Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 4, 2017

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $221.6400 (4.26%) ($212.7400 - $226.9200) on Mon. Dec. 4, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.21% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $221.6400(4.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(59%)    XLI(58%)    XRT(57%)    IWD(56%)    IWM(56%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    GDXJ(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.105% (StdDev 2.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $219.22(1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $214.71(3.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $208.37(6.37%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   16.6%
Market Cap   $12.481b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 4.09% (three month std-dev: 2.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2017	222.93	208.37	214.71	219.22			221.64(4.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	12	107	2.66	61%	-0.18	53.1	2.21%	0	1.6	69	0
2	Dec_1_2017	223.34	207.35	213.96	216.23			212.58(-4.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	27	-10000	2	103	6.69	58%	-0.2	47.9	2.16%	0	0.7	62	0
3	Nov_30_2017	223.79	206.85	213.39	215.79			221.71(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	-10000	8	115	2.72	66%	-0.18	48.7	2.13%	0	1.9	71	0
4	Nov_29_2017	224.19	205.93	211.24	213.91			223.1(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	37	-10000	12	110	1.99	66%	-0.15	49.4	2.13%	0	2.4	75	0
5	Nov_28_2017	224.53	204.78	208.81	211.28			217.07(5.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	-10000	7	93	1.82	61%	-0.23	46.4	2.11%	0	2.1	69	0

6	Nov_27_2017	225.05	203.95	206.91	209.7			206.69(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-8	75	1.16	57%	-0.31	44.1	2.04%	0	0.5	57	0
7	Nov_24_2017	225.76	203.57	206.37	211.38			210.37(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	4	83	0.44	48%	-0.51	48.1	2.32%	0	1.3	59	0
8	Nov_22_2017	226.92	203.05	205.27	210.5			212.3(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	10	77	1.15	48%	-0.07	43	2.3%	0	1.9	60	0
9	Nov_21_2017	227.07	202.46	203.63	208.03			209.96(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	9	50	1.64	44%	-0.32	35.2	2.3%	0	1.7	55	0
10	Nov_20_2017	227.81	202.07	202.41	205.85			209.16(-2.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	9	30	1.28	44%	-0.35	24.6	2.35%	0	1.7	58	0

11	Nov_17_2017	228.6	201.69	201.55	203.63			215.1(4.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	13	-10000	12	15	1.69	47%	-0.31	20.5	2.34%	0	3.5	66	0
12	Nov_16_2017	229.31	201.08	200.07	200.76			205.96(2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	3	-10000	6	-5	1.05	45%	-0.35	10.3	2.26%	0	1.9	61	0
13	Nov_15_2017	230.12	200.97	199.66	199.4			199.99(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-10000	4	-13	0.65	38%	-0.36	22.9	2.25%	0	-0.4	49	0
14	Nov_14_2017	230.95	200.91	200.09	198.59			199.05(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	1	-15	0.59	38%	-0.4	-5	2.31%	0	-0.8	46	0
15	Nov_13_2017	231.87	201.08	200.37	198.38			198.03(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-3	-21	0.86	38%	-0.37	-22	2.31%	0	-1.1	40	0

16	Nov_10_2017	232.74	200.92	200.75	199.04			200.76(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-5	-10000	-1	-16	0.81	37%	-0.36	-53.6	2.32%	0	-0.1	47	0
17	Nov_9_2017	233.59	200.82	200.59	199.3			199.19(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-10000	-3	-22	0.96	37%	-0.38	-66.1	2.33%	0	-0.5	39	0
18	Nov_8_2017	234.49	200.43	200.74	200.04			195.9(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-10000	-8	-24	1.31	37%	-0.43	-89.3	2.32%	0	-1.1	32	0
19	Nov_7_2017	235.51	201.02	201.33	201.82			198.01(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4	-10000	-3	-6	0.77	37%	-0.41	-83.2	2.32%	0	-0.7	52	0
20	Nov_6_2017	236.48	201.71	201.88	202.58			201.33(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	0	-10000	-0	1	1.27	37%	-0.4	-76.4	2.32%	0	-0.1	49	0

21	Nov_3_2017	237.43	202.43	201.99	202.65			202.05(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-10000	3	13	0.84	37%	-0.42	-68.5	2.32%	0	-0.1	64	0
22	Nov_2_2017	238.43	203.24	202.24	202.03			202.9(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	2	16	0.87	35%	-0.42	-66.1	2.32%	0	-0	56	0
23	Nov_1_2017	239.43	204.03	202.38	201.55			204.83(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	3	30	1.35	35%	-0.41	-63.7	2.34%	0	0.1	67	0
24	Oct_31_2017	240.42	204.86	201.74	200.84			201.79(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-1	13	0.72	35%	-0.41	-60	2.35%	0	-0.3	46	0
25	Oct_30_2017	241.42	206.06	201.79	201.15			201.69(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	-1	3	0.84	35%		-52.8	2.35%	0	-0.4	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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