Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $256.6100 (1.8%) ($250.5300 - $257.1100) on Tue. Jul. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.62% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $256.6100(1.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(58%)    XRT(56%)    IWD(55%)    IWM(55%)    IWN(55%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-11%)    GDXJ(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.81% (StdDev 1.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

Resistance Level   $266.61
5 Day Moving Average   $254.92(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $256.69(-0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $266.61(-3.75%)
To recent high   -18.2%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $14.45b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 4.71% (three month std-dev: 1.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2017	285.34	266.61	256.69	254.92			256.61(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-10000	-2	-107	0.95	41%	-0.07	-65.2	1.62%	0	-0.8	34	0
2	Jul_24_2017	285.53	268.21	256.64	255.34			252.08(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10000	-2	-142	0.88	39%	-0.09	-63.1	1.6%	0	-1.2	28	0
3	Jul_21_2017	285.8	269.86	258.25	255.72			253.4(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-10000	-8	-166	1.14	39%	-0.08	-67.7	1.6%	0	-1.3	26	0
4	Jul_20_2017	286.04	271.43	260.49	257.38			255.74(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-10000	-2	-164	0.79	39%	-0.07	-71.9	1.6%	0	-1.2	29	0
5	Jul_19_2017	286.24	273.09	262.17	257.72			256.75(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-10000	-5	-179	1.2	38%	-0.06	-77.1	1.6%	0	-1.3	30	0

6	Jul_18_2017	286.41	275.06	264.31	258.74			258.75(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-42	-10000	3	-175	1.6	38%	-0.06	-76.1	1.6%	0	-1.3	33	0
7	Jul_17_2017	286.58	276.83	266.66	258.18			253.94(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-60	-10000	-14	-198	1.67	36%	-0.08	-80.4	1.58%	0	-1.8	26	0
8	Jul_14_2017	286.81	278.97	269.96	261.16			261.74(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-57	-10000	-15	-181	1.57	38%	-0.05	-83.1	1.54%	0	-1.4	34	0
9	Jul_13_2017	286.94	280.89	272.33	264.21			257.4(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-10000	-15	-158	1.08	36%	-0.07	-79.7	1.54%	0	-1.9	31	0
10	Jul_12_2017	287.14	283.16	275.19	267.37			261.86(2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-10000	-17	-142	1.91	37%	-0.06	-79.3	1.53%	0	-1.8	30	0

11	Jul_11_2017	287.3	285.23	277.38	270.81			255.98(-4.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-55	-10000	-26	-141	3.39	34%	-0.11	-77	1.5%	0	-2.6	21	0
12	Jul_10_2017	287.62	287.58	280.91	276.29			268.82(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-42	-10000	-19	-112	1.1	38%	-0.02	-83.3	1.38%	0	-2	29	0
13	Jul_7_2017	287.69	289.54	282.61	279.99			276.97(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-9	-97	0.58	40%	0.02	-76.9	1.33%	0	-1.4	32	0
14	Jul_6_2017	287.64	291.04	283.39	281.77			273.24(-2.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-37	-10000	-13	-107	1.08	40%	0	-70.9	1.32%	0	-1.9	24	0
15	Jul_5_2017	287.64	292.8	285.02	284.18			279.04(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-4	-105	1.29	42%	0.1	-66	1.3%	0	-1.5	26	0

16	Jul_3_2017	287.36	294.2	286.73	284.94			283.36(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-7	-112	0.33	42%	0.05	-59.1	1.28%	0	-1.1	28	0
17	Jun_30_2017	287.23	295.69	287.78	286.22			287.34(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	-10000	3	-110	0.72	44%	0.05	-50.5	1.26%	0	-0.9	33	0
18	Jun_29_2017	287.08	296.87	288.56	285.69			285.88(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-32	-10000	2	-133	0.76	44%	0.05	-44.4	1.27%	0	-1.1	26	0
19	Jun_28_2017	286.95	297.93	289.91	285.34			285.28(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-10000	-4	-150	0.53	44%	0.05	-35.2	1.27%	0	-1.3	26	0
20	Jun_27_2017	286.82	298.95	291.55	286.05			282.86(-2.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-51	-10000	-15	-159	0.89	44%	0.03	-28.2	1.27%	0	-1.8	22	0

21	Jun_26_2017	286.72	300.03	293.53	288.78			289.72(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-10000	-5	-144	0.74	47%	0.06	-17.5	1.23%	0	-1.2	28	0
22	Jun_23_2017	286.54	300.72	294.64	289.67			284.71(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-50	-10000	-13	-162	0.82	44%	0.05	-10.5	1.21%	0	-2	15	0
23	Jun_22_2017	286.39	301.27	296.96	291.92			284.14(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-51	-10000	-18	-151	1.16	44%	0.05	-6.1	1.22%	0	-2.3	19	0
24	Jun_21_2017	286.24	301.3	299.33	295.12			288.84(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-10000	-15	-125	0.98	44%	0.06	-0.8	1.2%	0	-1.6	31	0
25	Jun_20_2017	286.07	301.52	301.29	297.79			296.5(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-7	-97	1.01	46%		7.1	1.17%	0	-0.7	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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