Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 10, 2020

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $265.4500 (7.29%) ($257.8700 - $273.6900) on Tue. Nov. 10, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.06% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $265.4500(7.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 4.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(53%)    XLY(51%)    XRT(51%)    DIA(50%)    IWM(50%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-42%)    UUP(-15%)    VXX(-13%)    EDOC(-12%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.53% (StdDev 3.06%)
Hourly BBV 0.8 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $231.9(14.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $221.18(20.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $226.23(17.34%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   31.8%
Market Cap   $14.948b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 7.04% (three month std-dev: 3.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_10_2020	218.05	226.23	221.18	231.9	237.11	259.08	265.45(7.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	489	720	565	259	3.57	59%	0.28	-2.7	3.06%	0.8	2.5	61	1.7
2	Nov_9_2020	217.45	224.58	215.49	222.31	225.3	233.3	247.42(15.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	338	290	406	132	3.56	56%	0.17	-18.4	3.07%	1.1	1.7	56	1.4
3	Nov_6_2020	217.09	223.91	212.39	214.96	216.3	215.14	215.06(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-46	-20	-25	-108	0.66	46%	-0.02	-33.8	2.46%	-0.4	-0.7	33	1.7
4	Nov_5_2020	217.13	224.85	214.15	213.31	215.27	217.3	214.36(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	90	36	-101	0.87	46%	-0.05	-35.6	2.46%	-1.9	-0.8	29	1
5	Nov_4_2020	217.23	226.01	216.09	211.58	212.62	217.47	217.22(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	85	170	138	-75	0.71	49%	-0.04	-37.5	2.46%	0.6	-0.7	33	0.8

6	Nov_3_2020	217.31	226.67	217.49	208.43	209.32	213.24	217.48(3.23%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	91	140	152	-92	0.87	49%	-0.04	-43.1	2.5%	1.3	-0.7	33	-0.6
7	Nov_2_2020	217.39	227.14	218.88	207.61	206.02	207.78	210.68(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	40	23	-157	0.96	47%	-0.07	-44.8	2.47%	1.6	-1.3	28	-1.4
8	Oct_30_2020	217.55	228.36	221.31	209.66	207.39	205.41	206.81(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-80	-100	-48	-177	0.9	47%	-0.09	-40	2.49%	0.7	-1.8	24	-1.7
9	Oct_29_2020	217.75	229.58	224.82	215.35	211.51	204.25	205.72(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-211	-290	-213	-205	0.83	47%	-0.15	-25.2	2.5%	-0.2	-2.2	29	-1.4
10	Oct_28_2020	218.08	230.87	228.25	221.4	218.87	209.37	201.47(-5.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.1	-278	-340	-301	-207	1.46	47%	-0.2	-5.2	2.51%	-1.5	-3.1	22	-2.6

11	Oct_27_2020	218.52	232.21	232.27	227.68	226.52	218.77	213.37(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-237	-250	-265	-152	0.82	51%	-0.19	22.4	2.42%	-1.2	-2.7	39	-0.5
12	Oct_26_2020	218.93	232.85	234.94	231.56	230.76	228.37	220.94(-6.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-148	-80	-170	-80	1.4	53%	-0.15	45.5	2.4%	-1.5	-2	50	-0.4
13	Oct_23_2020	219.25	233.18	236.78	234.46	233.67	234.27	235.24(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	10	9	13	0.61	59%	-0.05	55.5	2.27%	1.3	0.3	52	1.1
14	Oct_22_2020	219.37	232.32	236.68	235.82	234.46	233.14	235.97(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-15	-60	-24	14	0.65	59%	-0.08	45	2.27%	1.1	0.5	58	1.2
15	Oct_21_2020	219.54	231.36	236.83	236.41	236.26	233.07	232.87(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-61	-100	-83	4	0.63	59%	-0.04	33.1	2.27%	-0.7	0.2	56	0.9

16	Oct_20_2020	219.62	230.63	236.62	237.72	237.67	235.79	232.78(-1.14%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-77	-60	-106	10	0.68	59%	-0.03	24.7	2.27%	-1.6	0.3	61	0.6
17	Oct_19_2020	219.68	230.21	236.05	238.82	239.3	239.45	235.46(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	10	-6	61	0.7	59%	-0.04	21.1	2.28%	-2	0.7	65	0.7
18	Oct_16_2020	219.77	229.72	235.91	239.31	239.45	239.56	242.02(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	0	25	88	0.63	62%	-0	18.3	2.25%	1.6	1.6	67	1.4
19	Oct_15_2020	219.78	229.12	234.56	237.66	238.71	239.15	238.93(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	30	6	85	0.49	66%	-0.06	15	2.25%	-1	1.3	72	1.6
20	Oct_14_2020	219.91	228.82	233.54	237.36	238.02	239.34	239.42(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	50	43	109	0.52	66%	0.01	15.5	2.36%	-0.2	1.4	74	2

21	Oct_13_2020	219.89	228.72	232.02	235.39	237	238.27	238.26(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	83	60	71	118	0.58	66%	0.08	10.7	2.36%	0.3	1.3	71	2.1
22	Oct_12_2020	219.71	228.57	230.49	232.85	234.77	236.7	237.9(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	66	80	56	96	0.92	66%	0.08	3.6	2.37%	0.5	1.3	61	2.7
23	Oct_9_2020	219.53	228.3	229.2	232.01	232.24	235.73	233.78(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	80	110	73	99	0.7	61%	0.05	-3.7	2.38%	0.1	0.8	56	2.6
24	Oct_8_2020	219.42	228.03	227.55	230.99	231.54	232.85	237.46(3.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	111	50	116	95	0.67	61%	0.11	-14.2	2.45%	1.8	1.4	53	1.7
25	Oct_7_2020	219.17	227.69	225.35	229.24	229.44	228.74	229.55(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-14	-20	-22	11	0.91	59%		-25.5	2.42%	-0.7	0.3	44	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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