Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 3, 2020

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $238.1000 (0.15%) ($234.6100 - $242.5800) on Thu. Sep. 3, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.61% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $238.1000(0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(55%)    DIA(52%)    VT(52%)    IWD(51%)    IWM(51%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-42%)    UUP(-16%)    VXX(-14%)    EDOC(-9%)    TLT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.305% (StdDev 2.61%)
Hourly BBV 0.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $235.63(1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $228.39(4.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $222.6(6.96%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   25.4%
Market Cap   $13.408b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 4.53% (three month std-dev: 2.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 39 Average positive next day return: 1.54%(51%) Average negative next day return: -2.22%(49%) Sample size 39 Average positive next three day return: 3.09%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -3.44%(56%) Sample size 39 Average positive next weekly return: 3.16%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.29%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201003

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_3_2020	215.47	222.6	228.39	235.63	234.79	237.13	238.1(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	81	60	65	129	0.97	75%	0.17	97.6	2.61%	0.7	1.5	58	-3.2
2	Sep_2_2020	215.1	220.89	225.24	232.82	235.55	233.77	237.74(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	78	-20	71	100	0.9	75%	0.15	92.4	2.67%	2.1	1.7	60	-1.3
3	Sep_1_2020	214.77	219.1	222.75	229.41	232.44	232.45	232.82(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-31	40	-51	29	1.11	75%	0.14	81.8	2.66%	-0.5	1.3	60	-1
4	Aug_31_2020	214.46	217.41	221.02	226.8	229.59	237.33	232.27(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	124	270	135	89	1.27	75%	0.08	69.9	2.67%	0.1	1.3	61	-0.6
5	Aug_28_2020	214.28	215.41	220.03	224.84	226.34	232.43	237.21(5.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	242	210	276	139	6.55	75%	0.16	60.2	2.66%	1.2	1.9	62	0.5

6	Aug_27_2020	213.93	213.18	218.59	220.2	220.86	221.86	224.05(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	72	40	78	55	2.21	71%	0.11	47.9	2.59%	1.4	1	66	0.5
7	Aug_26_2020	213.69	211.91	218.32	216.5	217.95	220.25	220.72(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	90	52	40	1.01	76%	0.16	35.9	2.68%	0.5	0.8	64	1
8	Aug_25_2020	213.34	211.02	217.99	215.03	214.45	219.86	219.74(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	84	170	92	61	0.86	76%	0.15	30.7	2.85%	0.6	0.8	65	1.3
9	Aug_24_2020	213.02	209.92	217.64	214.31	212.96	215.65	222.46(3.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	110	70	118	84	1.19	76%	0.32	27.1	2.87%	1.5	1.2	70	1.3
10	Aug_21_2020	212.35	208.73	217.24	214.65	212.58	209.04	214.05(4.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-37	-150	-63	40	1.44	74%	0.25	28.8	2.83%	0.9	0.5	71	1.4

11	Aug_20_2020	211.81	208.2	216.4	216.94	215.74	210.28	205.54(-3.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-115	-190	-162	27	1.32	71%	0.21	36.2	2.83%	-1.2	-0.3	65	1.5
12	Aug_19_2020	211.37	208.24	216.5	220.31	220.22	216.13	213.36(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-64	-130	-111	76	0.84	78%	0.18	47.3	2.8%	-1.5	0.5	65	1.5
13	Aug_18_2020	210.99	207.83	215.54	221.17	221.86	221.19	216.17(-3.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-12	-10	-52	108	0.91	78%	0.18	51.2	2.8%	-1.6	0.8	61	1.8
14	Aug_17_2020	210.61	207.09	213.92	221.19	221.52	224.31	224.14(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	76	90	51	152	0.7	86%	0.24	57.1	2.85%	0.1	1.7	72	1.9
15	Aug_14_2020	210.11	205.82	210.73	220.18	220	222.52	225.52(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	117	80	102	163	0.72	86%	0.19	63.2	2.85%	1.2	2.1	71	1.6

16	Aug_13_2020	209.72	204.6	207.45	215.86	217.93	218.72	222.38(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	90	50	80	121	0.72	86%	0.14	61.6	2.85%	1.6	2.2	63	1.5
17	Aug_12_2020	209.42	203.55	204.96	212.18	213.57	217.48	217.67(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	150	48	79	0.58	69%	0.2	64.5	2.97%	-0.1	2	58	1.6
18	Aug_11_2020	209	202.78	203.35	209.06	210.39	217.15	216.23(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	155	240	171	107	1.15	69%	0.36	56.2	3.14%	0.6	2.1	58	1.1
19	Aug_10_2020	208.25	201.54	201.38	205.49	206.14	209.66	219.11(7.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	139	130	159	80	1.64	69%	0.35	36.2	3.14%	2	2.9	63	1.7
20	Aug_7_2020	207.53	200.17	199.16	199.95	201.36	203.63	203.9(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	100	54	7	0.56	63%	0.28	-1.8	3.03%	0.7	0.8	54	1.6

21	Aug_6_2020	206.95	199.78	199.05	197.75	198.3	202.62	203.99(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	67	160	86	8	0.82	63%	0.37	-22	3.04%	1.1	0.9	50	1.7
22	Aug_5_2020	206.19	199.21	199.09	196.65	195.83	199.09	202.05(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	69	100	90	5	0.91	63%	0.24	-39.9	3.04%	1.4	0.6	48	1.7
23	Aug_4_2020	205.7	199.18	199.35	196.86	195.11	193.99	198.41(3.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-70	10	-25	1.1	63%	0.18	-40.2	3.03%	2.4	-0.2	43	1.6
24	Aug_3_2020	205.33	199.39	199.7	196.69	196.55	192.57	191.42(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-78	-140	-85	-56	1.24	58%	-0.08	-34.9	3%	-0.8	-1.6	53	1.3
25	Jul_31_2020	205.49	200.26	200.66	198.19	198.4	196.23	192.89(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-79	-70	-91	-44	1.29	58%		-10.7	3.02%	-1.4	-1.5	54	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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