Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UNG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Natural Gas)
UNG latest price $55.6000 (1.39%) ($54.3600 - $55.8000) on Mon. May. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.39% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $55.6000(1.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   UNG advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UNG advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UNG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(21%)    XLE(15%)    USO(13%)    VYM(12%)    XLB(12%)
Factors Impacting UNG price   UNG will decline at least -1.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)    VIXM(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.195% (StdDev 2.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.08(4.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.15(6.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52(6.92%)
To recent high   -7.5%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. UNG price fluctuates within 3.1% (three month std-dev: 2.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150604

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_4_2015	57.21	52	52.15	53.08			55.6(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	23	-10000	19	35	1.08	53%	-0.38	1.9	2.39%	0	2.2	65	0
2	May_1_2015	57.43	51.86	51.67	51.87			54.84(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	11	-10000	13	4	1.43	53%	-0.36	-20.9	2.42%	0	2.1	64	0
3	Apr_30_2015	57.64	51.81	51.43	51.07			53.84(5.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	5	-10000	9	-8	3.37	53%	-0.38	-36.3	2.43%	0	1.5	62	0
4	Apr_29_2015	57.86	51.73	51.38	50.51			51.12(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-7	-10000	-4	-17	1.65	45%	-0.41	-59.5	2.34%	0	-0.5	51	0
5	Apr_28_2015	58.1	51.81	51.47	50.73			50(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-6	-15	0.98	45%	-0.43	-66.4	2.39%	0	-1.4	40	0

6	Apr_27_2015	58.35	51.97	51.58	51.07			49.56(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-8	-10000	-5	-17	1.84	45%	-0.49	-70.4	2.39%	0	-1.9	36	0
7	Apr_24_2015	58.64	52.17	51.7	51.38			50.84(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-7	-22	0.79	47%	-0.41	-82	2.39%	0	-1.1	40	0
8	Apr_23_2015	58.88	52.32	51.68	51.81			51.04(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-9	-29	2.6	47%	-0.47	-83.1	2.41%	0	-1.1	36	0
9	Apr_22_2015	59.16	52.53	51.69	52.37			52.2(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	0	-17	0.91	47%	-0.47	-76.9	2.42%	0	-0.2	50	0
10	Apr_21_2015	59.44	52.72	51.73	52.35			51.72(1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-2	-10000	3	-18	0.93	47%	-0.52	-69.3	2.45%	0	-0.6	46	0

11	Apr_20_2015	59.75	52.91	51.88	52.17			51.12(-3.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-4	-10000	2	-21	2.05	42%	-0.6	-69.2	2.46%	0	-1.1	43	0
12	Apr_17_2015	60.11	53.16	52.1	52.02			52.96(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	8	-22	0.82	45%	-0.12	-65.3	2.55%	0	-0.1	48	0
13	Apr_16_2015	60.18	53.35	52.21	51.51			53.84(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-2	-10000	9	-33	2.65	45%	-0.59	-63.5	2.56%	0	0.3	48	0
14	Apr_15_2015	60.54	53.56	52.05	50.94			52.12(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-2	-64	1.73	41%	-0.67	-59.3	2.54%	0	-0.6	35	0
15	Apr_14_2015	60.95	53.82	52.12	51.06			50.8(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10000	-8	-78	0.92	49%	-0.62	-51.4	2.54%	0	-1.3	24	0

16	Apr_13_2015	61.33	54.07	52.36	51.6			50.36(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-10000	-8	-65	1.33	53%	-0.68	-45.5	2.97%	0	-1.6	27	0
17	Apr_10_2015	61.75	54.33	52.67	52.2			50.44(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-10	-62	1.37	50%	-0.74	-46.6	3.1%	0	-1.8	25	0
18	Apr_9_2015	62.21	54.61	53.04	52.99			51(-3.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-10000	-3	-54	2.77	50%	-0.69	-45.4	3.12%	0	-1.9	25	0
19	Apr_8_2015	62.64	54.93	53.47	53.27			52.72(-1.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-16	-10000	-1	-60	1.82	52%	-0.62	-42	3.1%	0	-1.2	24	0
20	Apr_7_2015	63.03	55.07	53.82	53.32			53.48(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	-10000	1	-62	1.09	52%	-0.6	-42.8	3.11%	0	-0.9	33	0

21	Apr_6_2015	63.41	55.13	54.02	53.24			53.36(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	0	-65	1.06	52%	-0.84	-45.9	3.12%	0	-1.1	43	0
22	Apr_2_2015	63.95	55.33	54.31	53.23			54.4(3.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-15	-10000	1	-63	2.25	52%	-0.53	-39.2	3.09%	0	-0.5	48	0
23	Apr_1_2015	64.29	55.49	54.55	53.14			52.4(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10000	-7	-65	1.67	49%	-0.57	-33.3	3.05%	0	-1.8	39	0
24	Mar_31_2015	64.66	55.69	55.16	53.72			52.96(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-8	-51	0.97	45%	-0.6	-32	3.08%	0	-1.8	34	0
25	Mar_30_2015	65.05	55.81	55.63	54.41			53.08(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-6	-30	1.42	45%		-32.7	3.17%	0	-1.9	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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