Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 2, 2021

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $352.1450 (0.96%) ($352.1450 - $352.1450) on Fri. Jul. 2, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $352.1450(0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(62%)    XLY(56%)    XHB(54%)    VFMO(52%)    VT(52%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-42%)    UUP(-16%)    VXX(-12%)    TBT(-1%)    TLT(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 1.4 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $346.75(1.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $344.82(2.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $339.33(3.78%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.8%
Market Cap   $19.83b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.92%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.88%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.52%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -2.43%(58%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 4.26%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.52%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210802

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_2_2021	326.84	339.33	344.82	346.75	347.68	350.47	352.15(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	140	60	141	135	0.32	58%	0.1	35.7	1.7%	1.4	1.6	63	1.5
2	Jul_1_2021	326.51	338.03	342.34	346.02	345.27	347.21	348.8(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	75	30	69	93	0.53	58%	0.1	34.6	1.71%	1.6	1.5	59	1.7
3	Jun_30_2021	326.17	337.19	340.49	346.63	345.09	344.9	345.57(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	45	-20	32	82	0.33	58%	0.08	43.8	1.7%	0.1	1.2	62	1.5
4	Jun_29_2021	325.9	336.68	339.1	345.76	346.05	343.32	344.17(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-50	-30	52	0.32	58%	0.09	51.8	1.7%	-0.7	1.1	61	1.4
5	Jun_28_2021	325.61	336.54	337.96	344.06	344.78	345.29	343.06(-1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-45	20	-67	20	0.67	58%	0.13	63.8	1.7%	-1.3	1	50	1.7

6	Jun_25_2021	325.19	336.56	337.25	342.35	343.07	348.79	348.52(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	187	120	208	125	0.83	58%	0.17	75	1.7%	0.7	1.8	62	2
7	Jun_24_2021	324.65	335.56	336.1	337.95	339.69	344.26	351.83(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	278	110	319	156	0.79	58%	0.2	68.6	1.7%	1.8	2.6	68	1.7
8	Jun_23_2021	324.01	334.27	333.98	333.57	333.97	337.36	341.23(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	98	70	114	48	0.71	54%	0.17	65	1.69%	2.1	1.3	56	1.7
9	Jun_22_2021	323.46	333.28	333.06	331.61	331.68	335.13	335.66(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	135	70	162	52	0.43	54%	0.17	45.7	1.69%	1.3	0.4	49	1.4
10	Jun_21_2021	322.92	332.39	333.52	331.05	330.26	330.57	334.5(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	-0	74	13	0.38	54%	0.17	28.2	1.72%	2	0.3	43	0.6

11	Jun_18_2021	322.36	331.59	333.29	331.47	329.83	328.23	326.55(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-96	-50	-104	-70	0.37	51%	0.11	23.1	1.69%	-1.1	-0.7	35	-0.2
12	Jun_17_2021	322	331.3	333.42	333.86	332.34	329.96	329.91(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-70	-60	-77	-48	0.72	51%	0.13	33.5	1.69%	-0.8	-0.2	52	1
13	Jun_16_2021	321.57	330.84	333.76	334.31	334.14	331.43	331.42(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-94	-60	-108	-52	0.64	46%	0.12	43.7	1.7%	-0.5	0.1	55	0.9
14	Jun_15_2021	321.2	330.63	334.25	334.6	334.68	334.73	332.86(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-55	0	-66	-20	0.31	46%	0.12	54.1	1.75%	-0.8	0.3	60	1
15	Jun_14_2021	320.83	330.46	335.18	336.31	334.67	336.85	336.6(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	57	30	55	64	0.34	46%	0.12	65	1.75%	0.6	0.7	65	1.4

16	Jun_11_2021	320.45	329.84	335.94	335.41	335.33	334.64	338.51(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	79	-20	77	85	0.5	36%	0.12	63.4	2.08%	1.2	1	65	1.4
17	Jun_10_2021	320.06	328.62	335.03	332.97	334.08	332.49	332.18(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-42	-20	-65	26	0.44	36%	0.12	51.1	2.07%	-0.9	0.4	61	1.2
18	Jun_9_2021	319.69	327.2	334.62	333.1	332.61	336.03	332.86(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	24	70	11	64	0.52	34%	0.13	36.1	2.08%	-0.3	0.5	61	1
19	Jun_8_2021	319.28	326.15	333.58	333.79	332.33	335.67	341.42(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	150	60	159	124	0.71	42%	0.07	33.1	2.07%	1.6	1.4	59	1.2
20	Jun_7_2021	319.05	325.1	331.15	334.08	332.11	329.19	332.09(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-22	-80	-41	35	0.51	38%	0.1	35.2	2.1%	0.6	0.7	52	1.4

21	Jun_4_2021	318.74	324.61	329.77	336.73	334.81	328.99	326.28(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-165	-140	-212	-25	0.8	40%	0.08	40.6	2.12%	-1.4	0.2	53	1.5
22	Jun_3_2021	318.49	324.17	329.17	337.28	339.57	335.04	332.85(-1.03%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-83	-70	-118	21	0.86	40%	0.12	36.8	2.14%	-0.8	0.8	65	1.2
23	Jun_2_2021	318.1	323.44	327.87	336.1	338.9	340.63	336.31(-1.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-8	60	-32	65	0.66	40%	0.14	30.6	2.14%	-1.6	1.3	74	1.5
24	Jun_1_2021	317.66	322.56	326.83	333.02	336.04	344.1	342.87(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	240	200	259	182	0.92	45%	0.24	19.3	2.13%	0.6	2.1	68	1.1
25	May_28_2021	316.89	321.49	325.29	327.72	330.31	337.17	345.33(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	289	170	323	187	2.36	45%		2.7	2.2%	1.3	2.8	60	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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