Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 28, 2014

Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(U.S. Bancorp)
USB latest price $37.4886 (0.69%) ($37.0783 - $37.5689) on Wed. May. 28, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $37.4886(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USB advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USB advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(86%)    XLI(70%)    VT(67%)    XLB(67%)    XAR(65%)
Factors Impacting USB price   USB will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    VIXM(-29%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(-10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.07(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.78(1.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.43(2.91%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $56.471b

U.S. Bancorp operates as a bank holding company. It offers financial services, including lending and depository services, cash management, foreign exchange and trust and investment management. The firm also offers mortgage, refinance, auto, boat & RV loans, credit lines, credit card services, merchant, bank, checking & savings accounts, debit cards, online & mobile banking, ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage and leasing services. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

$. USB price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140628

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_28_2014	36.88	36.43	36.78	37.07			37.49(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	35	-10000	10	109	6.69	37%	0.03	54.3	0.82%	0	2.3	78	0
2	May_27_2014	36.87	36.36	36.65	36.91			37.23(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	28	-10000	5	97	5.69	37%	0.03	51.8	0.82%	0	2.2	79	0
3	May_23_2014	36.86	36.29	36.53	36.84			36.97(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	7	92	3.05	37%	0	49	0.82%	0	1.8	67	0
4	May_22_2014	36.86	36.23	36.43	36.74			36.9(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	10	82	3.96	37%	0	47.3	0.83%	0	2	67	0
5	May_21_2014	36.86	36.19	36.33	36.59			36.76(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	10	66	5.08	37%	0	41	0.84%	0	1.9	66	0

6	May_20_2014	36.86	36.18	36.26	36.44			36.67(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	7	44	6.81	37%	0	29.3	0.85%	0	1.8	54	0
7	May_19_2014	36.86	36.15	36.18	36.34			36.89(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	15	-10000	10	28	8.89	37%	0	21.7	0.85%	0	3	61	0
8	May_16_2014	36.86	36.11	36.09	36.18			36.47(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	9	-10000	7	14	10.06	33%	-0.03	1.9	0.84%	0	1.9	63	0
9	May_15_2014	36.87	36.08	36.04	36.08			36.19(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3	-10000	3	4	11.34	33%	-0.05	-26	0.84%	0	0.6	57	0
10	May_14_2014	36.89	36.07	36.02	36.03			36(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-10000	-1	-7	6.33	33%	-0.05	-70.2	0.85%	0	-0.4	44	0

11	May_13_2014	36.91	36.07	36.02	36.05			36.15(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	4	-5	5.57	33%	-0.05	-70.7	0.86%	0	0.2	42	0
12	May_12_2014	36.93	36.07	36.05	36.05			36.08(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	-10000	0	-15	6.32	33%	-0.05	-106.9	0.87%	0	-0.1	47	0
13	May_9_2014	36.95	36.1	36.03	35.98			35.96(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-1	-20	4.67	33%	-0.08	-146.6	0.87%	0	-0.7	50	0
14	May_8_2014	36.98	36.12	36.02	35.98			35.97(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	0	-18	5.34	33%	-0.05	-187.9	0.89%	0	-0.7	52	0
15	May_7_2014	37	36.19	36.05	36			36.09(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10000	-4	-16	6.87	33%	-0.08	-122.2	0.9%	0	-0.3	50	0

16	May_6_2014	37.03	36.25	36.09	36.06			35.81(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-4	-12	7.22	33%	-0.08	-110.1	0.9%	0	-1	38	0
17	May_5_2014	37.06	36.33	36.09	36.13			36.08(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	-10000	3	-1	6.44	33%	-0.08	-100	0.9%	0	-0.5	48	0
18	May_2_2014	37.09	36.41	36.13	36.08			36.03(0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	-10000	2	-9	5.06	33%	-0.11	-85.2	0.92%	0	-0.6	49	0
19	May_1_2014	37.13	36.52	36.12	36.05			36.01(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-3	-21	5.87	33%	-0.08	-67.5	0.93%	0	-0.7	45	0
20	Apr_30_2014	37.16	36.63	36.13	36.1			36.37(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-10000	-2	-38	6.92	35%	-0.08	-57.5	0.93%	0	-0.3	36	0

21	Apr_29_2014	37.19	36.73	36.14	36.13			36.19(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-1	-46	6.26	35%	-0.08	-53.3	0.94%	0	-0.6	37	0
22	Apr_28_2014	37.22	36.82	36.15	36.14			35.82(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-2	-67	8.32	30%	-0.13	-51.4	0.93%	0	-1.1	30	0
23	Apr_25_2014	37.27	36.92	36.18	36.18			35.87(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-1	-91	5.99	30%	-0.13	-54.5	0.95%	0	-1.2	27	0
24	Apr_24_2014	37.32	37.02	36.23	36.19			36.26(-0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-29	-10000	2	-121	5.75	33%	-0.11	-57.9	0.95%	0	-0.9	26	0
25	Apr_23_2014	37.36	37.11	36.34	36.16			36.52(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-36	-10000	-1	-140	7.02	33%		-56.7	0.96%	0	-0.7	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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