Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 10, 2023

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $504.3700 (-0.88%) ($504.3700 - $504.3700) on Wed. May. 10, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $504.3700(-0.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(46%)    IYT(41%)    JETS(41%)    PEJ(38%)    XHB(36%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-22%)    VIXM(-19%)    TBT(-10%)    USO(-9%)    SLV(-8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV -0.8 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $532.15
5 Day Moving Average   $512.65(-1.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $524.04(-3.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $532.15(-5.22%)
To recent high   -8.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $28.402b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.54% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.67%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.54%(44%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.01%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -2.25%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.71%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.32%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230610

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_10_2023	515.23	532.15	524.04	512.65	512.06	506.62	504.37(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-311	-80	-320	-285	0.67	43%	0.13	-32.3	1.18%	-0.8	-2.1	27	1.1
2	May_9_2023	514.55	533.3	528.48	516.68	514.48	512.4	508.87(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-318	-40	-335	-266	0.43	43%	0.14	-35.2	1.19%	-1.6	-2	32	0.7
3	May_8_2023	513.83	534.38	531.9	520.97	518.71	517.49	515.92(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-83	-30	-64	-138	0.37	44%	0.13	-38.9	1.18%	0	-1.7	35	1.2
4	May_5_2023	513.17	535.19	535.08	524.36	522.32	516.57	520(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-236	-90	-252	-188	0.48	44%	0.13	-39.6	1.17%	0	-1.5	43	1.1
5	May_4_2023	512.48	535.4	537.34	530.56	525.76	519.93	514.08(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-528	-100	-606	-293	0.52	44%	0.1	-29.8	1.17%	-1.6	-2.1	39	-0.1

6	May_3_2023	511.95	536.54	540.66	537.2	535	528.06	524.52(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-263	-100	-309	-126	0.57	47%	0.12	-10.1	1.15%	-0.6	-1.3	51	1
7	May_2_2023	511.32	537.63	542.62	542.02	540.37	531.59	530.33(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-484	-120	-582	-191	0.51	47%	0.12	12.2	1.14%	-0.8	-0.8	59	1.1
8	May_1_2023	510.69	538.65	543.92	544.34	544.94	541.95	532.85(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-309	-40	-384	-85	0.84	47%	0.13	34.1	1.14%	-2.4	-0.6	57	1.8
9	Apr_28_2023	510.05	539.31	544.31	547.19	547.2	549.15	551.04(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	101	30	90	134	0.36	52%	0.14	59.1	1.05%	1.8	1.3	69	1.9
10	Apr_27_2023	509.32	538.49	542.68	545.22	546.31	547.94	547.25(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	171	30	171	170	0.45	52%	0.14	65.9	1.06%	0.8	1	73	1.3

11	Apr_26_2023	508.61	537.45	540.86	544.8	544.79	545.25	548.63(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	72	10	56	118	0.42	52%	0.17	70.1	1.06%	1.7	1.2	59	0.8
12	Apr_25_2023	507.74	536.57	538.37	543.53	543.93	544.68	541.91(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	10	19	76	0.52	50%	0.14	78.3	1.06%	-0	0.6	46	0.5
13	Apr_24_2023	507.01	535.55	536.93	543.48	543.86	544.33	547.12(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	101	10	105	88	0.39	50%	0.16	79.1	1.05%	1.4	1.3	45	1.4
14	Apr_21_2023	506.22	533.93	535.1	540.96	542.42	543.18	541.18(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	44	20	47	34	0.34	52%	0.14	71.4	1.06%	-1	0.7	46	1.5
15	Apr_20_2023	505.5	532.72	533.13	539.66	540.58	543.39	545.18(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	154	40	183	67	0.32	52%	0.17	65.8	1.06%	0.3	1.2	55	1.3

16	Apr_19_2023	504.63	531.21	531.87	536.25	537.42	541.67	542.24(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	244	60	293	98	0.51	48%	0.19	52.5	1.06%	1	1	59	1.6
17	Apr_18_2023	503.66	529.88	531.97	532.4	534.04	537.76	541.67(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	286	60	344	110	0.35	48%	0.18	41.5	1.11%	2.2	1.1	55	1.6
18	Apr_17_2023	502.76	528.34	532.65	529.45	529.32	533.17	534.53(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	146	50	176	54	0.58	46%	0.18	31.8	1.12%	0.8	0.5	58	1.5
19	Apr_14_2023	501.86	526.98	533.66	528.43	527.6	530.33	534.68(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	229	30	267	113	0.42	46%	0.07	21.6	1.12%	1.5	0.6	61	1.5
20	Apr_13_2023	501.51	525.96	533.74	525.67	526.06	525.47	528.12(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	64	-10	72	38	0.3	43%	0.17	13.2	1.12%	0.3	0.2	58	1.4

21	Apr_12_2023	500.65	525.62	533.69	526.89	524.24	524.87	522.99(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-140	-10	-173	-42	0.51	43%	0.16	15	1.11%	-1.9	-0.2	57	1.2
22	Apr_11_2023	499.87	525.41	534.72	531.49	527.09	526.65	526.91(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-30	-20	62	0.3	43%	0.18	22.5	1.11%	1	0.1	58	1.3
23	Apr_10_2023	498.97	524.79	534.32	536.42	532.29	523.61	529.47(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-278	-140	-359	-33	0.49	43%	0.32	29.9	1.11%	0.1	0.4	62	1.4
24	Apr_6_2023	497.36	524.79	533.02	539.75	538.63	527.53	520.87(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-651	-150	-808	-179	0.74	40%	0.18	38.3	1.08%	-1.3	-0.3	61	0.4
25	Apr_5_2023	496.46	524.34	532.85	542.72	544.97	540.96	534.23(-2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-322	-40	-431	4	0.73	44%		45.1	1.03%	-1.3	0.8	63	0.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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