Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 22, 2020

Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(UPS)
UPS latest price $174.5600 (1.14%) ($172.0150 - $175.2500) on Tue. Dec. 22, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $174.5600(1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UPS advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UPS advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UPS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(63%)    VYM(58%)    IYT(57%)    VT(57%)    XLF(54%)
Factors Impacting UPS price   UPS will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-42%)    UUP(-24%)    VXX(-17%)    TLT(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $173.39(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $170.44(2.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $169.63(2.91%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $150.575b

United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a logistics and package delivery company providing supply chain management services. Its logistics services include transportation, distribution, contract logistics, ground freight, ocean freight, air freight, customs brokerage, insurance, and financing. The company operates through the following segments: U.S. Domestic Package, International Package, and Supply Chain and Freight. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers a full spectrum of U.S. domestic guaranteed ground and air package transportation services. The International Package segment includes small package operations in Europe, Asia-Pacific, Canada and Latin America, Indian sub-continent, and the Middle East and Africa. The Supply Chain and Freight segment offers transportation, distribution, and international trade and brokerage services. The company was founded by James E. Casey and Claude Ryan on August 28, 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, GA.

$. UPS price fluctuates within 1.74% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.55%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.24%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.4%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.57%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2020	164.92	169.63	170.44	173.39	173.1	173.08	174.56(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10	25	68	2.37	59%	0.2	59.2	1.95%	1.2	1.7	59	-0.7
2	Dec_21_2020	164.59	169.22	169.61	171.91	172	173.09	172.59(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	50	28	52	3.17	59%	0.18	45.1	1.94%	-0.8	1.2	58	-1.6
3	Dec_18_2020	164.29	168.79	169.08	170.72	170.63	173.12	175.18(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	76	100	82	56	8.57	59%	0.21	32	1.94%	1.5	2.2	55	1.2
4	Dec_17_2020	163.95	168.33	168.23	169.36	169.51	170.92	174.49(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	92	60	106	50	4.37	59%	0.31	28.7	1.94%	1.9	2.4	58	1.6
5	Dec_16_2020	163.44	167.99	167.49	167.31	168.1	168.14	170.13(1.77%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	9	20	16	-12	3.42	56%	0.31	11.2	1.91%	1.9	1	48	1.5

6	Dec_15_2020	162.93	167.91	167.31	167.12	167.21	168.09	167.17(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	40	-3	-29	2.55	56%	0.29	18	1.91%	-0.8	-0.4	39	0.8
7	Dec_14_2020	162.46	167.97	167.39	166.97	167.51	168.06	166.62(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	37	30	52	-7	3.38	56%	0.3	27.3	1.91%	0.2	-0.7	51	-0.6
8	Dec_11_2020	161.97	167.86	167.8	167.14	167.01	166.33	168.4(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-18	-30	-17	-21	4.74	56%	0.31	19.5	1.91%	0.9	0.2	59	0.3
9	Dec_10_2020	161.47	167.61	167.84	166.91	167.12	166.96	164.24(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-31	-0	-32	-26	4.68	53%	0.29	14.3	1.88%	-1.4	-1.4	48	0.9
10	Dec_9_2020	161.01	167.76	168.48	167.62	167.6	167.69	169.18(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	0	11	2	3.31	58%	0.32	32.1	1.85%	1.1	0.6	51	1

11	Dec_8_2020	160.5	167.54	168.78	167.55	167.67	167.27	166.39(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10	-13	-1	3.84	54%	0.31	32.6	1.86%	-1	-0.5	46	1.6
12	Dec_7_2020	160.01	167.41	168.86	167.87	167.92	167.52	167.47(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-20	-33	-9	3.03	54%	0.31	40.9	1.89%	-0.8	0	49	1.1
13	Dec_4_2020	159.52	167.42	168.55	168.59	168.77	168.07	167.25(-0.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-13	-30	-19	4	2.7	54%	0.3	68.2	1.9%	-1	-0.1	58	1.2
14	Dec_3_2020	159.04	167.26	168.51	168.92	169.38	168.33	167.83(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-27	-40	-38	6	2.81	48%	0.31	73.3	1.91%	-0.1	0.2	60	0.9
15	Dec_2_2020	158.55	167.01	168.51	169.45	169.68	169.46	168.83(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-28	-10	-41	13	3.82	48%	0.34	85.5	2%	-0.6	0.6	54	1

16	Dec_1_2020	158.01	166.75	168.58	170.22	170.48	170.43	167.96(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	26	0	17	51	5.3	48%	0.35	80.7	2.02%	0.3	0.4	56	1
17	Nov_30_2020	157.46	166.36	168.64	169.95	170.35	169.9	171.07(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10	9	55	4.68	48%	0.36	58.6	1.99%	0.3	1.4	63	1.1
18	Nov_27_2020	156.9	165.68	167.92	168.49	169.27	170.53	168.89(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	70	14	37	2.22	48%	0.62	23.6	1.99%	-3	0.9	52	1.1
19	Nov_25_2020	155.93	165.31	167.37	168.01	168.1	170.8	170.5(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	82	110	89	62	3.47	48%	0.36	5.3	1.97%	0.6	1.3	60	1.3
20	Nov_24_2020	155.37	164.59	166.95	167.6	167.03	168.02	172.69(3.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	71	30	75	60	5.37	48%	0.37	-16	1.97%	1.6	2	64	1.1

21	Nov_23_2020	154.79	164.41	166.11	166.83	166.78	165.4	166.6(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-18	-60	-28	14	3.77	44%	0.08	-27.7	1.92%	0.8	0.6	56	1.1
22	Nov_20_2020	154.67	164.45	165.79	167.2	167.38	166.04	163.76(-1.63%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-39	-50	-56	14	3.97	44%	0.32	-28.1	1.91%	-1.2	-0.2	59	1.2
23	Nov_19_2020	154.18	164.82	166.19	167.18	167.44	168.15	166.48(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	30	0	56	3.13	44%	0.34	-29	1.9%	-1.1	0.4	67	1.3
24	Nov_18_2020	153.65	165.1	165.92	166.51	166.71	168.73	168.45(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	80	90	78	85	3.39	44%	0.38	-32.5	1.89%	0.6	0.7	60	1.3
25	Nov_17_2020	153.07	165.25	165.33	166.15	165.32	166.72	168.88(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	71	40	65	90	3.63	44%		-33.7	1.89%	1.2	0.7	67	1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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