Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 19, 2023

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $489.6400 (0.2%) ($489.6400 - $489.6400) on Tue. Dec. 19, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.92% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $489.6400(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(96%)    EDOC(80%)    MCHI(74%)    EWY(72%)    FXI(72%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
USO(-24%)    UNG(-10%)    UUP(-1%)    TLT(-1%)    TBT(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.96% (StdDev 1.92%)
Hourly BBV -1.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $491.48(-0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $490.01(-0.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $464.37(5.44%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   31.6%
Market Cap   $27.573b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 7.54% (three month std-dev: 1.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 2.01%(38%) Average negative next day return: -2.05%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 3.31%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -3.3%(54%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 5.37%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.53%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20240119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2023	418.46	464.37	490.01	491.48	491.39	489.76	489.64(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-20	-37	90	0.38	67%	0.11	63	1.92%	-1.1	0.7	82	0.7
2	Dec_18_2023	418.01	460.31	489.28	492.18	491.9	490.82	488.67(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-21	-20	-68	122	0.44	67%	0.11	63.7	1.92%	-0.9	0.8	83	0.8
3	Dec_15_2023	417.57	456.42	489.15	491	492.73	493.02	490.81(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	82	10	39	210	0.59	67%	0.1	64.7	1.93%	-0.7	0.9	84	0.8
4	Dec_14_2023	417.14	452.18	487.38	489.27	490.48	492.99	494.97(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	112	40	64	256	0.67	67%	0.1	65.4	1.93%	1.2	1.1	87	1.6
5	Dec_13_2023	416.73	448.12	481.04	488.27	487.44	492.43	493.29(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	165	70	122	295	0.69	67%	0.1	69.7	1.93%	1.4	1.2	87	1.4

6	Dec_12_2023	416.31	443.32	474.13	488.47	487.02	487.98	493.18(2.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	189	0	144	325	0.6	67%	0.09	71.5	1.93%	1.8	1.4	88	1.6
7	Dec_11_2023	415.92	438.16	466.9	486.15	487.3	482.46	482.77(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-8	-60	-91	242	0.59	65%	0.06	71.9	1.92%	-0.8	1.2	86	1.4
8	Dec_8_2023	415.69	433.48	460.4	487	486.99	486.06	482.15(-1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-73	-10	-173	228	0.59	65%	0.05	74.7	1.92%	-1.4	1.4	83	1.2
9	Dec_7_2023	415.49	428.74	453.8	484.89	488.24	492.14	489.97(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	256	80	210	392	0.48	67%	0.05	76.7	1.91%	-0.1	1.7	88	1
10	Dec_6_2023	415.3	423.7	445.72	472.21	483.66	487.92	494.3(2.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	397	130	391	413	0.83	65%	0.05	74	1.92%	1.5	2.2	81	1.2

11	Dec_5_2023	415.08	418.5	436.56	457.3	466.77	484.35	481.55(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	390	330	398	365	0.76	63%	0.02	71.9	1.91%	0.5	2.2	83	1.3
12	Dec_4_2023	415.01	413.52	428.69	444.58	451.56	479.39	487.01(3.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	972	480	1094	604	1.41	63%	0.04	68.6	1.91%	1	2.9	87	1.4
13	Dec_1_2023	414.86	408.17	420.38	430.15	434.46	449.19	471.64(10.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	824	270	933	497	3.43	60%	-0	70.6	1.88%	1.3	3.3	85	1.3
14	Nov_30_2023	414.87	403.38	413.23	418.76	420.26	423.72	426.55(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	222	70	225	212	1.17	50%	-0.14	79.2	1.36%	2.1	1.8	78	1.4
15	Nov_29_2023	415.45	400.83	411.92	415.36	417.26	419.74	419.75(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	184	60	179	197	0.79	48%	-0.15	70.9	1.37%	0.7	1.4	71	1.3

16	Nov_28_2023	416.09	398.9	409.76	412.41	414.46	416.81	417.96(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	162	50	158	175	0.51	48%	-0.15	67.6	1.37%	0.9	1.5	66	1.5
17	Nov_27_2023	416.7	396.95	407.11	409.93	411.02	414.78	414.83(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	155	70	152	165	0.56	48%	-0.14	66.2	1.37%	0.7	1.4	70	1.3
18	Nov_24_2023	417.27	395.18	404.67	408.83	408.7	412.12	414.73(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	201	60	207	181	0.39	41%	-0.28	68.9	1.45%	0	1.6	70	1.4
19	Nov_22_2023	418.46	393.36	402.11	406.91	407.14	407.26	409.52(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	95	0	84	128	0.37	38%	-0.02	69.7	1.5%	1.6	1.4	72	1.2
20	Nov_21_2023	418.55	391.77	400.44	408.07	406.04	405.29	405(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-59	-30	-103	74	0.48	38%	-0.17	77.7	1.57%	-0.1	1.1	72	1.3

21	Nov_20_2023	419.28	390.43	399.51	406.61	408.76	407.02	405.57(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	78	-10	55	145	0.5	38%	-0.16	71.4	1.57%	0.1	1.3	66	1.4
22	Nov_17_2023	419.94	388.77	397.62	403.62	406.79	406.79	409.35(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	12	20	-20	108	0.55	38%	-0.13	59.3	1.57%	-0.1	1.8	70	1.5
23	Nov_16_2023	420.5	386.86	395.25	399.69	402.32	410.49	405.1(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	199	160	204	183	0.77	38%	-0.14	50.5	1.58%	-0.4	1.7	68	1.5
24	Nov_15_2023	421.07	385.2	392.8	396.45	398.28	406.78	415.35(4.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	493	160	554	310	1.08	39%	-0.11	40.9	1.55%	1.4	2.9	77	1.6
25	Nov_14_2023	421.55	382.95	388.7	391.96	391.51	394.14	397.69(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	169	40	178	140	0.72	38%		28	1.44%	1.1	1.9	71	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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