Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 19, 2021

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $408.2500 (0.88%) ($408.2500 - $410.6100) on Fri. Nov. 19, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.12% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $408.2500(0.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(63%)    XLY(57%)    XHB(56%)    VT(55%)    VUG(54%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-43%)    UUP(-17%)    VXX(-11%)    IGOV(-3%)    TBT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.06% (StdDev 2.12%)
Hourly BBV 1.5 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $406.03(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $399.95(2.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $387.46(5.37%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   14%
Market Cap   $22.989b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 3.89% (three month std-dev: 2.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.08%(48%) Average negative next day return: -1.51%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.61%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -3%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.6%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.07%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20211219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2021	369.27	387.46	399.95	406.03	406.39	406.77	408.25(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	121	10	113	146	0.38	57%	0.17	56.6	2.12%	1.5	1.4	78	1.1
2	Nov_18_2021	368.66	385.65	398.23	403.92	404.42	403.38	404.7(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-10	-36	96	0.39	57%	0.16	44.7	2.12%	-0.6	1.3	75	1.7
3	Nov_17_2021	368.06	383.97	395.97	402.09	402.87	406.02	402.3(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	67	60	45	131	0.51	55%	0.16	31.5	2.12%	-0.9	1.2	71	2.1
4	Nov_16_2021	367.47	381.78	393.95	399.59	400.99	405.47	413.94(3.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	214	90	218	202	0.71	58%	0.2	15.4	2.11%	1.4	2.2	80	2.1
5	Nov_15_2021	366.74	379.09	389.7	395.62	395.95	399.71	400.96(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	119	70	108	150	0.29	55%	0.14	0.3	2.08%	0.7	1.6	78	2.2

6	Nov_12_2021	366.21	379.11	386.22	393.05	394.23	396.52	397.68(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	147	50	145	153	0.29	55%	0.13	3.5	2.08%	0.8	1.3	71	1.1
7	Nov_11_2021	365.74	379.27	383.25	391.76	391.64	392.18	395.57(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	10	25	98	0.38	55%	0.15	9.4	2.08%	1	1.1	67	0.5
8	Nov_10_2021	365.19	379.38	380.72	388.91	390.81	391.94	389.8(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	69	30	58	100	0.4	57%	0.15	12.5	2.08%	-0.3	0.7	65	0.5
9	Nov_9_2021	364.63	379.53	378.67	387.25	388.52	391.1	394.08(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	105	60	100	119	0.54	57%	0.16	18.1	2.1%	0.5	1	77	0.9
10	Nov_8_2021	364.03	379.05	375.81	382.8	384.68	389.68	388.11(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	151	110	159	128	0.33	57%	0.17	13.7	2.09%	0.1	0.6	69	1

11	Nov_5_2021	363.4	378.62	373.94	378.21	380.61	385.94	391.25(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	224	120	257	123	0.51	59%	0.17	8.6	2.09%	1.3	0.9	41	1
12	Nov_4_2021	362.77	377.9	371.91	373.49	373.97	379.68	381.3(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	128	110	157	40	0.54	57%	0.14	2.7	2.09%	0.3	0.2	37	1.3
13	Nov_3_2021	362.26	377.58	370.86	371.37	370.74	375.28	381.5(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	159	80	203	28	0.52	59%	0.14	3	2.09%	1.5	0.3	39	1.3
14	Nov_2_2021	361.77	376.94	368.52	368.95	368.72	368.27	371.85(1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	30	-10	61	-65	0.68	57%	0.1	-5.4	2.1%	1.5	-0.4	39	1.3
15	Nov_1_2021	361.41	377.12	367.57	367.83	368.12	366.19	365.13(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-102	-30	-87	-148	0.65	57%	0.07	-8.6	2.09%	-1.6	-0.9	41	1.2

16	Oct_29_2021	361.14	377.42	371.38	368.89	368.97	369.18	367.69(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	0	-34	-107	0.48	57%	0.1	-10.4	2.08%	-1.6	-0.7	46	1.2
17	Oct_28_2021	360.77	377.53	374.92	369.97	369.66	370.05	370.66(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	0	21	-64	0.26	57%	0.11	-12.5	2.08%	0.8	-0.5	49	1.2
18	Oct_27_2021	360.39	377.16	377.87	370.24	370.29	368.77	369.43(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-30	-15	-60	0.37	55%	0.08	-17.4	2.09%	0.4	-0.5	50	1.1
19	Oct_26_2021	360.1	377.7	380.44	367.98	370.93	369.27	366.26(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-10	-20	-53	0.44	55%	0.1	-19.2	2.1%	-1.2	-0.8	53	1.2
20	Oct_25_2021	359.75	378.32	382.63	367.15	368.24	371.8	370.43(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	80	-7	-44	0.41	55%	0.13	-18.7	2.1%	0.5	-0.6	51	1.4

21	Oct_22_2021	359.3	378.86	383.82	374.44	366.08	372.59	373.06(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	60	52	17	0.66	55%	0.11	-3.9	2.09%	1.3	-0.4	55	1.5
22	Oct_21_2021	358.89	379.33	384.53	381.02	374.5	364.68	372.01(3.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-230	-14	25	1.13	57%	0.1	9.2	2.1%	0.5	-0.5	55	1.8
23	Oct_20_2021	358.53	379.63	385.08	387.06	382.99	359.56	358.12(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-648	-460	-783	-244	2.33	57%	0.04	22.2	2.06%	-1.3	-1.6	54	1.7
24	Oct_19_2021	358.37	380.38	386.57	394.57	394.21	384.32	362.14(-10.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-537	-180	-659	-170	3.57	54%	0.01	38.3	2.1%	-2.3	-1.4	45	1.9
25	Oct_18_2021	358.33	380.92	388.23	399.53	402.68	406.42	406.85(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	200	90	190	228	0.58	66%		50.4	1.6%	0.5	2	66	2.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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