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     Tue. Nov. 3, 2020

Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Wed. Feb. 24, 2021)

(United States Natural Gas)

UNG latest price $11.6100 (-5.22%) ($11.5300 - $11.7800) on Tue. Nov. 3, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Downtrend Reversal
Trend Narrative  Uptrend Consolidation
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.38 (3.09% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3.53% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.5% (StdDev 3.53%)
Daily Moving Force  -2.6%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   0.12%
Trend Strength  0.3%
RSI   51
Momentum  0.9
Latest Price  $11.6100(-5.22%)
Forecasted Low Price  11.45(-1.4%)
Forecasted High Price  11.71(0.9%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(-1.7%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  11.8% ((12.98))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  8.2%
Hourly Trend   -3.7% [$11.97(-0.44), $12.2(-0.2)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  7
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  UNG declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  UNG advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support UNG decline at-1% a week (68% probability)
  UUP(25%)    URA(19%)    XBI(13%)    IWF(9%)    ONLN(9%)  
Factors Impacting UNG price  UNG will decline at least -0.2% in a week (22% probabilities).
  BWX(-27%)    HYXU(-26%)    JETS(-18%)    FEX(-17%)    EWG(-17%)  
Explanation   The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1
 
Relative Volatility   -2.5 (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.7% (StdDev 3.53%)
Hourly BBV   -0.8 ()
Intraday Trend   -1.4%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $11.57(-0.34%)
Resistance Level  $12.31
5 Day Moving Average  $12.32(-5.76%)
10 Day Moving Average  $12.35(-5.99%)
20 Day Moving Average  $12.31(-5.69%)
To recent high  -19.8%
To recent low  4.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. UNG price fluctuates within 3.09% (three month std-dev: 3.53%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. UNG price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201203

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
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Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Nov_3_2020 (0.4%)12.35 (0%)12.32 (-1.5%) 12.2 11.97(0%)11.61(-5.22%)11.53-11.78-0.1(-1.8)-0.8 -2.6%-0.5%0%0.12%0.3%510.9 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.5%)7-1-1.6Uptrend Consolidation 11.79(1.53%)11.84-11.626.74   -19.8%-4.9% 
2Nov_2_202012.31 (0.4%)12.44 (0.2%)12.51 (-0.1%) 12.4 12.41(0%)12.25(-3.85%)12.18-12.390.6(-0.2)-2.4 -0.1%-0.1%0%0.24%1%460.7 N/A  Range(1.7%)80.8-2.5Uptrend 12.29(0.33%)12.26-12.34.01   -15.4%-10.7% 
3Oct_30_202012.29 (0.4%)12.46 (0.2%)12.52 (1.1%) 12.41 12.42(0%)12.74(1.51%)12.34-12.760.8(1)4.4 0.4%0.5%0%0.22%1.4%490.9 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.9%)82.2-2.2Growing Uptrend 12.78(0.31%)12.66-12.812.62   -12%-24.2% 
4Oct_29_202012.21 (0.2%)12.41 (0%)12.39 (0.2%) 12.36 12.39(0%)12.55(0.72%)11.94-12.670.6(0.7)4.1 0.1%0.3%0%0.08%1.6%531 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)81.9-2.4N/A 12.49(-0.5%)12.36-12.593.76   -13.3%-22.3% 
5Oct_28_202012.15 (0.2%)12.4 (0%)12.36 (-0.2%) 12.36 12.4(0%)12.46(-0.56%)12.4-12.590.6(0.6)-3.6 0.2%0.5%0%0.06%2%591 Growing Uptrend  Range(1%)72.1-2.4After Top 12.41(-0.38%)12.31-12.52.62   -14%-21.4% 
 
6Oct_27_202012.1 (0%)12.33 (0%)12.39 (0.2%) 12.32 12.34(0%)12.53(1.87%)12.08-12.640.6(0.8)3.8 0.2%0.1%0%0.08%1.9%611 N/A  Range(0.3%)61.5-0.6Range Bound 12.47(-0.45%)12.37-12.562.28   -13.5%-23.3% 
7Oct_26_202012.1 (-0%)12.34 (0.2%)12.36 (-0.3%) 12.41 12.24(0%)12.3(1.65%)12.16-12.480.5(0.5)-2.8 -0.4%-0.3%0%0.18%2.5%641 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.7%)60.9-0.2N/A 12.23(-0.54%)12.1-12.342.73   -15.1%-21.1% 
8Oct_23_202012.04 (0%)12.38 (0.4%)12.4 (-0.3%) 12.44 12.31(0%)12.1(-2.34%)12.08-12.250.6(0.1)-2 -1.3%-0.2%0%0.32%2.8%541.1 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.3%)7-0.40.8Uptrend Consolidation 12.07(-0.22%)12.05-12.152.08   -16.4%-19.1% 
9Oct_22_202012.07 (0.2%)12.41 (0.6%)12.4 (0%) 12.51 12.31(0%)12.39(-1.98%)12.34-12.630.7(0.6)-4 %0.2%0%0.52%2.9%651.1 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.2%)80.20.6After Top 12.41(0.14%)12.22-12.562.2   -14.4%-25.9% 
10Oct_21_202012.09 (0.2%)12.36 (0.8%)12.44 (1.4%) 12.49 12.57(0%)12.64(2.1%)12.61-12.740.7(1)4.4 1%0.5%0%0.62%2.3%651.1 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.5%)70.70.1Growing Uptrend 12.76(0.95%)12.54-12.821.98   -12.7%-30.2% 
 
