97(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-14	-109	8.1	45%	0.03	-34.1	1.27%	0	-1.5	31	0
18	Jan_8_2015	38.66	40.36	40.44	39.76			39.8(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-10000	-8	-70	10.42	50%	0.05	-25.6	1.26%	0	-0.7	55	0
19	Jan_7_2015	38.64	40.41	40.61	39.96			39.51(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-14	-34	5.07	47%	0.05	-13.9	1.28%	0	-1.1	60	0
20	Jan_6_2015	38.62	40.49	40.78	40.32			39.16(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-11	-10000	-17	8	8.53	47%	0.05	6.4	1.31%	0	-1.6	54	0

21	Jan_5_2015	38.6	40.57	40.96	40.78			39.69(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	4	-10000	-12	52	6.57	49%	0.08	28.4	1.3%	0	-1.1	54	0
22	Jan_2_2015	38.57	40.6	41.1	41.09			40.67(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-10000	-5	85	5.01	53%	0.13	42.9	1.26%	0	0.1	54	0
23	Dec_31_2014	38.52	40.58	41.02	41.22			40.78(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-10000	-5	88	5.69	52%	0.1	51.1	1.26%	0	0.3	55	0
24	Dec_30_2014	38.48	40.53	40.85	41.35			41.33(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	1	81	4.34	53%	0.1	54.1	1.26%	0	1.1	54	0
25	Dec_29_2014	38.44	40.43	40.65	41.32			41.42(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	5	64	4.03	53%		50	1.26%	0	1.3	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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