Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 1, 2021

Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(UPS)
UPS latest price $210.9000 (-1.2%) ($209.9000 - $214.5150) on Mon. Nov. 1, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $210.9000(-1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UPS advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UPS advances 6.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UPS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(69%)    VYM(64%)    VT(63%)    XLF(62%)    VUG(59%)
Factors Impacting UPS price   UPS will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-45%)    UUP(-27%)    VXX(-16%)    TLT(-0%)    TBT(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV -1.5 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $213.71(-1.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $206.91(1.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $196.6(7.27%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   18.2%
Market Cap   $181.922b

United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a logistics and package delivery company providing supply chain management services. Its logistics services include transportation, distribution, contract logistics, ground freight, ocean freight, air freight, customs brokerage, insurance, and financing. The company operates through the following segments: U.S. Domestic Package, International Package, and Supply Chain and Freight. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers a full spectrum of U.S. domestic guaranteed ground and air package transportation services. The International Package segment includes small package operations in Europe, Asia-Pacific, Canada and Latin America, Indian sub-continent, and the Middle East and Africa. The Supply Chain and Freight segment offers transportation, distribution, and international trade and brokerage services. The company was founded by James E. Casey and Claude Ryan on August 28, 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, GA.

$. UPS price fluctuates within 6.54% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 2.05%(77%) Average negative next day return: -1.6%(23%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 3.06%(77%) Average negative next three day return: -4.66%(23%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 4.6%(77%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.38%(23%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20211201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_1_2021	197.63	196.6	206.91	213.71	213.35	213.09	210.9(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	47	-10	-21	252	1.86	54%	0.04	65.7	1.47%	-1.5	1.1	84	1.2
2	Oct_29_2021	197.55	194.98	205.23	212.31	214.39	213.34	213.47(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	116	-0	55	297	2.36	54%	0.06	61.1	1.47%	0	1.5	88	1.2
3	Oct_28_2021	197.44	193.33	203.26	210.38	211.86	213.61	213.9(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	85	80	17	289	2.23	52%	0.07	57.3	1.46%	-0.4	1.7	84	1.2
4	Oct_27_2021	197.31	191.68	200.99	207.49	208.93	215.43	212.21(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	311	240	286	386	3.31	44%	0.01	53.7	1.48%	-0.1	1.9	84	1.1
5	Oct_26_2021	197.29	190.21	198.2	204.1	204.79	210.12	218.07(6.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	355	190	354	356	6.56	47%	0.03	47.8	1.69%	1.4	2.8	94	1.2

6	Oct_25_2021	197.24	188.5	194.5	199.24	199.28	202.44	203.9(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	192	110	167	268	4.83	37%	-0.03	42.7	1.45%	0.5	2	92	1.4
7	Oct_22_2021	197.3	187.56	192.29	197.14	196.87	199.46	203.81(2.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	189	90	167	253	3.73	37%	-0.05	37.7	1.46%	1.6	2.4	92	1.5
8	Oct_21_2021	197.39	186.67	190.19	195.13	195.01	196.11	199.44(2.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	130	40	102	215	2.99	33%	-0.06	30.6	1.43%	1.7	2.2	79	1.8
9	Oct_20_2021	197.51	185.89	188.38	193.52	193.73	194.28	195.27(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	89	20	57	183	1.86	28%	-0.1	19.6	1.4%	2.1	1.8	74	1.7
10	Oct_19_2021	197.7	185.54	186.9	191.28	192.46	193.91	193.79(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	119	70	103	167	1.97	28%	-0.02	6.7	1.4%	0.5	1.7	64	1.9

11	Oct_18_2021	197.74	185.25	185.47	188.92	189.72	193.19	193.39(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	156	140	160	145	2.3	28%	-0.11	-12.6	1.4%	0.3	1.8	59	2.1
12	Oct_15_2021	197.96	185.01	183.94	186.59	186.73	191.01	193.75(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	208	160	235	128	3.15	28%	-0.1	-32.4	1.41%	1.1	2.1	59	2
13	Oct_14_2021	198.15	184.88	182.62	184.54	184.36	186.26	191.42(4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	162	70	192	71	4.1	28%	-0.12	-43	1.4%	1.5	1.6	53	1.9
14	Oct_13_2021	198.38	184.89	181.58	182.58	182.5	182.44	184.06(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-0	8	-38	3.78	18%	-0.15	-55.7	1.3%	2.5	-0.2	46	1.5
15	Oct_12_2021	198.67	185.22	181.59	181.9	182.37	182.47	181.99(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	10	15	-58	2.61	18%	-0.16	-62.8	1.29%	-0.5	-0.7	33	1.4

16	Oct_11_2021	198.99	185.81	182.01	181.44	181.77	182.55	181.74(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	14	40	39	-62	1.78	18%	-0.16	-64.5	1.29%	-0.8	-0.9	33	1.3
17	Oct_8_2021	199.3	186.37	182.47	180.78	180.82	182.27	183.49(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	34	60	68	-68	2.78	18%	-0.16	-71.4	1.29%	1.5	-0.6	34	1.9
18	Oct_7_2021	199.62	186.66	182.86	180.38	180.17	180.99	181.6(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	29	30	67	-86	2.52	18%	-0.17	-81.5	1.29%	0.8	-1	25	1.4
19	Oct_6_2021	199.95	187.3	183.23	180.48	179.94	179.37	180.7(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-61	-30	-33	-143	2.05	18%	-0.17	-80.8	1.3%	1.4	-1.3	22	0.7
20	Oct_5_2021	200.3	188.04	184.1	181.28	181.09	179.35	179.67(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-114	-70	-97	-163	2.46	18%	-0.18	-75.8	1.3%	0.4	-1.7	28	0.5

21	Oct_4_2021	200.67	188.92	185.08	182.7	182.82	180.51	178.42(-1.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-154	-90	-146	-177	3.23	18%	-0.2	-69.1	1.3%	-1.4	-2.2	21	-0.2
22	Oct_1_2021	201.07	189.93	186.28	184.39	184.67	182.84	181.49(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-140	-60	-134	-159	3.01	20%	-0.17	-58.9	1.29%	-0.8	-1.9	28	-0
23	Sep_30_2021	201.42	190.69	187.42	185.69	186.13	185.13	182.1(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-85	-30	-76	-111	2.86	20%	-0.14	-48.7	1.3%	-1.9	-2	40	-0.8
24	Sep_29_2021	201.71	191.39	188.55	186.33	186.9	186.51	184.74(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-10	-22	-84	2.46	21%	-0.15	-46.2	1.3%	-1.3	-1.7	35	-1.1
25	Sep_28_2021	202.02	191.89	189.21	187.33	186.45	187.14	186.76(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	10	-26	-84	2.92	21%		-40.8	1.3%	-0.3	-1.4	36	-1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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