11Oct_20_202012.08 (0.2%)12.27 (0.8%)12.27 (-0.3%) 12.42 12.44(0%)12.38(-0.88%)12.31-12.640.5(0.5)-4 0.4%0.6%0%0.54%1.6%611.1 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.4%)70.20.2Uptrend 12.47(0.69%)12.34-12.522.4   -14.5%-28.8% 
12Oct_19_202012.04 (0.2%)12.18 (0.8%)12.31 (-0.5%) 12.28 12.44(0%)12.49(1.71%)12.28-12.550.6(0.8)-5.9 -0.2%0.4%0%0.58%1.1%631.1 Correction  Range(0.2%)70.51.2Uptrend 12.56(0.59%)12.4-12.632.95   -13.7%-30% 
13Oct_16_202012.02 (0.2%)12.11 (0.8%)12.37 (-0.2%) 12.34 12.4(0%)12.28(-0.89%)12.16-12.630.6(0.5)-2 0.6%0.7%0%0.58%0.8%481.1 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.7%)7-0.10.9Growing Uptrend 12.38(0.85%)12.25-12.423.62   -15.2%-27.8% 
14Oct_15_202012 (0.2%)12 (0.6%)12.39 (0.9%) 12.48 12.15(0%)12.39(5.09%)12.28-12.570.7(0.7)-1 -0.4%0.8%0%0.42%0%481.1 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.4%)600.7Uptrend 12.45(0.5%)12.33-12.53.9   -14.4%-28.9% 
15Oct_14_202011.96 (0%)11.89 (0.2%)12.28 (0.2%) 12.49 12.29(0%)11.79(-6.58%)11.73-12.140.6(-0.3)-0.5 -1.9%0.1%0%0.16%-0.6%411.1 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(1.5%)6-10.9N/A 11.85(0.52%)11.83-11.878.21   -18.6%-22.7% 
 
16Oct_13_202011.96 (-0%)11.86 (0%)12.26 (2.1%) 12.43 12.8(0%)12.62(-1.1%)12.55-12.940.7(1.2)3.7 1.4%0.8%0%-0%-1%491.1 N/A  Higher(2.8%)60.20.9Rebound 12.34(-2.22%)12.65-12.213.89   -12.8%-31.3% 
17Oct_12_202011.97 (-0.2%)11.72 (-0.2%)12.01 (1.5%) 12.2 12.68(0%)12.76(3.07%)12.69-13.150.3(1.4)1.9 3.6%0.4%0%-0.26%-2.1%591.1 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(4%)50.21.3Downtrend 12.67(-0.67%)12.7-12.614.82   -11.9%-32.8% 
18Oct_9_202011.94 (-0.4%)11.67 (-0.4%)11.83 (2.3%) 11.85 12.05(0%)12.38(4.38%)12.24-12.67-0.2(0.8)0.7 2.1%-0%0%-0.4%-2.3%521.1 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(2.1%)4-0.11.1Downtrend 12.3(-0.65%)12.3-12.34.56   -14.5%-28.8% 
19Oct_8_202011.92 (-0.6%)11.68 (-0.6%)11.57 (1.1%) 11.72 11.72(0%)11.86(1.37%)11.39-11.9-0.7(-0.1)3.1 0.9%-0.6%0%-0.56%-2.1%511.1 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.3%)4-0.81.1Downtrend 11.77(-0.76%)11.73-11.865.3   -18.1%-23.4% 
20Oct_7_202011.95 (-0.8%)11.77 (-0.4%)11.44 (0.5%) 11.59 11.64(0%)11.7(3.17%)11.41-12.01-1(-0.5)2.3 0.1%-0.6%0%-0.54%-1.5%541.1 Downtrend Pop  Range(-0.5%)5-0.90.7Downtrend 11.62(-0.7%)11.57-11.744.73   -19.2%-21.7% 
 
21Oct_6_202012 (-0.8%)11.85 (-0.4%)11.38 (0.1%) 11.46 11.72(0%)11.34(-4.47%)11.25-11.85-1.2(-1.2)-1.3 0.9%-0.4%0%-0.56%-1.3%451.2 Confirmed Rebound  Higher(2.7%)5-1.20.3Rebound 11.63(2.57%)11.18-11.824.73   -21.7%-18% 
22Oct_5_202012.07 (-0.8%)11.89 (-0.6%)11.37 (-1.1%) 11.43 11.54(0%)11.87(7.23%)11.73-12.24-1.3(-0.4)1 1.6%-0.4%0%-0.7%-1.5%451.1 Confirmed Rebound  Range(1.2%)5-0.70.5Downtrend 11.74(-1.07%)11.68-11.96.26   -18%-23.5% 
23Oct_2_202012.16 (-0.8%)11.92 (-0.6%)11.5 (-2.6%) 11.33 11.19(0%)11.07(-1.42%)10.93-11.46-1.4(-1.6)-5.2 -1.9%-0.8%0%-0.64%-2%401.4 Growing Downtrend  Range(-2%)4-1.70.7Growing Downtrend 10.96(-1.03%)10.82-11.243.29   -23.5%-15.2% 
24Oct_1_202012.28 (-0.8%)12.01 (-0.4%)11.81 (-2.7%) 11.64 11.32(0%)11.23(-1.58%)10.98-11.42-1.1(-1.6)-5.6 -2.1%-0.5%0%-0.46%-2.2%451.3 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.8%)4-1.90.9Growing Downtrend 11.15(-0.68%)11.05-11.43.34   -22.4%-16.9% 
25Sep_30_202012.39 (-0.6%)12.05 (-0.2%)12.14 (-1.9%) 12 11.46(0%)11.41(1.06%)11.15-11.58-0.8(-1.5)-2.5 -3.4%-0.7%0%-0.3%-2.7%431.3 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-4.1%)4-1.70.8Relative Oversold 11.58(1.5%)11.22-11.873.25   -21.2%-18.7% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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