Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UNG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Natural Gas)
UNG latest price $76.0800 (-1.04%) ($75.4400 - $78.1200) on Mon. Dec. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.51% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $76.0800(-1.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   UNG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UNG declines -6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UNG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(21%)    XLE(15%)    USO(13%)    OIH(11%)    VYM(11%)
Factors Impacting UNG price   UNG will decline at least -1.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-6%)    TLT(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    VIXM(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.255% (StdDev 2.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $61.02(-19.79%)
Resistance Level   $81.96
5 Day Moving Average   $75.42(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.86(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.96(-7.17%)
To recent high   -19.1%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. UNG price fluctuates within 8.52% (three month std-dev: 2.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_15_2014	84.14	81.96	75.86	75.42			76.08(-1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-35	-10000	5	-154	2.35	48%	-0.08	-41.1	2.51%	0	-0.8	32	0
2	Dec_12_2014	84.21	82.44	76.38	74.98			76.88(3.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-47	-10000	-1	-184	3.1	48%	-0.09	-47.9	2.52%	0	-0.8	30	0
3	Dec_11_2014	84.29	82.8	77.1	75.07			74.56(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-51	-10000	1	-208	3.07	45%	-0.09	-54.7	2.49%	0	-1.2	22	0
4	Dec_10_2014	84.37	83.46	78.41	75.01			75.44(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-58	-10000	-4	-220	2.29	45%	-0.09	-58.1	2.5%	0	-1.2	26	0
5	Dec_9_2014	84.45	84.12	79.82	75.41			74.12(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-10000	-10	-216	1.65	46%	-0.14	-58.2	2.49%	0	-1.6	31	0

6	Dec_8_2014	84.57	84.94	81.15	76.38			73.88(-4.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-64	-10000	-16	-209	3.25	47%	-0.15	-56.3	2.51%	0	-1.9	30	0
7	Dec_5_2014	84.7	85.86	82.76	77.98			77.36(4.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	-10000	-16	-181	2.91	49%	-0.12	-46	2.46%	0	-1.6	42	0
8	Dec_4_2014	84.8	86.64	84.39	79.51			74.24(-4.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-58	-10000	-29	-143	2.71	47%	-0.2	-30.3	2.41%	0	-2.4	41	0
9	Dec_3_2014	84.97	87.39	86.27	82.35			77.44(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-10000	-26	-88	2.69	49%	-0.15	-10.3	2.35%	0	-2.3	40	0
10	Dec_2_2014	85.1	87.92	87.52	84.92			79(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-24	-10000	-17	-43	3.77	47%	-0.14	18	2.35%	0	-2.4	40	0

11	Dec_1_2014	85.22	88.38	88.69	86.6			81.84(-3.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-15	-10000	-15	-15	4.86	49%	-0.12	54.5	2.37%	0	-2.2	41	0
12	Nov_28_2014	85.32	88.42	89.14	88.21			85.04(-3.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-10000	-17	-7	1.57	51%	-0.14	74.2	2.32%	0	-1.1	42	0
13	Nov_26_2014	85.44	88.24	89.08	90.01			88.44(-2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-10000	-8	2	3.61	53%	-0.06	76.3	2.26%	0	0.1	44	0
14	Nov_25_2014	85.49	87.83	88.98	90.83			90.28(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-10000	2	18	3.04	55%	-0.04	75.6	2.25%	0	0.6	54	0
15	Nov_24_2014	85.52	87.27	88.77	90.59			87.4(-2.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	-5	15	3.68	53%	0.02	65.3	2.23%	0	0	53	0

16	Nov_21_2014	85.5	86.76	89.02	91.07			89.9(-4.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	9	38	3.59	55%	-0.08	61.6	2.21%	0	0.6	56	0
17	Nov_20_2014	85.57	86.16	89.15	90.13			94.04(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	23	58	5.46	58%	-0.02	52.2	2.14%	0	1.4	71	0
18	Nov_19_2014	85.59	85.36	88.91	87.99			92.52(3.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	11	52	5.19	59%	-0.06	39.3	2.14%	0	1.3	71	0
19	Nov_18_2014	85.64	84.64	88.41	86.92			89.08(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	2	57	3.81	57%	-0.12	32.1	2.1%	0	0.9	69	0
20	Nov_17_2014	85.74	84.16	88.21	86.92			89.8(5.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	0	81	4.66	57%	-0.08	29.3	2.1%	0	1.1	72	0

21	Nov_14_2014	85.81	83.61	87.92	86.77			85.2(2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10000	-14	116	2.63	53%	-0.15	26	2.02%	0	0.3	71	0
22	Nov_13_2014	85.94	83.4	87.61	88.05			83.36(-4.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	24	-10000	-20	157	3.99	48%	-0.21	32	2.02%	0	-0	65	0
23	Nov_12_2014	86.12	83.32	87.42	89.9			87.16(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	53	-10000	-2	218	2.23	52%	-0.15	41.8	2%	0	0.8	71	0
24	Nov_11_2014	86.25	83.03	86.72	90.04			88.32(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	61	-10000	3	235	3.2	52%	-0.13	42.9	1.99%	0	1.1	73	0
25	Nov_10_2014	86.36	82.68	85.79	89.77			89.8(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	63	-10000	6	235	3.42	52%		40.3	1.98%	0	1.5	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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