Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $212.3000 (1.11%) ($209.7200 - $215.4100) on Wed. Nov. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.3% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $212.3000(1.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(59%)    XLI(58%)    XRT(57%)    IWD(56%)    IWM(56%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    GDXJ(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.15% (StdDev 2.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $210.5(0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $205.27(3.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $203.05(4.56%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $11.955b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.42% (three month std-dev: 2.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_22_2017	226.92	203.05	205.27	210.5			212.3(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	10	77	1.15	48%	-0.07	43	2.3%	0	1.9	60	0
2	Nov_21_2017	227.07	202.46	203.63	208.03			209.96(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	9	50	1.64	44%	-0.32	35.2	2.3%	0	1.7	55	0
3	Nov_20_2017	227.81	202.07	202.41	205.85			209.16(-2.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	9	30	1.28	44%	-0.35	24.6	2.35%	0	1.7	58	0
4	Nov_17_2017	228.6	201.69	201.55	203.63			215.1(4.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	13	-10000	12	15	1.69	47%	-0.31	20.5	2.34%	0	3.5	66	0
5	Nov_16_2017	229.31	201.08	200.07	200.76			205.96(2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	3	-10000	6	-5	1.05	45%	-0.35	10.3	2.26%	0	1.9	61	0

6	Nov_15_2017	230.12	200.97	199.66	199.4			199.99(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-10000	4	-13	0.65	38%	-0.36	22.9	2.25%	0	-0.4	49	0
7	Nov_14_2017	230.95	200.91	200.09	198.59			199.05(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	1	-15	0.59	38%	-0.4	-5	2.31%	0	-0.8	46	0
8	Nov_13_2017	231.87	201.08	200.37	198.38			198.03(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-3	-21	0.86	38%	-0.37	-22	2.31%	0	-1.1	40	0
9	Nov_10_2017	232.74	200.92	200.75	199.04			200.76(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-5	-10000	-1	-16	0.81	37%	-0.36	-53.6	2.32%	0	-0.1	47	0
10	Nov_9_2017	233.59	200.82	200.59	199.3			199.19(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-10000	-3	-22	0.96	37%	-0.38	-66.1	2.33%	0	-0.5	39	0

11	Nov_8_2017	234.49	200.43	200.74	200.04			195.9(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-10000	-8	-24	1.31	37%	-0.43	-89.3	2.32%	0	-1.1	32	0
12	Nov_7_2017	235.51	201.02	201.33	201.82			198.01(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4	-10000	-3	-6	0.77	37%	-0.41	-83.2	2.32%	0	-0.7	52	0
13	Nov_6_2017	236.48	201.71	201.88	202.58			201.33(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	0	-10000	-0	1	1.27	37%	-0.4	-76.4	2.32%	0	-0.1	49	0
14	Nov_3_2017	237.43	202.43	201.99	202.65			202.05(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-10000	3	13	0.84	37%	-0.42	-68.5	2.32%	0	-0.1	64	0
15	Nov_2_2017	238.43	203.24	202.24	202.03			202.9(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	2	16	0.87	35%	-0.42	-66.1	2.32%	0	-0	56	0

16	Nov_1_2017	239.43	204.03	202.38	201.55			204.83(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	3	30	1.35	35%	-0.41	-63.7	2.34%	0	0.1	67	0
17	Oct_31_2017	240.42	204.86	201.74	200.84			201.79(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-1	13	0.72	35%	-0.41	-60	2.35%	0	-0.3	46	0
18	Oct_30_2017	241.42	206.06	201.79	201.15			201.69(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	-1	3	0.84	35%	-0.44	-52.8	2.35%	0	-0.4	42	0
19	Oct_27_2017	242.49	207.1	201.07	201.28			198.93(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-5	-25	0.95	35%	-0.45	-48.2	2.34%	0	-0.7	37	0
20	Oct_26_2017	243.59	208.41	201.08	202.46			200.51(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-3	-40	0.69	33%	-0.44	-41.6	2.35%	0	-0.7	36	0

21	Oct_25_2017	244.67	209.69	200.16	203.28			201.29(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-15	-10000	2	-66	0.79	35%	-0.44	-36.3	2.38%	0	-0.7	36	0
22	Oct_24_2017	245.74	210.96	200.73	202.7			203.31(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-10000	1	-88	0.67	35%	-0.45	-36.9	2.4%	0	-0.6	36	0
23	Oct_23_2017	246.85	211.76	201.51	202.49			202.36(-1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-21	-10000	7	-104	0.8	35%	-0.45	-40	2.39%	0	-0.8	33	0
24	Oct_20_2017	247.96	212.61	202.84	200.76			204.84(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-27	-10000	5	-124	1.11	35%	-0.41	-47.9	2.39%	0	-0.7	37	0
25	Oct_19_2017	248.99	213.34	204.16	199.51			204.62(3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-25	-10000	12	-137	2.74	35%		-53.8	2.39%	0	-0.8	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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