Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(U.S. Bancorp)
USB latest price $38.6482 (-0.44%) ($38.5411 - $38.8176) on Tue. Jun. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.79% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $38.6482(-0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USB advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USB advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(86%)    XLI(70%)    VT(67%)    XLB(67%)    XAR(65%)
Factors Impacting USB price   USB will decline at least -0.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    VIXM(-29%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(-10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.395% (StdDev 0.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.28(0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.96(1.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.32(3.56%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $58.218b

U.S. Bancorp operates as a bank holding company. It offers financial services, including lending and depository services, cash management, foreign exchange and trust and investment management. The firm also offers mortgage, refinance, auto, boat & RV loans, credit lines, credit card services, merchant, bank, checking & savings accounts, debit cards, online & mobile banking, ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage and leasing services. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

$. USB price fluctuates within 2.09% (three month std-dev: 0.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140710

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_10_2014	37.05	37.32	37.96	38.28			38.65(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	13	146	4.92	45%	0.08	76.1	0.79%	0	1.7	93	0
2	Jun_9_2014	37.02	37.19	37.81	38.08			38.82(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	45	-10000	15	134	6.65	45%	0.08	72.3	0.79%	0	2.2	88	0
3	Jun_6_2014	36.99	37.05	37.62	37.85			38.25(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	36	-10000	9	118	5.22	41%	0.08	69.4	0.78%	0	1.7	89	0
4	Jun_5_2014	36.96	36.93	37.49	37.72			37.9(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	33	-10000	5	118	4.63	37%	0.03	67.6	0.78%	0	1.5	89	0
5	Jun_4_2014	36.95	36.84	37.38	37.64			37.78(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	-10000	4	125	4.59	37%	0.05	64.4	0.78%	0	1.5	89	0

6	Jun_3_2014	36.93	36.74	37.27	37.58			37.68(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	-10000	6	131	4.22	37%	0.03	60.3	0.79%	0	1.5	82	0
7	Jun_2_2014	36.92	36.66	37.19	37.49			37.62(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	9	139	4.95	37%	0.03	61.4	0.8%	0	1.6	83	0
8	May_30_2014	36.91	36.58	37.07	37.36			37.63(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	42	-10000	10	137	5.71	37%	0.05	59.7	0.8%	0	1.8	84	0
9	May_29_2014	36.89	36.49	36.93	37.22			37.49(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	39	-10000	10	125	5.83	37%	0.03	56.6	0.81%	0	1.9	83	0
10	May_28_2014	36.88	36.43	36.78	37.07			37.49(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	35	-10000	10	109	6.69	37%	0.03	54.3	0.82%	0	2.3	78	0

11	May_27_2014	36.87	36.36	36.65	36.91			37.23(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	28	-10000	5	97	5.69	37%	0.03	51.8	0.82%	0	2.2	79	0
12	May_23_2014	36.86	36.29	36.53	36.84			36.97(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	7	92	3.05	37%	0	49	0.82%	0	1.8	67	0
13	May_22_2014	36.86	36.23	36.43	36.74			36.9(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	10	82	3.96	37%	0	47.3	0.83%	0	2	67	0
14	May_21_2014	36.86	36.19	36.33	36.59			36.76(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	10	66	5.08	37%	0	41	0.84%	0	1.9	66	0
15	May_20_2014	36.86	36.18	36.26	36.44			36.67(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	7	44	6.81	37%	0	29.3	0.85%	0	1.8	54	0

16	May_19_2014	36.86	36.15	36.18	36.34			36.89(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	15	-10000	10	28	8.89	37%	0	21.7	0.85%	0	3	61	0
17	May_16_2014	36.86	36.11	36.09	36.18			36.47(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	9	-10000	7	14	10.06	33%	-0.03	1.9	0.84%	0	1.9	63	0
18	May_15_2014	36.87	36.08	36.04	36.08			36.19(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3	-10000	3	4	11.34	33%	-0.05	-26	0.84%	0	0.6	57	0
19	May_14_2014	36.89	36.07	36.02	36.03			36(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-10000	-1	-7	6.33	33%	-0.05	-70.2	0.85%	0	-0.4	44	0
20	May_13_2014	36.91	36.07	36.02	36.05			36.15(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	4	-5	5.57	33%	-0.05	-70.7	0.86%	0	0.2	42	0

21	May_12_2014	36.93	36.07	36.05	36.05			36.08(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	-10000	0	-15	6.32	33%	-0.05	-106.9	0.87%	0	-0.1	47	0
22	May_9_2014	36.95	36.1	36.03	35.98			35.96(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-1	-20	4.67	33%	-0.08	-146.6	0.87%	0	-0.7	50	0
23	May_8_2014	36.98	36.12	36.02	35.98			35.97(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	0	-18	5.34	33%	-0.05	-187.9	0.89%	0	-0.7	52	0
24	May_7_2014	37	36.19	36.05	36			36.09(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10000	-4	-16	6.87	33%	-0.08	-122.2	0.9%	0	-0.3	50	0
25	May_6_2014	37.03	36.25	36.09	36.06			35.81(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-4	-12	7.22	33%		-110.1	0.9%	0	-1	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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