Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 11, 2018

Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Natural Gas)
UNG latest price $26.6300 (-1.3%) ($26.0800 - $26.7700) on Thu. Oct. 11, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.44% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $26.6300(-1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   UNG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UNG advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UNG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(21%)    XLE(16%)    VYM(14%)    URA(13%)    XLB(13%)
Factors Impacting UNG price   UNG will decline at least -0.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    VXX(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.72% (StdDev 1.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.77(-0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.4(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.38(4.93%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   20.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. UNG price fluctuates within 5.4% (three month std-dev: 1.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20181111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_11_2018	23.82	25.38	26.4	26.77			26.63(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	-10000	3	149	6	67%	0.13	70.6	1.44%	0	0.9	67	-3.6
2	Oct_10_2018	23.79	25.21	26.27	26.71			26.98(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	2	161	4.68	65%	0.17	70.1	1.43%	0	1.3	71	-3.5
3	Oct_9_2018	23.75	25.02	26.04	26.68			27.11(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	-10000	10	179	5.14	65%	0.17	72.1	1.45%	0	1.5	75	-1.3
4	Oct_8_2018	23.71	24.82	25.84	26.48			27.07(3.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	-10000	14	187	4.3	65%	0.17	71.1	1.45%	0	1.7	74	-0.9
5	Oct_5_2018	23.67	24.61	25.64	26.21			26.06(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	63	-10000	14	210	3.46	59%	0.08	65.3	1.38%	0	1.1	75	-0.2

6	Oct_4_2018	23.65	24.45	25.49	25.96			26.32(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	64	-10000	12	218	4.27	59%	0.17	57.7	1.4%	0	1.5	79	0.1
7	Oct_3_2018	23.61	24.27	25.3	25.75			26.85(2.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	77	-10000	26	231	3.84	62%	0.17	52.5	1.39%	0	2.1	78	1.3
8	Oct_2_2018	23.57	24.07	24.99	25.3			26.11(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	59	-10000	11	201	3.16	57%	0.13	46.1	1.35%	0	1.9	74	1.1
9	Oct_1_2018	23.54	23.91	24.76	25.12			25.71(3.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	54	-10000	7	195	3.86	56%	0.09	43.8	1.37%	0	1.9	72	1.2
10	Sep_28_2018	23.52	23.81	24.49	25			24.83(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	51	-10000	3	193	3.26	52%	0.09	45.1	1.31%	0	1.2	70	1.3

11	Sep_27_2018	23.5	23.75	24.29	24.95			25.24(2.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	57	-10000	11	196	4.45	56%	0.13	42.9	1.3%	0	1.8	76	1.3
12	Sep_26_2018	23.47	23.65	24.07	24.77			24.63(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	56	-10000	11	191	3.34	53%	0.13	36.8	1.27%	0	1.3	73	1.3
13	Sep_25_2018	23.44	23.58	23.93	24.6			25.2(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	61	-10000	18	189	2.23	56%	0.13	26.1	1.24%	0	2.2	79	1.4
14	Sep_24_2018	23.41	23.49	23.72	24.33			25.08(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	63	-10000	28	167	2.8	56%	0.13	13.8	1.24%	0	2.5	74	1.7
15	Sep_21_2018	23.38	23.42	23.5	23.91			24.59(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	45	-10000	26	102	3.31	54%	0.09	-8.6	1.23%	0	2.3	54	2.3

16	Sep_20_2018	23.36	23.39	23.32	23.53			24.37(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	24	-10000	19	40	4.63	56%	0.09	-27.8	1.22%	0	2	56	2.6
17	Sep_19_2018	23.34	23.37	23.15	23.26			23.77(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	-10000	8	-9	2.76	51%	0.04	-44.7	1.2%	0	0.9	51	2.6
18	Sep_18_2018	23.33	23.39	23.06	23.15			23.84(3.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-1	-10000	9	-31	4.4	48%	0.04	-45.4	1.21%	0	0.9	55	1.6
19	Sep_17_2018	23.32	23.4	22.98	23.03			22.96(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-1	-62	1.7	43%	0.04	-50.9	1.14%	0	-0.8	41	1.1
20	Sep_14_2018	23.31	23.46	23.07	23.04			22.69(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-2	-60	1.89	44%	-0.04	-48.3	1.16%	0	-1.4	32	1.9

21	Sep_13_2018	23.32	23.52	23.16	23.06			23.06(-0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	-10000	4	-68	1.56	46%	0	-53.5	1.14%	0	-0.9	31	1.6
22	Sep_12_2018	23.32	23.58	23.21	23.01			23.21(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	-10000	5	-87	2.03	46%	0.04	-56.9	1.15%	0	-0.7	34	1
23	Sep_11_2018	23.31	23.63	23.22	22.95			23.21(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-28	-10000	2	-117	1.44	48%	0	-55	1.15%	0	-0.8	31	0.9
24	Sep_10_2018	23.31	23.67	23.25	22.93			23.02(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-46	-10000	-14	-140	2.47	48%	0.04	-52.6	1.16%	0	-1.3	33	0.2
25	Sep_7_2018	23.3	23.73	23.34	23.12			22.8(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-10000	-13	-126	1.3	48%		-37	1.15%	0	-1.9	29	-0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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