Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 15, 2022

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $454.6550 (-1.82%) ($454.6550 - $458.8000) on Thu. Dec. 15, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $454.6550(-1.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(45%)    XHB(37%)    XLI(32%)    TAN(29%)    VFMO(28%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TBT(-10%)    ARKG(-7%)    USO(-6%)    SMH(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV -1.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $460.73
5 Day Moving Average   $465.05(-2.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $469.42(-3.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $460.73(-1.32%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   19.2%
Market Cap   $25.603b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.89% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 1.23%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.77%(62%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 2.82%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -3.1%(48%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 5.61%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.38%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_15_2022	417.68	460.73	469.42	465.05	463.74	459.39	454.66(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-181	-70	-218	-68	0.38	61%	0.14	63.7	1.71%	-1.3	-0.5	57	-0.8
2	Dec_14_2022	417.08	459.96	471.44	470.52	467.72	464	463.09(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-158	-70	-204	-20	0.46	63%	0.19	78.7	1.69%	-0.9	0.2	62	-0.4
3	Dec_13_2022	416.28	458.72	471.58	473.9	471.92	468.09	464.92(-1.27%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-103	-70	-146	28	0.67	59%	0.15	86	1.7%	-1.3	0.4	61	-0.4
4	Dec_12_2022	415.64	456.75	470.38	474.07	474.59	471.44	470.89(-0.17%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-57	-40	-94	54	0.42	59%	0.16	79.6	1.76%	-0.9	0.8	69	-1.9
5	Dec_9_2022	414.99	454.77	469.04	474.28	472.88	475.76	471.7(-2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-23	30	-58	83	0.56	59%	0.15	81.8	1.76%	-1.4	1	71	-0.8

6	Dec_8_2022	414.38	452.41	466.88	474.36	472.95	477.75	481.99(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	253	60	262	226	0.71	61%	0.18	81.7	1.73%	1.2	1.6	80	-0.1
7	Dec_7_2022	413.64	449	463.42	472.65	471.01	469.99	480(3.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	93	-30	72	154	0.84	64%	0.19	80.1	1.73%	1.8	1.7	79	-0.5
8	Dec_6_2022	412.86	446.11	460.33	469.17	470.46	468.15	465.79(-1.3%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-51	-30	-95	83	0.9	61%	0.18	79.1	1.75%	-2.3	1.1	75	-0.2
9	Dec_5_2022	412.13	443.77	458.06	466.01	470.02	472.02	471.91(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	93	60	72	154	0.77	61%	0.18	73.8	1.75%	0.2	1.6	85	0.5
10	Dec_2_2022	411.37	441.04	454.86	462.86	465.01	472.77	472.13(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	213	130	215	206	1.37	61%	0.21	72.2	1.76%	0.8	1.8	76	0.6

11	Dec_1_2022	410.5	438.16	451.15	458.13	461.03	468.01	473.42(2.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	393	120	429	283	1.01	61%	0.22	72.5	1.76%	1.5	2.2	79	0.8
12	Nov_30_2022	409.58	434.78	447.29	452.93	454.53	457.25	462.61(2.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	168	50	165	176	0.63	60%	0.21	69.9	1.73%	2	1.8	80	0.9
13	Nov_29_2022	408.72	432.64	444.57	450.39	450.74	454.04	449.97(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	95	50	78	144	0.98	57%	0.16	81.1	1.7%	-0.3	1.2	66	1.4
14	Nov_28_2022	408.05	431.07	441.98	448.81	450.26	451.82	456.19(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	199	30	201	193	0.75	57%	0.19	93	1.69%	1.3	1.9	73	1.4
15	Nov_25_2022	407.29	428.99	439.33	445.55	446.72	447.44	448.45(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	20	-0	109	0.24	56%	0.22	107.2	1.7%	0	1.6	71	1.3

16	Nov_23_2022	406.39	426.69	436.85	442.93	445.04	448.7	447.44(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	142	70	136	158	0.38	58%	0.17	100.3	1.73%	0.8	1.5	71	1.4
17	Nov_22_2022	405.7	424.32	433.55	440.68	442.03	446.01	449.92(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	196	70	201	181	0.32	58%	0.11	99.1	1.73%	2.2	1.8	77	1.3
18	Nov_21_2022	405.26	421.61	430.78	437.96	438.58	441.38	442.06(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	134	50	131	144	0.28	57%	0.15	86.9	1.73%	0.8	1.4	60	1.6
19	Nov_18_2022	404.65	418.81	428.41	434.08	437.15	438.05	439.91(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	145	40	148	134	0.37	57%	0.14	69.8	1.74%	1.4	1.3	61	2.1
20	Nov_17_2022	404.1	415.99	426.17	432.17	432.63	435.78	435.34(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	50	14	75	0.31	57%	0.11	60.3	1.74%	-0.2	1.2	61	2.4

21	Nov_16_2022	403.65	413.35	424.2	429.75	431.38	436.25	436.16(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	233	90	253	171	0.4	57%	0.12	51.6	1.75%	1	1.4	68	2.5
22	Nov_15_2022	403.15	410.86	421.28	425.23	428.64	429.48	436.33(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	162	40	174	125	0.52	57%	0.09	43	1.75%	1.6	1.6	69	1.8
23	Nov_14_2022	402.78	409.12	419.66	422.62	423.84	426.51	422.68(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-13	50	-35	52	0.73	54%	0.03	43.9	1.73%	0.1	0.9	67	2.3
24	Nov_11_2022	402.66	408.09	419.28	421.81	423.85	427.8	430.34(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	236	80	251	191	0.75	56%	0.09	46.6	1.72%	1.1	1.5	76	2.6
25	Nov_10_2022	402.31	406.23	417.75	419.34	420.91	421.16	423.26(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	88	20	72	136	0.51	56%		47.3	1.73%	-0.2	1.2	75	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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