Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ULTA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 16, 2022

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $418.7900 (-0.99%) ($415.8000 - $418.7900) on Fri. Sep. 16, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.83% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $418.7900(-0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(51%)    XHB(44%)    XLI(40%)    XLY(37%)    VT(36%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TBT(-17%)    UUP(-16%)    VXX(-4%)    USO(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.915% (StdDev 1.83%)
Hourly BBV -1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $423.02
5 Day Moving Average   $428.96(-2.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $432.6(-3.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $423.02(-1%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $23.583b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 3.3% (three month std-dev: 1.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.55%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.28%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.82%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -8.36%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.1%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.36%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20221016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2022	397.94	423.02	432.6	428.96	424.51	421.02	418.79(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-196	-90	-242	-59	0.73	34%	0	43	1.83%	-1.2	-0.3	60	0.3
2	Sep_15_2022	397.93	422.63	433.08	434.07	431.7	425.09	422.96(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-128	-120	-168	-8	0.63	40%	0.05	59.6	1.89%	-1	0	55	0.9
3	Sep_14_2022	397.72	421.8	433.07	438.47	436.78	428.01	426.4(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-275	-150	-348	-55	1.01	40%	0.05	74.2	1.93%	-1.5	0.3	63	0.9
4	Sep_13_2022	397.52	420.88	432.34	441.89	441.47	438.31	429.87(-3.79%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-177	-50	-241	16	0.73	36%	0.04	90.4	1.92%	-2.3	0.6	71	1.2
5	Sep_12_2022	397.38	419.68	431.28	441.45	444.89	445.55	446.79(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	124	30	109	170	0.72	40%	0.1	98.1	1.94%	1	1.8	86	0.9

6	Sep_9_2022	396.97	417.08	427.74	436.67	440.12	444.64	444.32(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	117	100	104	154	0.76	36%	0.06	99.7	1.99%	0.3	1.9	77	1
7	Sep_8_2022	396.74	414.32	425.08	431.96	434.63	444.23	444.96(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	298	170	320	230	0.84	36%	0.04	99.7	1.99%	1	2.2	71	1.3
8	Sep_7_2022	396.6	411.13	421.68	427.04	428.58	435.6	443.49(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	333	130	365	235	1.19	36%	0.04	95.5	1.99%	1.9	2.3	72	1.3
9	Sep_6_2022	396.46	407.74	417.31	421.69	422.8	425.04	427.71(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	134	40	138	121	0.81	29%	0.04	80.7	1.95%	0.7	1.5	64	1.4
10	Sep_2_2022	396.32	405.36	414.33	419.67	419.95	421.56	422.86(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	65	30	61	77	0.82	29%	0.02	66.2	1.99%	0.4	1.2	63	1.6

11	Sep_1_2022	396.24	403.13	412.4	417.39	417.91	420.56	420.76(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	91	50	92	87	0.67	26%	0.01	56	2%	1.2	1.1	68	1.5
12	Aug_31_2022	396.19	400.74	411.18	417.04	415.56	418.33	420.36(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	94	40	92	98	0.79	26%	0.04	45.8	2.05%	0.6	1.2	71	1.9
13	Aug_30_2022	396.05	398.39	409.54	415.41	414.65	415.27	416.77(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	89	0	83	105	0.79	26%	0.03	38.8	2.05%	0.2	1.2	73	2.1
14	Aug_29_2022	395.92	397.1	408.52	412.15	413.63	412.78	417.62(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	-0	26	91	1.33	26%	0.04	37.2	2.07%	0.5	1.4	76	2.2
15	Aug_26_2022	395.75	395.82	407.22	408.09	410.4	414.03	411.45(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	80	35	80	2.58	52%	0.03	28.7	2.6%	-0.5	1.1	71	2

16	Aug_25_2022	395.62	394.64	405.68	406.52	406.9	414.48	419.01(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	171	130	181	141	1.91	54%	0.07	20.6	2.72%	1.4	1.8	77	1.2
17	Aug_24_2022	395.34	393.56	402.75	404.58	403.61	406.77	412.22(2.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	143	50	147	132	0.65	54%	0.04	14.6	2.74%	1.6	1.5	77	1.8
18	Aug_23_2022	395.19	392.59	399.76	403.05	402.89	399.32	400.46(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-60	-32	63	0.51	52%	0.01	6.5	2.73%	0.5	0.7	73	2.1
19	Aug_22_2022	395.16	391.79	397.53	404.41	403.69	400.46	397.3(-1.56%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-101	-60	-140	17	0.59	52%	0.02	2.7	2.73%	-1.1	0.5	52	1
20	Aug_19_2022	395.07	391.79	395.92	406.04	406.17	406.46	403.61(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	10	-5	71	0.44	52%	0.01	9.5	2.74%	-1	1	54	-0

21	Aug_18_2022	395.02	391.9	393.38	404.42	406.05	406.93	409.3(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	70	30	64	89	0.45	44%	0.03	8.9	2.73%	0.3	1.4	61	-0.7
22	Aug_17_2022	394.92	391.81	389.65	400.5	402.6	405.88	404.57(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	70	55	55	0.57	44%	-0.01	9.5	3.07%	-0.5	1	50	-0.7
23	Aug_16_2022	394.94	391.84	386.46	395.88	398.89	405.17	407.25(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	146	130	169	78	1.45	44%	0.04	8.3	3.07%	0.7	1.3	55	-1.2
24	Aug_15_2022	394.8	391.46	384.68	389.61	392.43	399.32	405.48(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	158	140	187	71	0.77	44%	0.03	3.7	3.07%	1.5	1.2	60	-1.5
25	Aug_12_2022	394.69	390.77	383.21	384.42	385.38	392.61	395.48(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	129	140	158	41	0.46	47%		-4.8	3.11%	1.6	0.4	46	-2.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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