Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Natural Gas)
UNG latest price $27.7600 (-1%) ($27.4800 - $28.2400) on Thu. May. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.82% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $27.7600(-1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   UNG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UNG declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UNG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(20%)    XLE(15%)    VYM(13%)    USO(12%)    XLB(12%)
Factors Impacting UNG price   UNG will decline at least -1.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
IBUY(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.41% (StdDev 2.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.62(0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.41(1.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.56(0.73%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   19.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. UNG price fluctuates within 2.9% (three month std-dev: 2.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2016	28.56	27.56	27.41	27.62			27.76(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	4	-9	1.6	44%	-0.07	19.3	2.82%	0	0.3	41	0
2	May_11_2016	28.58	27.51	27.31	27.46			28.04(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	2	-29	1.38	44%	-0.07	10	2.82%	0	0.7	47	0
3	May_10_2016	28.6	27.49	27.27	27.39			28(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	5	-35	1.43	44%	-0.03	18.5	2.84%	0	0.6	48	0
4	May_9_2016	28.61	27.46	27.25	27.19			27.16(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	-10000	4	-47	0.87	42%	-0.03	16.2	2.82%	0	-0.4	43	0
5	May_6_2016	28.62	27.46	27.36	27.05			27.12(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	-3	-43	1.63	45%	-0.03	5.2	2.85%	0	-0.3	57	0

6	May_5_2016	28.63	27.41	27.54	27.17			26.96(-2.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-3	-10000	1	-15	1.68	47%	-0.03	12.2	2.87%	0	-0.5	58	0
7	May_4_2016	28.64	27.43	27.69	27.12			27.72(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-2	-10000	-0	-6	1.61	45%	-0.03	13.7	2.89%	0	0.3	57	0
8	May_3_2016	28.65	27.34	27.75	27.13			27(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-5	-3	1.58	45%	-0.1	7.8	2.9%	0	-0.4	48	0
9	May_2_2016	28.68	27.32	27.88	27.32			26.44(-4.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-10000	-10	9	2.27	42%	-0.14	11.7	2.89%	0	-1	47	0
10	Apr_29_2016	28.72	27.37	27.91	27.71			27.72(3.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-10000	-7	28	3.81	44%	-0.14	29.2	3.01%	0	0.4	61	0

11	Apr_28_2016	28.76	27.37	27.75	27.99			26.74(-3.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	2	-10000	-8	33	2.5	44%	-0.21	41.8	3.01%	0	-0.6	51	0
12	Apr_27_2016	28.82	27.31	27.77	28.34			27.76(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-3	46	1.94	46%	-0.17	61.3	3.02%	0	0.5	53	0
13	Apr_26_2016	28.87	27.27	27.76	28.45			27.96(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-1	65	1.34	46%	-0.14	69.5	3.02%	0	0.8	62	0
14	Apr_25_2016	28.91	27.22	27.7	28.51			28.36(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	9	80	1.49	46%	-0.21	78.4	3.02%	0	1.3	59	0
15	Apr_22_2016	28.97	27.11	27.48	28.11			29.12(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	-10000	15	60	2.4	46%	-0.17	65.5	3%	0	2.3	57	0

16	Apr_21_2016	29.02	26.93	27.25	27.48			28.48(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	-10000	9	35	1.81	46%	-0.21	39.8	2.99%	0	1.9	59	0
17	Apr_20_2016	29.08	26.76	27.13	27.13			28.32(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	8	-10000	3	24	3.49	46%	-0.24	21.8	2.99%	0	1.9	58	0
18	Apr_19_2016	29.15	26.65	26.87	26.99			28.28(7.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	6	-10000	4	11	2.73	46%	-0.24	19.3	3%	0	2.2	55	0
19	Apr_18_2016	29.22	26.52	26.68	26.82			26.36(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	2	-10000	2	-0	1.91	41%	-0.31	13.9	2.85%	0	-0.2	48	0
20	Apr_15_2016	29.31	26.54	26.77	26.76			25.96(-2.84%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-3	-10000	-5	2	2.44	41%	-0.1	18.4	2.87%	0	-0.9	51	0

21	Apr_14_2016	29.34	26.6	26.83	26.96			26.72(-3.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-4	17	2.37	38%	-0.34	38.3	2.85%	0	0.2	58	0
22	Apr_13_2016	29.44	26.59	26.82	27.1			27.64(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	9	39	3.19	39%	-0.3	54.4	2.91%	0	1.6	65	0
23	Apr_12_2016	29.53	26.51	26.75	26.73			27.4(5.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	-10000	5	27	3.45	37%	-0.3	56	2.91%	0	1.4	56	0
24	Apr_11_2016	29.62	26.43	26.69	26.54			26.08(-3.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-6	24	2.81	32%	-0.37	59.5	2.89%	0	-0.6	54	0
25	Apr_8_2016	29.73	26.42	26.72	26.78			26.96(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	3	35	4.56	36%		84.3	2.91%	0	0.9	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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