Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $204.8300 (1.51%) ($202.1400 - $212.3500) on Wed. Nov. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.34% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $204.8300(1.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(59%)    XLI(57%)    XRT(57%)    IWD(56%)    IWM(56%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    GDXJ(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.17% (StdDev 2.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $198.68(-3%)
5 Day Moving Average   $201.55(1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $202.38(1.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $204.03(0.39%)
To recent high   -19.8%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $11.534b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 4.24% (three month std-dev: 2.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_1_2017	239.43	204.03	202.38	201.55			204.83(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	3	30	1.35	35%	-0.41	-63.7	2.34%	0	0.1	67	0
2	Oct_31_2017	240.42	204.86	201.74	200.84			201.79(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-1	13	0.72	35%	-0.41	-60	2.35%	0	-0.3	46	0
3	Oct_30_2017	241.42	206.06	201.79	201.15			201.69(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	-1	3	0.84	35%	-0.44	-52.8	2.35%	0	-0.4	42	0
4	Oct_27_2017	242.49	207.1	201.07	201.28			198.93(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-5	-25	0.95	35%	-0.45	-48.2	2.34%	0	-0.7	37	0
5	Oct_26_2017	243.59	208.41	201.08	202.46			200.51(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-3	-40	0.69	33%	-0.44	-41.6	2.35%	0	-0.7	36	0

6	Oct_25_2017	244.67	209.69	200.16	203.28			201.29(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-15	-10000	2	-66	0.79	35%	-0.44	-36.3	2.38%	0	-0.7	36	0
7	Oct_24_2017	245.74	210.96	200.73	202.7			203.31(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-10000	1	-88	0.67	35%	-0.45	-36.9	2.4%	0	-0.6	36	0
8	Oct_23_2017	246.85	211.76	201.51	202.49			202.36(-1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-21	-10000	7	-104	0.8	35%	-0.45	-40	2.39%	0	-0.8	33	0
9	Oct_20_2017	247.96	212.61	202.84	200.76			204.84(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-27	-10000	5	-124	1.11	35%	-0.41	-47.9	2.39%	0	-0.7	37	0
10	Oct_19_2017	248.99	213.34	204.16	199.51			204.62(3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-25	-10000	12	-137	2.74	35%	-0.4	-53.8	2.39%	0	-0.8	36	0

11	Oct_18_2017	250	214.12	205.6	196.62			198.37(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-49	-10000	-8	-173	2.4	34%	-0.42	-62.6	2.35%	0	-1.4	30	0
12	Oct_17_2017	251.05	215.44	208.04	198.52			202.28(4.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-49	-10000	-9	-167	1.99	32%	-0.2	-62.3	2.36%	0	-1.2	31	0
13	Oct_16_2017	251.55	216.59	210.46	200.6			193.7(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-10000	-20	-156	2.31	28%	-0.44	-60.4	2.31%	0	-2.1	34	0
14	Oct_13_2017	252.66	218.34	213.56	205.33			198.58(4.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-10000	-18	-121	3.79	30%	-0.38	-57	2.31%	0	-2.1	36	0
15	Oct_12_2017	253.63	219.73	216.38	209.6			190.16(-8.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-42	-10000	-25	-94	5.5	27%	-0.36	-53.2	2.23%	0	-3.6	26	0

16	Oct_11_2017	254.55	221.57	220.28	215.69			207.89(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-22	-10000	-14	-47	2.06	29%	-0.33	-62.2	2.02%	0	-2.7	37	0
17	Oct_10_2017	255.39	222.55	222.34	218.82			212.69(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-15	-10000	-13	-19	0.84	29%	-0.33	-59.6	2.08%	0	-2.5	37	0
18	Oct_9_2017	256.23	223.3	223.13	221.8			217.34(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-5	-10000	-6	-1	0.63	30%	-0.3	-41.6	2.09%	0	-1.7	40	0
19	Oct_6_2017	257.01	223.87	223.4	223.1			219.91(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4	-10000	-5	-1	1.48	30%	-0.31	-24.6	2.1%	0	-1.2	39	0
20	Oct_5_2017	257.81	224.23	223.41	224.33			220.63(-1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-5	2	1.23	30%	-0.28	-5.4	2.11%	0	-1.1	45	0

21	Oct_4_2017	258.54	224.71	223.39	225.58			223.52(-1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-4	6	0.6	30%	-0.27	28.1	2.11%	0	-0.4	50	0
22	Oct_3_2017	259.25	224.93	223.41	226.41			227.62(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	7	14	0.89	29%	-0.27	58.2	2.12%	0	0.8	51	0
23	Oct_2_2017	259.94	224.73	223.03	224.68			223.8(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	3	-10000	4	-2	1.06	29%	-0.29	66	2.11%	0	-0.3	44	0
24	Sep_29_2017	260.69	224.65	223.3	223.7			226.06(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	2	-10000	6	-10	0.56	29%	-0.29	70	2.11%	0	0.4	43	0
25	Sep_28_2017	261.45	224.41	223.12	222.32			226.89(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-1	-10000	6	-23	0.55	29%		41.2	2.11%	0	0.7	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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