Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ULTA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 9, 2022

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $422.0500 (-0.82%) ($422.0500 - $422.0500) on Thu. Jun. 9, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.09% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $422.0500(-0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 8.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(52%)    XHB(46%)    XLI(43%)    VT(42%)    XLY(42%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-17%)    TBT(-13%)    VXX(-5%)    USO(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.545% (StdDev 3.09%)
Hourly BBV -0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $417.39(1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $414.16(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $390.38(8.11%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   23.4%
Market Cap   $23.766b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 7.81% (three month std-dev: 3.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220709

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_9_2022	385.12	390.38	414.16	417.39	420.71	423.79	422.05(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	85	80	49	191	0.88	62%	0.13	30.7	3.09%	-0	1	73	1
2	Jun_8_2022	384.61	387.96	407.77	416.34	416.34	423.45	425.52(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	146	120	120	224	0.68	63%	0.14	25.8	3.11%	1.3	1.3	75	0.9
3	Jun_7_2022	384.08	385.53	399.83	412.84	414.18	417.64	420.9(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	178	70	166	212	0.79	60%	0.1	20.3	3.13%	1.7	1.2	56	1.2
4	Jun_6_2022	383.7	383.37	392.65	413.25	410.84	409.23	413.9(2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-9	-40	-48	109	0.6	60%	0.11	17.8	3.18%	0.9	1.1	55	1.1
5	Jun_3_2022	383.29	381.96	385.77	415.53	413.1	410.71	404.56(-2.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-22	-60	-59	91	1.09	60%	0.07	20	3.17%	-1.2	0.9	52	1.4

6	Jun_2_2022	383.02	381.25	380.53	410.06	417.26	412.45	416.8(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	78	-30	66	115	0.73	62%	0.09	10.3	3.17%	0.2	1.4	60	1.3
7	Jun_1_2022	382.68	380.48	373.67	397.33	407.35	415.49	408.05(-3.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	220	47	59	1.02	62%	0.07	-2.6	3.19%	-1.2	1.1	59	1.5
8	May_31_2022	382.43	379.87	371.52	384.12	393.63	422.07	422.92(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	492	580	576	239	1.22	62%	0.07	-18.4	3.18%	1	1.7	61	1.4
9	May_27_2022	382.15	378.59	367.71	368.86	373.47	399.22	425.3(12.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	630	520	750	270	2.76	64%	0.07	-39.4	3.16%	1.4	2	61	1.8
10	May_26_2022	381.9	376.81	363.83	352.42	354.32	365.19	377.22(6.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	336	230	420	84	1.46	58%	-0.07	-61.8	2.76%	1.4	0	45	1.8

11	May_25_2022	382.15	378.61	363.58	347.26	345.79	347.72	353.15(3.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	41	30	82	-82	0.81	55%	-0.18	-67.5	2.65%	1.5	-1.1	32	1.7
12	May_24_2022	382.82	381.14	365.88	346.64	345.76	343.45	341.99(-1.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-78	-50	-52	-157	0.72	56%	-0.19	-74.8	2.62%	0.2	-1.7	22	2.1
13	May_23_2022	383.55	384.5	369.94	356.84	347.69	343.85	346.65(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-226	-150	-232	-206	0.79	53%	-0.17	-71.1	2.69%	0.2	-1.7	28	2.2
14	May_20_2022	384.22	388.05	373.61	366.2	359.79	348.07	343.1(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-210	-280	-219	-184	1.02	53%	-0.16	-65.5	2.72%	-1.2	-2.2	25	2
15	May_19_2022	384.85	391.4	378.52	376.84	371.99	351.53	351.43(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-432	-420	-488	-263	1.01	53%	-0.14	-59.5	2.72%	-0.6	-2.1	33	1.7

16	May_18_2022	385.4	395.01	383.01	382.05	381.99	371.52	350.03(-10.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-413	-190	-467	-250	1.59	53%	-0.13	-53.9	2.74%	-1.7	-2.5	27	2
17	May_17_2022	385.9	399.17	389	387.23	388.84	392.45	393(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	38	80	60	-29	0.56	59%	-0.03	-46.5	2.37%	0.2	-0.4	46	1.8
18	May_16_2022	386.01	400.87	389.65	384.81	384.48	392.46	393.44(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	145	140	189	11	0.65	59%	0.02	-43.5	2.41%	0.7	-0.5	44	2.4
19	May_13_2022	385.93	401.91	390.6	382.41	381.72	385.23	396.32(5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	156	60	207	4	0.76	61%	0.01	-43.7	2.44%	1.5	-0.3	41	1.6
20	May_12_2022	385.9	402.82	390.54	381.16	379.65	376.5	377.45(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-94	-70	-83	-125	0.6	58%	-0.03	-41.4	2.38%	-1.2	-1.6	38	1.6

21	May_11_2022	386.01	404.84	394.45	384.58	382.8	378.22	375.94(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-165	-100	-169	-151	0.92	56%	-0.01	-31.5	2.4%	-0.8	-1.9	33	1.8
22	May_10_2022	386.03	406.55	397.3	391.05	387.55	382.8	380.89(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-168	-110	-175	-148	0.73	56%	0.04	-19.8	2.42%	-0.7	-1.9	31	2.4
23	May_9_2022	385.87	407.85	400.04	395.11	393.38	387.38	381.47(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-157	-120	-162	-142	0.71	58%	0	-10.7	2.43%	-1.8	-2.2	33	2
24	May_6_2022	385.87	409.03	403.6	399.79	397.5	392.3	390.05(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-182	-110	-196	-141	0.52	58%	0.01	5.4	2.41%	-1	-1.8	43	1.4
25	May_5_2022	385.82	409.63	405.39	401.16	401.21	399.38	394.55(-3.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-87	-30	-84	-97	0.51	58%		9.8	2.43%	-1.2	-1.5	44	1.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.