Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(UPS)
UPS latest price $100.0557 (0.16%) ($99.6884 - $100.4689) on Mon. Aug. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.72% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $100.0557(0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UPS advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UPS declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UPS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(18%)    XHB(11%)    IYT(9%)    XLB(8%)    XLI(8%)
Factors Impacting UPS price   UPS will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(-5%)    BNDX(-5%)    BWX(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $100.56
5 Day Moving Average   $99.42(0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.65(0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $100.56(-0.5%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   8.2%
Market Cap   $86.308b

United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a logistics and package delivery company providing supply chain management services. Its logistics services include transportation, distribution, contract logistics, ground freight, ocean freight, air freight, customs brokerage, insurance, and financing. The company operates through the following segments: U.S. Domestic Package, International Package, and Supply Chain and Freight. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers a full spectrum of U.S. domestic guaranteed ground and air package transportation services. The International Package segment includes small package operations in Europe, Asia-Pacific, Canada and Latin America, Indian sub-continent, and the Middle East and Africa. The Supply Chain and Freight segment offers transportation, distribution, and international trade and brokerage services. The company was founded by James E. Casey and Claude Ryan on August 28, 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, GA.

$. UPS price fluctuates within 1.08% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160908

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_8_2016	96.68	100.56	99.65	99.42			100.06(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	-10000	5	-73	2.04	65%	0.05	-14.8	0.72%	0	-0.5	37	0
2	Aug_5_2016	96.63	100.61	99.73	99.25			99.9(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-19	-10000	4	-88	2.41	62%	0.05	-13.1	0.72%	0	-0.7	34	0
3	Aug_4_2016	96.58	100.64	99.86	99.12			99.03(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-29	-10000	-4	-103	2.2	57%	0.07	-8.9	0.73%	0	-1.4	24	0
4	Aug_3_2016	96.51	100.66	100.05	99.28			99.44(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	-3	-106	2.34	57%	0.07	0	0.74%	0	-1.1	24	0
5	Aug_2_2016	96.44	100.65	100.25	99.38			98.68(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-14	-109	2.44	56%	0.06	13.4	0.74%	0	-1.7	25	0

6	Aug_1_2016	96.38	100.72	100.55	99.91			99.18(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-10	-84	2.83	56%	0.08	47.2	0.74%	0	-1.4	34	0
7	Jul_29_2016	96.3	100.72	100.82	100.29			99.27(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-10000	-11	-63	3.99	56%	0.08	75.7	0.74%	0	-1.4	38	0
8	Jul_28_2016	96.22	100.75	101.1	100.71			99.84(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-6	-34	4.48	53%	0.09	86.8	0.74%	0	-0.9	47	0
9	Jul_27_2016	96.13	100.66	101.36	100.92			99.91(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7	-10000	-9	-2	4.76	53%	0.09	81.5	0.76%	0	-0.6	61	0
10	Jul_26_2016	96.04	100.5	101.36	101.25			101.35(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10000	-1	37	1.4	58%	0.09	66.2	0.74%	0	0.5	73	0

11	Jul_25_2016	95.95	100.22	101.36	101.3			101.1(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-4	50	1.32	58%	0.1	50.5	0.75%	0	0.5	64	0
12	Jul_22_2016	95.85	99.97	101.56	101.45			101.34(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10000	-3	69	2.01	58%	0.11	47.4	0.75%	0	0.6	66	0
13	Jul_21_2016	95.74	99.83	101.49	101.57			100.91(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-10000	-8	86	1.22	55%	0.12	55.5	0.75%	0	0.5	68	0
14	Jul_20_2016	95.63	99.65	101.34	101.87			101.55(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-10000	-1	114	1.33	55%	0.13	63	0.76%	0	0.9	80	0
15	Jul_19_2016	95.51	99.47	101.09	101.9			101.6(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	2	138	1.43	55%	0.15	70.9	0.77%	0	1	84	0

16	Jul_18_2016	95.37	99.26	100.9	101.84			101.84(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	46	-10000	4	171	1.96	55%	0.14	76.4	0.77%	0	1.2	88	0
17	Jul_15_2016	95.24	98.99	100.67	101.68			101.96(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	-10000	7	195	2.28	55%	0.14	76.7	0.77%	0	1.4	82	0
18	Jul_14_2016	95.11	98.67	100.36	101.4			102.39(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	62	-10000	17	195	2.51	55%	0.16	72.7	0.77%	0	1.8	64	0
19	Jul_13_2016	94.96	98.32	99.89	100.73			101.74(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	-10000	15	171	1.79	55%	0.14	65.7	0.77%	0	1.7	67	0
20	Jul_12_2016	94.83	97.99	99.35	100.16			101.28(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	-10000	9	134	2.37	58%	0.14	59.8	0.77%	0	1.7	62	0

21	Jul_11_2016	94.7	97.68	98.76	99.83			101.02(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	8	105	2.24	58%	0.13	59.1	0.78%	0	1.8	63	0
22	Jul_8_2016	94.58	97.41	98.25	99.52			100.57(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	8	90	2.45	58%	0.13	63.7	0.78%	0	1.9	65	0
23	Jul_7_2016	94.46	97.19	98	99.19			99.04(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	7	99	2.34	55%	0.11	70.8	0.76%	0	1.2	64	0
24	Jul_6_2016	94.36	97.04	97.82	98.92			98.92(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	-10000	15	104	3.27	55%	0.11	73.8	0.77%	0	1.3	65	0
25	Jul_5_2016	94.26	96.86	97.71	98.36			99.59(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	-10000	23	104	2.82	55%		67.3	0.77%	0	1.9	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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