Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 23, 2023

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $500.7500 (2.03%) ($500.7500 - $500.7500) on Mon. Jan. 23, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $500.7500(2.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(45%)    PEJ(38%)    JETS(37%)    IYT(36%)    XHB(35%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    SLV(-10%)    TBT(-8%)    GLD(-8%)    USO(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 1.6 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $494.39(1.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $492.19(1.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $481.31(4.04%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   30.2%
Market Cap   $28.198b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.33% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.53%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.32%(62%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.95%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -2.44%(56%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 5.04%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.92%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_23_2023	436.86	481.31	492.19	494.39	494.55	495.77	500.75(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	239	20	263	166	0.36	66%	0.19	100	1.53%	1.6	1.7	77	-1.6
2	Jan_20_2023	436.04	478.33	490.67	492.44	492.42	489.15	490.79(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-104	-50	-143	14	0.48	65%	0.17	79.4	1.51%	-0.6	1	76	-1.3
3	Jan_19_2023	435.3	475.96	490.47	492.66	492.63	493.33	488.15(-2.38%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-60	10	-97	52	0.63	60%	0.17	62.3	1.53%	-1	0.9	74	-1.2
4	Jan_18_2023	434.58	474.23	489.87	493.4	493.53	495.69	500.05(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	162	30	158	172	0.54	63%	0.2	52.9	1.6%	1.5	1.8	90	-1.1
5	Jan_17_2023	433.71	471.9	487.07	491.08	491.71	491.93	492.23(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	61	10	39	128	0.28	64%	0.23	36.5	1.6%	0	1.2	90	-1.6

6	Jan_13_2023	432.7	470.36	484.74	489.61	490.77	491.37	491(-0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	54	20	28	131	0.41	64%	0.17	27.5	1.61%	-0.1	1.2	90	-1.9
7	Jan_12_2023	431.95	468.96	482.1	488.62	489.18	491.49	491.87(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	91	40	67	164	0.45	64%	0.19	26.4	1.61%	0.4	1.3	94	-1.6
8	Jan_11_2023	431.12	467.75	479.36	487.97	487.9	490.16	491.87(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	144	30	123	205	0.28	64%	0.22	27	1.61%	1.6	1.5	90	-1.9
9	Jan_10_2023	430.17	466.58	476.06	485.81	487.09	486.86	488.45(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	107	0	81	186	0.2	64%	0.22	24.9	1.61%	0	1.5	73	-2.1
10	Jan_9_2023	429.22	466.04	472.83	482.41	485.24	485.64	484.88(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	20	27	154	0.47	64%	0.2	23	1.61%	-0.2	1.3	70	-2

11	Jan_6_2023	428.37	465.61	469.61	478.97	481.49	487.32	486.01(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	178	100	173	191	0.67	64%	0.19	22.9	1.62%	0.5	1.5	62	-1.8
12	Jan_5_2023	427.57	464.48	465.02	474.44	476.9	484.84	488.62(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	368	130	408	247	0.56	62%	0.2	19.5	1.63%	1.4	1.9	62	-1
13	Jan_4_2023	426.7	463.46	460.2	469.53	470.74	475.66	481.07(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	260	80	294	159	0.58	62%	0.18	15.4	1.64%	1.6	1.5	53	-0.9
14	Jan_3_2023	425.93	462.87	457.18	465	466.49	468.97	471.49(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	137	50	159	72	0.55	60%	0.24	14.8	1.63%	1.2	0.8	47	-0.1
15	Dec_30_2022	424.93	462.86	455.34	461.85	463.53	465.82	467.68(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	95	50	119	22	0.27	60%	0.29	17.8	1.63%	1	0.4	37	1

16	Dec_28_2022	423.69	462.59	454.64	458.77	460.54	464	463.35(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	124	60	161	12	0.45	63%	0.21	15.4	1.63%	0.9	0.1	36	1.3
17	Dec_27_2022	422.8	461.99	454.59	453.94	457.09	461.24	464.05(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	188	80	242	24	0.46	63%	0.31	6.4	1.69%	1.6	0.2	49	1.2
18	Dec_23_2022	421.49	461.62	455	449.35	451.07	457.08	458.44(0.59%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	149	100	203	-13	0.13	60%	0.21	1.6	1.69%	0	-0.3	42	1.3
19	Dec_22_2022	420.62	461.21	456.13	448.24	446.74	452.94	455.73(0.77%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	179	90	239	-2	0.79	60%	0.2	3.9	1.74%	1.5	-0.5	40	1.8
20	Dec_21_2022	419.78	460.9	458.51	448.02	446.02	445.07	452.27(2.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	62	-30	100	-54	0.68	60%	0.14	7.5	1.75%	1.5	-0.7	37	1.6

21	Dec_20_2022	419.18	460.89	461.17	450.19	447.41	440.53	439.23(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-274	-130	-300	-197	0.53	58%	0.11	17.5	1.73%	-0.9	-1.8	38	1
22	Dec_19_2022	418.73	461.26	464.06	455.32	453.18	446.98	441.08(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-292	-110	-330	-178	0.62	58%	0.13	37.8	1.73%	-1.7	-1.7	49	1.8
23	Dec_16_2022	418.2	461.43	467.36	461.29	459.14	454.29	452.88(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-208	-90	-241	-109	0.43	61%	0.12	55.3	1.7%	-0.8	-0.7	51	0.6
24	Dec_15_2022	417.68	460.73	469.42	465.05	463.74	459.39	454.66(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-181	-70	-218	-68	0.38	61%	0.14	63.7	1.71%	-1.3	-0.5	57	-0.8
25	Dec_14_2022	417.08	459.96	471.44	470.52	467.72	464	463.09(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-158	-70	-204	-20	0.46	63%		78.7	1.69%	-0.9	0.2	62	-0.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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