Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 15, 2017

Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(UPS)
UPS latest price $101.5267 (0.03%) ($100.8375 - $101.6664) on Wed. Feb. 15, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.19% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $101.5267(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UPS advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UPS declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UPS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(17%)    XHB(10%)    IYT(8%)    XLB(8%)    XLI(7%)
Factors Impacting UPS price   UPS will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-5%)    BNDX(-5%)    XLU(-4%)    VIXM(-4%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $102.87
5 Day Moving Average   $100.63(0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.74(1.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102.87(-1.31%)
To recent high   -9.3%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $87.577b

United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a logistics and package delivery company providing supply chain management services. Its logistics services include transportation, distribution, contract logistics, ground freight, ocean freight, air freight, customs brokerage, insurance, and financing. The company operates through the following segments: U.S. Domestic Package, International Package, and Supply Chain and Freight. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers a full spectrum of U.S. domestic guaranteed ground and air package transportation services. The International Package segment includes small package operations in Europe, Asia-Pacific, Canada and Latin America, Indian sub-continent, and the Middle East and Africa. The Supply Chain and Freight segment offers transportation, distribution, and international trade and brokerage services. The company was founded by James E. Casey and Claude Ryan on August 28, 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, GA.

$. UPS price fluctuates within 4.18% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170315

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_15_2017	104.43	102.87	99.74	100.63			101.53(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-10000	9	-101	2.84	34%	0	-33.5	1.19%	0	-0.3	30	0
2	Feb_14_2017	104.43	103.14	99.39	100.1			101.5(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	-10000	10	-165	5.88	33%	0.01	-36	1.19%	0	-0.4	30	0
3	Feb_13_2017	104.42	103.37	99.35	99.49			101.04(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-47	-10000	8	-212	3.88	33%	0	-40	1.2%	0	-0.5	32	0
4	Feb_10_2017	104.42	103.64	100.03	99.03			99.96(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-54	-10000	1	-220	4.01	35%	-0.02	-44.1	1.2%	0	-0.8	34	0
5	Feb_9_2017	104.44	103.95	100.94	98.96			99.14(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-50	-10000	4	-213	2.42	38%	-0.02	-47.1	1.19%	0	-1.1	31	0

6	Feb_8_2017	104.46	104.33	101.86	98.71			98.86(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-51	-10000	2	-209	3.4	42%	-0.01	-51.5	1.21%	0	-1.3	32	0
7	Feb_7_2017	104.47	104.72	102.84	98.56			98.43(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-61	-10000	-11	-209	3.59	46%	-0.01	-56.9	1.23%	0	-1.6	30	0
8	Feb_6_2017	104.48	105.17	103.81	99.2			98.77(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-72	-10000	-32	-190	3.44	46%	0	-56.6	1.28%	0	-1.7	34	0
9	Feb_3_2017	104.48	105.63	104.64	101.24			99.6(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-59	-10000	-31	-143	4.86	46%	0.01	-45.4	1.28%	0	-1.7	35	0
10	Feb_2_2017	104.47	106.04	105.42	103.31			97.88(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-48	-10000	-33	-94	4.35	43%	-0.01	-32.4	1.26%	0	-2.6	30	0

11	Feb_1_2017	104.48	106.55	106.36	105.52			98.11(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-34	-10000	-32	-39	14.68	42%	-0.01	-18.8	1.26%	0	-3.3	30	0
12	Jan_31_2017	104.49	107.05	107.35	107.69			101.63(-6.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-3.7	-9	-10000	-20	25	12.76	47%	0.01	5.2	1.18%	0	-3.3	38	0
13	Jan_30_2017	104.48	107.33	107.89	108.97			108.99(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	-10000	11	101	2.91	62%	0.1	34	0.8%	0	1.5	61	0
14	Jan_27_2017	104.38	107.23	107.63	108.5			109.97(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	30	-10000	14	79	2.28	64%	0.09	18.6	0.79%	0	2.6	62	0
15	Jan_26_2017	104.29	107.08	107.23	107.91			108.89(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	-10000	12	50	1.8	64%	0.08	-7.9	0.79%	0	2.2	59	0

16	Jan_25_2017	104.21	107.03	106.96	107.42			108.95(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	13	-10000	9	23	2.05	64%	0.08	-34.4	0.79%	0	2.8	59	0
17	Jan_24_2017	104.13	107.03	106.66	107.04			108.07(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	7	-10000	9	2	2.16	64%	0.04	-57.4	0.79%	0	1.9	55	0
18	Jan_23_2017	104.09	106.96	106.52	106.67			106.59(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	1	-16	1.69	62%	0.06	-90	0.79%	0	-0.7	49	0
19	Jan_20_2017	104.03	107.03	106.6	106.63			107.06(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	5	-13	2.37	60%	0.06	-92.7	0.79%	0	0.1	49	0
20	Jan_19_2017	103.97	107.14	106.61	106.43			106.42(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	-10000	0	-24	1.85	60%	0.05	-106.3	0.79%	0	-1.1	41	0

21	Jan_18_2017	103.92	107.26	106.61	106.42			107.06(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	5	-28	2.04	60%	0.07	-125	0.79%	0	-0.3	37	0
22	Jan_17_2017	103.85	107.3	106.68	106.22			106.23(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-3	-46	2.47	60%	0.08	-122	0.78%	0	-1.2	30	0
23	Jan_13_2017	103.77	107.45	106.74	106.35			106.39(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-10000	-5	-53	1.79	60%	0.06	-125	0.78%	0	-1.2	29	0
24	Jan_12_2017	103.71	107.58	106.81	106.57			106.08(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-6	-52	1.92	60%	0.05	-118	0.78%	0	-1.6	28	0
25	Jan_11_2017	103.66	107.86	106.94	106.81			106.33(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-4	-57	2.3	60%		-96.6	0.78%	0	-1.6	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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