Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 10, 2021

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $404.2100 (-0.08%) ($404.2100 - $404.5800) on Fri. Dec. 10, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.37% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $404.2100(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(63%)    XLY(57%)    XHB(55%)    VT(54%)    VUG(54%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-42%)    UUP(-18%)    VXX(-10%)    TBT(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.185% (StdDev 2.37%)
Hourly BBV -1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $404.45(-0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $394.28(2.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $399.59(1.16%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   12.9%
Market Cap   $22.762b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 3.09% (three month std-dev: 2.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.4%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 3.52%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -2.19%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 2.38%(78%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.56%(22%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_10_2021	377.52	399.59	394.28	404.45	409	406	404.21(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-46	-20	-54	-23	0.72	53%	0.17	25.9	2.37%	-1.2	0.4	48	0.9
2	Dec_9_2021	376.87	399.15	393.65	398.71	406.19	410.82	404.53(-2.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	67	140	86	10	0.81	54%	0.17	18.4	2.39%	-1.6	0.4	50	0.3
3	Dec_8_2021	376.23	398.44	393.68	394.39	398.14	411.99	413.83(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	276	270	336	97	0.85	54%	0.22	11.5	2.38%	0.8	1.2	54	0.6
4	Dec_7_2021	375.42	397.38	392.81	385.62	390.4	401.56	408.3(4.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	407	240	500	128	0.99	54%	0.23	0	2.38%	1.2	0.9	47	-0.1
5	Dec_6_2021	374.54	396.36	392.94	380.72	380.36	384.3	391.36(4.22%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	94	70	135	-31	0.93	51%	0.16	-2.7	2.32%	1	-0.4	47	-1.4

6	Dec_3_2021	373.93	396.42	394.51	383.09	377.98	379.23	375.51(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-20	-41	-90	1.8	48%	0.09	11.7	2.28%	-0.6	-1.8	42	-2.2
7	Dec_2_2021	373.58	396.91	397.58	387.94	384.9	376.43	382.95(3.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-75	-180	-73	-82	1.24	48%	0.11	28.8	2.27%	0.2	-1.2	46	-1.7
8	Dec_1_2021	373.16	397	399.66	392.87	389.1	376.73	369.98(-3.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-447	-250	-517	-236	0.92	45%	0.08	45.9	2.23%	-1.8	-2.3	44	-2.6
9	Nov_30_2021	372.85	397.38	404.29	400.69	398.52	393.36	383.82(-4.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-243	-110	-289	-103	1.59	48%	0.11	69.5	2.17%	-1.5	-1.2	47	-2
10	Nov_29_2021	372.43	396.69	406.29	406.62	404.91	401.48	403.18(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-68	-70	-93	8	0.44	52%	0.16	72.6	2.09%	-0.1	0.5	62	-0.3

11	Nov_26_2021	371.82	395.02	405.86	407.63	407.56	403.67	399.78(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-111	-70	-147	-3	0.47	52%	0.26	67.3	2.08%	0	0.3	58	-3.8
12	Nov_24_2021	370.85	393.65	405.61	408.62	409.83	408.34	407.57(-0.38%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-35	-20	-61	45	0.21	56%	0.15	63.8	2.11%	0	0.9	69	0.8
13	Nov_23_2021	370.29	391.78	403.96	407.56	409.11	411.45	409.11(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	50	26	82	0.45	56%	0.11	64.2	2.12%	0.2	1.1	70	0.9
14	Nov_22_2021	369.9	389.66	402.49	408.53	407.35	411.32	413.46(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	131	60	127	144	0.35	56%	0.17	68.4	2.11%	1.4	1.5	77	0.7
15	Nov_19_2021	369.27	387.46	399.95	406.03	406.39	406.77	408.25(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	121	10	113	146	0.38	57%	0.17	56.6	2.12%	1.5	1.4	78	1.1

16	Nov_18_2021	368.66	385.65	398.23	403.92	404.42	403.38	404.7(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-10	-36	96	0.39	57%	0.16	44.7	2.12%	-0.6	1.3	75	1.7
17	Nov_17_2021	368.06	383.97	395.97	402.09	402.87	406.02	402.3(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	67	60	45	131	0.51	55%	0.16	31.5	2.12%	-0.9	1.2	71	2.1
18	Nov_16_2021	367.47	381.78	393.95	399.59	400.99	405.47	413.94(3.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	214	90	218	202	0.71	58%	0.2	15.4	2.11%	1.4	2.2	80	2.1
19	Nov_15_2021	366.74	379.09	389.7	395.62	395.95	399.71	400.96(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	119	70	108	150	0.29	55%	0.14	0.3	2.08%	0.7	1.6	78	2.2
20	Nov_12_2021	366.21	379.11	386.22	393.05	394.23	396.52	397.68(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	147	50	145	153	0.29	55%	0.13	3.5	2.08%	0.8	1.3	71	1.1

21	Nov_11_2021	365.74	379.27	383.25	391.76	391.64	392.18	395.57(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	10	25	98	0.38	55%	0.15	9.4	2.08%	1	1.1	67	0.5
22	Nov_10_2021	365.19	379.38	380.72	388.91	390.81	391.94	389.8(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	69	30	58	100	0.4	57%	0.15	12.5	2.08%	-0.3	0.7	65	0.5
23	Nov_9_2021	364.63	379.53	378.67	387.25	388.52	391.1	394.08(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	105	60	100	119	0.54	57%	0.16	18.1	2.1%	0.5	1	77	0.9
24	Nov_8_2021	364.03	379.05	375.81	382.8	384.68	389.68	388.11(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	151	110	159	128	0.33	57%	0.17	13.7	2.09%	0.1	0.6	69	1
25	Nov_5_2021	363.4	378.62	373.94	378.21	380.61	385.94	391.25(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	224	120	257	123	0.51	59%		8.6	2.09%	1.3	0.9	41	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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