Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 1, 2022

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $473.4150 (2.34%) ($473.4150 - $473.4150) on Thu. Dec. 1, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.76% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $473.4150(2.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(44%)    XHB(36%)    XLI(31%)    TAN(28%)    VFMO(28%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TBT(-12%)    ARKG(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    USO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.88% (StdDev 1.76%)
Hourly BBV 1.5 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $458.13(3.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $451.15(4.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $438.16(8.05%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.1%
Market Cap   $26.659b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 3.71% (three month std-dev: 1.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.89%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.69%(62%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 4.41%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -3.19%(60%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 4.84%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.53%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2022	410.5	438.16	451.15	458.13	461.03	468.01	473.42(2.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	393	120	429	283	1.01	61%	0.22	72.5	1.76%	1.5	2.2	79	0.8
2	Nov_30_2022	409.58	434.78	447.29	452.93	454.53	457.25	462.61(2.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	168	50	165	176	0.63	60%	0.21	69.9	1.73%	2	1.8	80	0.9
3	Nov_29_2022	408.72	432.64	444.57	450.39	450.74	454.04	449.97(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	95	50	78	144	0.98	57%	0.16	81.1	1.7%	-0.3	1.2	66	1.4
4	Nov_28_2022	408.05	431.07	441.98	448.81	450.26	451.82	456.19(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	199	30	201	193	0.75	57%	0.19	93	1.69%	1.3	1.9	73	1.4
5	Nov_25_2022	407.29	428.99	439.33	445.55	446.72	447.44	448.45(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	20	-0	109	0.24	56%	0.22	107.2	1.7%	0	1.6	71	1.3

6	Nov_23_2022	406.39	426.69	436.85	442.93	445.04	448.7	447.44(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	142	70	136	158	0.38	58%	0.17	100.3	1.73%	0.8	1.5	71	1.4
7	Nov_22_2022	405.7	424.32	433.55	440.68	442.03	446.01	449.92(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	196	70	201	181	0.32	58%	0.11	99.1	1.73%	2.2	1.8	77	1.3
8	Nov_21_2022	405.26	421.61	430.78	437.96	438.58	441.38	442.06(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	134	50	131	144	0.28	57%	0.15	86.9	1.73%	0.8	1.4	60	1.6
9	Nov_18_2022	404.65	418.81	428.41	434.08	437.15	438.05	439.91(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	145	40	148	134	0.37	57%	0.14	69.8	1.74%	1.4	1.3	61	2.1
10	Nov_17_2022	404.1	415.99	426.17	432.17	432.63	435.78	435.34(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	50	14	75	0.31	57%	0.11	60.3	1.74%	-0.2	1.2	61	2.4

11	Nov_16_2022	403.65	413.35	424.2	429.75	431.38	436.25	436.16(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	233	90	253	171	0.4	57%	0.12	51.6	1.75%	1	1.4	68	2.5
12	Nov_15_2022	403.15	410.86	421.28	425.23	428.64	429.48	436.33(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	162	40	174	125	0.52	57%	0.09	43	1.75%	1.6	1.6	69	1.8
13	Nov_14_2022	402.78	409.12	419.66	422.62	423.84	426.51	422.68(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-13	50	-35	52	0.73	54%	0.03	43.9	1.73%	0.1	0.9	67	2.3
14	Nov_11_2022	402.66	408.09	419.28	421.81	423.85	427.8	430.34(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	236	80	251	191	0.75	56%	0.09	46.6	1.72%	1.1	1.5	76	2.6
15	Nov_10_2022	402.31	406.23	417.75	419.34	420.91	421.16	423.26(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	88	20	72	136	0.51	56%	0.07	47.3	1.73%	-0.2	1.2	75	0.9

16	Nov_9_2022	402.04	404.9	415.71	417.86	419.11	419.9	413.55(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	20	-3	120	0.6	53%	0.03	48.6	1.71%	-1.1	0.7	73	-0.8
17	Nov_8_2022	401.92	404.16	414.52	416.5	418.22	420.66	423.25(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	152	50	141	186	0.58	57%	0.05	47.7	1.69%	1.4	1.5	74	-1.2
18	Nov_7_2022	401.7	402.75	411.85	416.26	414.23	418.33	418.65(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	87	50	65	152	0.33	57%	0.06	47.2	1.69%	0.9	1.3	57	-0.2
19	Nov_4_2022	401.47	401.37	408.63	416.39	414.78	415.78	418(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	171	10	167	181	0.44	57%	0.07	44.1	1.7%	0.1	1.4	57	-0.6
20	Nov_3_2022	401.18	399.84	405.19	416.01	414.83	410.13	415.85(2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-68	-90	-111	61	0.6	50%	0.03	40.2	1.7%	-0.5	1.4	61	0.5

21	Nov_2_2022	401.07	398.6	401.83	413.24	415.46	413.78	406.76(-3.62%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-95	-10	-134	23	0.92	47%	0.03	30.8	1.8%	-2.4	0.7	55	0.5
22	Nov_1_2022	400.93	398.04	399.88	411.86	414.13	419.54	422.03(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	164	110	174	133	0.78	52%	0.08	22.3	1.74%	1	2.2	62	1.2
23	Oct_31_2022	400.61	396.96	397.74	406.62	408.87	417.15	419.33(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	316	160	359	188	0.7	52%	0.03	14.8	1.74%	1.2	2.3	63	2.2
24	Oct_28_2022	400.49	396.06	395.8	399.68	403.28	408.71	416.08(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	338	120	392	176	0.71	52%	-0.01	2.8	1.78%	2.1	2.4	64	1.4
25	Oct_27_2022	400.55	395.21	393.4	392.92	394.73	400.59	402.01(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	145	120	173	62	0.6	47%		-16	1.74%	0.7	0.9	61	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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