Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(U.S. Bancorp)
USB latest price $36.8910 (1.15%) ($36.3380 - $36.9267) on Mon. May. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $36.8910(1.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USB advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USB advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(86%)    XLI(70%)    VT(67%)    XLB(67%)    XAR(65%)
Factors Impacting USB price   USB will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    VIXM(-29%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(-10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.34(1.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.18(1.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.15(2.05%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $55.571b

U.S. Bancorp operates as a bank holding company. It offers financial services, including lending and depository services, cash management, foreign exchange and trust and investment management. The firm also offers mortgage, refinance, auto, boat & RV loans, credit lines, credit card services, merchant, bank, checking & savings accounts, debit cards, online & mobile banking, ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage and leasing services. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

$. USB price fluctuates within 0.69% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140619

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_19_2014	36.86	36.15	36.18	36.34			36.89(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	15	-10000	10	28	8.89	37%	0	21.7	0.85%	0	3	61	0
2	May_16_2014	36.86	36.11	36.09	36.18			36.47(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	9	-10000	7	14	10.06	33%	-0.03	1.9	0.84%	0	1.9	63	0
3	May_15_2014	36.87	36.08	36.04	36.08			36.19(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3	-10000	3	4	11.34	33%	-0.05	-26	0.84%	0	0.6	57	0
4	May_14_2014	36.89	36.07	36.02	36.03			36(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-10000	-1	-7	6.33	33%	-0.05	-70.2	0.85%	0	-0.4	44	0
5	May_13_2014	36.91	36.07	36.02	36.05			36.15(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	4	-5	5.57	33%	-0.05	-70.7	0.86%	0	0.2	42	0

6	May_12_2014	36.93	36.07	36.05	36.05			36.08(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	-10000	0	-15	6.32	33%	-0.05	-106.9	0.87%	0	-0.1	47	0
7	May_9_2014	36.95	36.1	36.03	35.98			35.96(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-1	-20	4.67	33%	-0.08	-146.6	0.87%	0	-0.7	50	0
8	May_8_2014	36.98	36.12	36.02	35.98			35.97(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	0	-18	5.34	33%	-0.05	-187.9	0.89%	0	-0.7	52	0
9	May_7_2014	37	36.19	36.05	36			36.09(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10000	-4	-16	6.87	33%	-0.08	-122.2	0.9%	0	-0.3	50	0
10	May_6_2014	37.03	36.25	36.09	36.06			35.81(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-4	-12	7.22	33%	-0.08	-110.1	0.9%	0	-1	38	0

11	May_5_2014	37.06	36.33	36.09	36.13			36.08(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	-10000	3	-1	6.44	33%	-0.08	-100	0.9%	0	-0.5	48	0
12	May_2_2014	37.09	36.41	36.13	36.08			36.03(0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	-10000	2	-9	5.06	33%	-0.11	-85.2	0.92%	0	-0.6	49	0
13	May_1_2014	37.13	36.52	36.12	36.05			36.01(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-3	-21	5.87	33%	-0.08	-67.5	0.93%	0	-0.7	45	0
14	Apr_30_2014	37.16	36.63	36.13	36.1			36.37(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-10000	-2	-38	6.92	35%	-0.08	-57.5	0.93%	0	-0.3	36	0
15	Apr_29_2014	37.19	36.73	36.14	36.13			36.19(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-1	-46	6.26	35%	-0.08	-53.3	0.94%	0	-0.6	37	0

16	Apr_28_2014	37.22	36.82	36.15	36.14			35.82(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-2	-67	8.32	30%	-0.13	-51.4	0.93%	0	-1.1	30	0
17	Apr_25_2014	37.27	36.92	36.18	36.18			35.87(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-1	-91	5.99	30%	-0.13	-54.5	0.95%	0	-1.2	27	0
18	Apr_24_2014	37.32	37.02	36.23	36.19			36.26(-0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-29	-10000	2	-121	5.75	33%	-0.11	-57.9	0.95%	0	-0.9	26	0
19	Apr_23_2014	37.36	37.11	36.34	36.16			36.52(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-36	-10000	-1	-140	7.02	33%	-0.08	-56.7	0.96%	0	-0.7	27	0
20	Apr_22_2014	37.39	37.2	36.41	36.17			36.25(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-39	-10000	1	-157	7.61	33%	-0.13	-50.4	0.96%	0	-1	24	0

21	Apr_21_2014	37.44	37.31	36.52	36.16			36.02(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-10000	-2	-171	7.44	33%	-0.13	-45.4	0.97%	0	-1.4	23	0
22	Apr_17_2014	37.49	37.42	36.71	36.19			35.9(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-10000	-5	-166	13.04	33%	-0.19	0	0.99%	0	-1.7	31	0
23	Apr_16_2014	37.56	37.54	36.95	36.28			36.1(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-10000	-15	-152	15.67	33%	-0.19	0	1.01%	0	-1.8	33	0
24	Apr_15_2014	37.63	37.62	37.18	36.56			36.58(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-37	-10000	-7	-125	11.09	37%	-0.13	0	1%	0	-1.4	33	0
25	Apr_14_2014	37.68	37.68	37.35	36.69			36.22(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-10000	-14	-121	7.11	37%		0	0.99%	0	-2.1	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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