Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Natural Gas)
UNG latest price $26.8800 (2.44%) ($25.9200 - $27.0000) on Tue. Mar. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.93% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $26.8800(2.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   UNG advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UNG advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UNG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(20%)    XLE(15%)    VYM(13%)    USO(12%)    XLB(12%)
Factors Impacting UNG price   UNG will decline at least -1.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    SPLV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.465% (StdDev 2.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.04(3.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.25(2.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.49(5.45%)
To recent high   -27%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. UNG price fluctuates within 4.39% (three month std-dev: 2.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160429

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_29_2016	30.75	25.49	26.25	26.04			26.88(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	6	28	2.49	35%	-0.39	17.3	2.93%	0	1.2	68	0
2	Mar_28_2016	30.87	25.35	26.13	25.8			26.24(2.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	4	-10000	-3	25	3.36	41%	-0.77	1.8	2.93%	0	0.8	65	0
3	Mar_24_2016	31.11	25.3	26.08	25.9			25.6(1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-8	39	2.19	41%	-0.42	0	3.17%	0	0.3	66	0
4	Mar_23_2016	31.24	25.28	26.08	26.24			25.2(-4.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	14	-10000	-6	73	2.95	44%	-0.41	0.5	3.17%	0	-0.1	68	0
5	Mar_22_2016	31.37	25.32	26.1	26.48			26.28(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	0	97	5.84	46%	-0.41	-4.2	3.17%	0	0.9	71	0

6	Mar_21_2016	31.5	25.3	25.92	26.47			25.68(-3.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	24	-10000	-1	97	5.96	49%	-0.44	-13.2	3.16%	0	0.3	57	0
7	Mar_18_2016	31.64	25.32	25.81	26.49			26.72(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	5	102	2.24	51%	-0.38	-22.6	3.25%	0	1.3	68	0
8	Mar_17_2016	31.76	25.3	25.52	26.29			27.32(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	-10000	8	86	3.36	50%	-0.35	-37.1	3.23%	0	1.8	59	0
9	Mar_16_2016	31.87	25.28	25.1	25.96			26.4(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	7	59	4.27	48%	-0.44	-49.2	3.23%	0	0.9	56	0
10	Mar_15_2016	32.01	25.37	24.82	25.67			26.24(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	9	32	5.11	45%	-0.47	-57.4	3.23%	0	0.6	49	0

11	Mar_14_2016	32.16	25.44	24.65	25.29			25.76(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	7	7	4.31	44%	-0.53	-73.7	3.28%	0	0.2	47	0
12	Mar_11_2016	32.33	25.58	24.48	25.02			25.72(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	10	-19	2.56	44%	-0.55	-73.8	3.32%	0	0.1	44	0
13	Mar_10_2016	32.51	25.73	24.42	24.62			25.68(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	13	-41	4.88	43%	-0.58	-72.5	3.32%	0	-0	43	0
14	Mar_9_2016	32.7	25.93	24.36	24.11			24.96(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	7	-77	7.79	43%	-0.64	-72	3.31%	0	-0.5	34	0
15	Mar_8_2016	32.91	26.2	24.45	23.85			24.32(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.2	-29	-10000	-2	-108	6.38	43%	-0.66	-67.1	3.29%	0	-0.8	24	0

16	Mar_7_2016	33.13	26.53	24.6	23.93			24.4(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	-10000	2	-118	8.67	41%	-0.63	-61.7	3.29%	0	-0.9	29	0
17	Mar_4_2016	33.34	26.81	24.79	23.86			23.72(2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-10000	-9	-139	2.65	41%	-0.66	-67.9	3.32%	0	-1.3	22	0
18	Mar_3_2016	33.56	27.09	25.06	24.21			23.16(-2.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-44	-10000	-10	-145	5.06	41%	-0.71	-72.9	3.3%	0	-1.6	17	0
19	Mar_2_2016	33.8	27.45	25.48	24.63			23.64(-4.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-46	-10000	-12	-146	4.59	40%	-0.71	-75.3	3.3%	0	-1.7	16	0
20	Mar_1_2016	34.04	27.78	25.97	25.12			24.72(2.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10000	-6	-140	4.81	41%	-0.64	-78.3	3.28%	0	-1.4	16	0

21	Feb_29_2016	34.26	28.11	26.31	25.37			24.08(-5.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-47	-10000	-11	-154	7.64	41%	-0.7	-76.2	3.23%	0	-1.9	10	0
22	Feb_26_2016	34.5	28.6	26.79	25.84			25.44(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10000	-5	-146	5.13	42%	-0.61	-63.9	3.18%	0	-1.4	24	0
23	Feb_25_2016	34.71	28.96	27.16	26.05			25.28(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-10000	-10	-140	4.85	42%	-0.6	-59.9	3.2%	0	-1.6	32	0
24	Feb_24_2016	34.92	29.28	27.63	26.46			26.08(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-10000	-12	-130	2.99	42%	-0.57	-59	3.19%	0	-1.5	30	0
25	Feb_23_2016	35.12	29.57	28.09	26.98			25.96(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-10	-108	2.32	42%		-54.3	3.19%	0	-1.7	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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