Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(UPS)
UPS latest price $98.1102 (0.33%) ($97.3253 - $98.6734) on Wed. Jan. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $98.1102(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UPS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UPS advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UPS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(23%)    XHB(15%)    VWO(14%)    XLB(14%)    XLI(14%)
Factors Impacting UPS price   UPS will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    TLT(-6%)    BNDX(-6%)    GLD(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $96.98(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.69(1.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $97.07(1.07%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   13.4%
Market Cap   $84.63b

United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a logistics and package delivery company providing supply chain management services. Its logistics services include transportation, distribution, contract logistics, ground freight, ocean freight, air freight, customs brokerage, insurance, and financing. The company operates through the following segments: U.S. Domestic Package, International Package, and Supply Chain and Freight. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers a full spectrum of U.S. domestic guaranteed ground and air package transportation services. The International Package segment includes small package operations in Europe, Asia-Pacific, Canada and Latin America, Indian sub-continent, and the Middle East and Africa. The Supply Chain and Freight segment offers transportation, distribution, and international trade and brokerage services. The company was founded by James E. Casey and Claude Ryan on August 28, 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, GA.

$. UPS price fluctuates within 1.31% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_21_2015	91.57	97.07	96.69	96.98			98.11(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	7	24	2.14	78%	0.14	2.3	0.86%	0	0.8	46	0
2	Jan_20_2015	91.44	97.03	96.32	96.7			97.79(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	7	-14	4.12	78%	0.15	-0.7	0.92%	0	0.6	43	0
3	Jan_16_2015	91.3	97.01	96.04	96.41			96.9(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10000	3	-47	4.5	79%	0.13	-5.9	0.93%	0	-0.1	42	0
4	Jan_15_2015	91.18	96.94	96.02	96.28			96.01(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-4	-65	2.85	79%	0.12	-13.3	0.94%	0	-0.7	35	0
5	Jan_14_2015	91.07	96.97	96.17	96.48			96.08(-0.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-13	-10000	4	-63	2.98	80%	0.12	-9.4	0.94%	0	-0.7	35	0

6	Jan_13_2015	90.96	96.97	96.39	96.32			96.73(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	10	-67	3.24	76%	0.13	-10.9	0.94%	0	-0.2	40	0
7	Jan_12_2015	90.84	97.04	96.57	95.86			96.32(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-10000	6	-78	2.2	76%	0.12	-24.1	0.96%	0	-0.5	45	0
8	Jan_9_2015	90.73	97.08	96.76	95.6			96.28(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-24	-10000	-3	-87	2.06	72%	0.12	-29.2	0.96%	0	-0.6	45	0
9	Jan_8_2015	90.62	97.11	96.99	95.73			96.99(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-18	-10000	-3	-63	2.88	73%	0.12	-28.9	0.98%	0	-0.1	59	0
10	Jan_7_2015	90.51	97.1	97.16	95.87			95.28(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-13	-51	1.95	66%	0.11	-27.9	0.98%	0	-1.4	47	0

11	Jan_6_2015	90.41	97.19	97.48	96.51			94.4(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-20	-10000	-18	-24	3.81	66%	0.11	-14	1.02%	0	-2.2	39	0
12	Jan_5_2015	90.31	97.35	97.83	97.39			95.03(-2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-7	-10000	-13	12	3.52	66%	0.11	10.9	1.02%	0	-2.2	45	0
13	Jan_2_2015	90.21	97.47	98.11	98.05			96.97(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	5	-10000	-7	39	2.67	73%	0.22	47.9	1%	0	-0.5	50	0
14	Dec_31_2014	90.01	97.49	97.99	98.41			97.66(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-10000	-4	47	1.39	70%	0.17	78	0.99%	0	0.2	56	0
15	Dec_30_2014	89.86	97.46	97.89	98.63			98.51(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	0	56	2.35	71%	0.17	98.9	1%	0	1.2	61	0

16	Dec_29_2014	89.71	97.36	97.76	98.61			98.79(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	5	61	1.76	71%	0.18	112.1	1.01%	0	1.6	61	0
17	Dec_26_2014	89.55	97.24	97.55	98.35			98.33(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	15	-10000	4	48	1.29	71%	0.26	128.2	1.01%	0	1.3	54	0
18	Dec_24_2014	89.32	97.04	97.43	98.17			98.75(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	14	47	1.28	68%	0.17	101.9	1.02%	0	1.6	59	0
19	Dec_23_2014	89.17	96.81	97.21	97.49			98.79(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	9	19	2.67	66%	0.17	80.7	1.03%	0	1.7	56	0
20	Dec_22_2014	89.02	96.58	96.98	97.03			98.39(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	3	-10000	4	-0	2.36	64%	0.16	72.7	1.03%	0	1.5	57	0

21	Dec_19_2014	88.88	96.38	96.81	96.81			97.48(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	3	-6	5.58	64%	0.16	68.3	1.05%	0	0.9	56	0
22	Dec_18_2014	88.74	96.2	96.8	96.64			97.45(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	1	-8	3.77	64%	0.12	57.1	1.05%	0	1	55	0
23	Dec_17_2014	88.63	95.98	96.74	96.59			95.36(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-10000	-5	4	6.5	63%	0.11	44	1.02%	0	-0.4	62	0
24	Dec_16_2014	88.53	95.88	96.96	96.86			96.49(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-1	33	4.89	65%	0.08	40.5	1.02%	0	0.4	68	0
25	Dec_15_2014	88.46	95.74	97.02	96.89			97.29(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	2	52	4.28	65%		35.5	1.01%	0	1	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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