Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 13, 2021

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $339.2100 (-1.09%) ($338.2000 - $343.0100) on Tue. Jul. 13, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.77% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $339.2100(-1.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(62%)    XLY(56%)    XHB(54%)    VT(53%)    VFMO(52%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-42%)    UUP(-16%)    VXX(-12%)    TBT(-1%)    TLT(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.885% (StdDev 1.77%)
Hourly BBV -1.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $341.24
5 Day Moving Average   $340.33(-0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $344.26(-1.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $341.24(-0.59%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $19.102b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.2% (three month std-dev: 1.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.5%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.51%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.4%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.88%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2021	327.99	341.24	344.26	340.33	340.3	341.43	339.21(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-64	20	-69	-50	0.42	54%	0.04	11.8	1.77%	-1.3	-0.3	55	1.2
2	Jul_12_2021	327.87	341.14	344.72	342.88	340.64	343.38	342.95(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	64	40	75	29	0.45	54%	0.06	23.9	1.77%	0.8	0.2	59	1.2
3	Jul_9_2021	327.66	340.92	345.27	344.72	342.89	339.16	343.69(2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-90	-3	27	0.3	54%	0.08	38.7	1.78%	0.8	0.4	65	1.1
4	Jul_8_2021	327.4	340.37	346.04	345.74	344.98	337.91	334.51(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-256	-150	-318	-71	0.46	51%	0.03	41.2	1.75%	-1	-0.8	57	-0.1
5	Jul_7_2021	327.3	340.36	346.9	347.95	348.55	346.63	341.3(-3.03%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-130	-30	-176	9	0.54	54%	0.04	47.4	1.74%	-1.8	0.1	61	1

6	Jul_6_2021	327.16	340.35	346.51	348.53	349.63	352.05	351.95(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	97	60	87	125	0.46	58%	0.1	49.1	1.69%	2	1.5	69	0.9
7	Jul_2_2021	326.84	339.33	344.82	346.75	347.68	350.47	352.15(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	140	60	141	135	0.32	58%	0.1	35.7	1.7%	1.4	1.6	63	1.5
8	Jul_1_2021	326.51	338.03	342.34	346.02	345.27	347.21	348.8(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	75	30	69	93	0.53	58%	0.1	34.6	1.71%	1.6	1.5	59	1.7
9	Jun_30_2021	326.17	337.19	340.49	346.63	345.09	344.9	345.57(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	45	-20	32	82	0.33	58%	0.08	43.8	1.7%	0.1	1.2	62	1.5
10	Jun_29_2021	325.9	336.68	339.1	345.76	346.05	343.32	344.17(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-50	-30	52	0.32	58%	0.09	51.8	1.7%	-0.7	1.1	61	1.4

11	Jun_28_2021	325.61	336.54	337.96	344.06	344.78	345.29	343.06(-1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-45	20	-67	20	0.67	58%	0.13	63.8	1.7%	-1.3	1	50	1.7
12	Jun_25_2021	325.19	336.56	337.25	342.35	343.07	348.79	348.52(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	187	120	208	125	0.83	58%	0.17	75	1.7%	0.7	1.8	62	2
13	Jun_24_2021	324.65	335.56	336.1	337.95	339.69	344.26	351.83(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	278	110	319	156	0.79	58%	0.2	68.6	1.7%	1.8	2.6	68	1.7
14	Jun_23_2021	324.01	334.27	333.98	333.57	333.97	337.36	341.23(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	98	70	114	48	0.71	54%	0.17	65	1.69%	2.1	1.3	56	1.7
15	Jun_22_2021	323.46	333.28	333.06	331.61	331.68	335.13	335.66(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	135	70	162	52	0.43	54%	0.17	45.7	1.69%	1.3	0.4	49	1.4

16	Jun_21_2021	322.92	332.39	333.52	331.05	330.26	330.57	334.5(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	-0	74	13	0.38	54%	0.17	28.2	1.72%	2	0.3	43	0.6
17	Jun_18_2021	322.36	331.59	333.29	331.47	329.83	328.23	326.55(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-96	-50	-104	-70	0.37	51%	0.11	23.1	1.69%	-1.1	-0.7	35	-0.2
18	Jun_17_2021	322	331.3	333.42	333.86	332.34	329.96	329.91(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-70	-60	-77	-48	0.72	51%	0.13	33.5	1.69%	-0.8	-0.2	52	1
19	Jun_16_2021	321.57	330.84	333.76	334.31	334.14	331.43	331.42(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-94	-60	-108	-52	0.64	46%	0.12	43.7	1.7%	-0.5	0.1	55	0.9
20	Jun_15_2021	321.2	330.63	334.25	334.6	334.68	334.73	332.86(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-55	0	-66	-20	0.31	46%	0.12	54.1	1.75%	-0.8	0.3	60	1

21	Jun_14_2021	320.83	330.46	335.18	336.31	334.67	336.85	336.6(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	57	30	55	64	0.34	46%	0.12	65	1.75%	0.6	0.7	65	1.4
22	Jun_11_2021	320.45	329.84	335.94	335.41	335.33	334.64	338.51(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	79	-20	77	85	0.5	36%	0.12	63.4	2.08%	1.2	1	65	1.4
23	Jun_10_2021	320.06	328.62	335.03	332.97	334.08	332.49	332.18(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-42	-20	-65	26	0.44	36%	0.12	51.1	2.07%	-0.9	0.4	61	1.2
24	Jun_9_2021	319.69	327.2	334.62	333.1	332.61	336.03	332.86(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	24	70	11	64	0.52	34%	0.13	36.1	2.08%	-0.3	0.5	61	1
25	Jun_8_2021	319.28	326.15	333.58	333.79	332.33	335.67	341.42(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	150	60	159	124	0.71	42%		33.1	2.07%	1.6	1.4	59	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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