Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 6, 2017

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $273.2400 (-2.08%) ($271.4300 - $277.7200) on Thu. Jul. 6, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $273.2400(-2.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(58%)    XRT(56%)    IWM(55%)    IWN(55%)    XLY(55%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-11%)    GDXJ(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

Resistance Level   $291.04
5 Day Moving Average   $281.77(-3.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $283.39(-3.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $291.04(-6.12%)
To recent high   -12.9%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $15.387b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 3.26% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170806

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_6_2017	287.64	291.04	283.39	281.77			273.24(-2.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-37	-10000	-13	-107	1.08	40%	0	-70.9	1.32%	0	-1.9	24	0
2	Jul_5_2017	287.64	292.8	285.02	284.18			279.04(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-4	-105	1.29	42%	0.1	-66	1.3%	0	-1.5	26	0
3	Jul_3_2017	287.36	294.2	286.73	284.94			283.36(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-7	-112	0.33	42%	0.05	-59.1	1.28%	0	-1.1	28	0
4	Jun_30_2017	287.23	295.69	287.78	286.22			287.34(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	-10000	3	-110	0.72	44%	0.05	-50.5	1.26%	0	-0.9	33	0
5	Jun_29_2017	287.08	296.87	288.56	285.69			285.88(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-32	-10000	2	-133	0.76	44%	0.05	-44.4	1.27%	0	-1.1	26	0

6	Jun_28_2017	286.95	297.93	289.91	285.34			285.28(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-10000	-4	-150	0.53	44%	0.05	-35.2	1.27%	0	-1.3	26	0
7	Jun_27_2017	286.82	298.95	291.55	286.05			282.86(-2.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-51	-10000	-15	-159	0.89	44%	0.03	-28.2	1.27%	0	-1.8	22	0
8	Jun_26_2017	286.72	300.03	293.53	288.78			289.72(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-10000	-5	-144	0.74	47%	0.06	-17.5	1.23%	0	-1.2	28	0
9	Jun_23_2017	286.54	300.72	294.64	289.67			284.71(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-50	-10000	-13	-162	0.82	44%	0.05	-10.5	1.21%	0	-2	15	0
10	Jun_22_2017	286.39	301.27	296.96	291.92			284.14(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-51	-10000	-18	-151	1.16	44%	0.05	-6.1	1.22%	0	-2.3	19	0

11	Jun_21_2017	286.24	301.3	299.33	295.12			288.84(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-10000	-15	-125	0.98	44%	0.06	-0.8	1.2%	0	-1.6	31	0
12	Jun_20_2017	286.07	301.52	301.29	297.79			296.5(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-7	-97	1.01	46%	0.09	7.1	1.17%	0	-0.7	41	0
13	Jun_19_2017	285.81	301.5	302.35	299.03			294.17(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10000	-8	-82	0.88	46%	0.08	11.3	1.18%	0	-0.9	41	0
14	Jun_16_2017	285.57	301.58	304.29	300.4			295.94(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-10000	-13	-56	0.8	46%	0.08	14.4	1.18%	0	-0.7	44	0
15	Jun_15_2017	285.33	301.72	305.88	302.78			300.13(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	-8	-5	0.39	48%	0.1	22.4	1.17%	0	-0.2	63	0

16	Jun_14_2017	285.05	301.38	306.61	304.21			302.21(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-6	49	0.64	48%	0.12	22.7	1.17%	0	0.1	75	0
17	Jun_13_2017	284.71	300.97	306.95	305.36			302.69(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-10000	-5	85	0.53	48%	0.13	23	1.17%	0	0.2	62	0
18	Jun_12_2017	284.33	300.62	307.07	306.21			301.02(-2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	-10000	-14	104	0.83	48%	0.12	25	1.17%	0	0	56	0
19	Jun_9_2017	283.98	300.46	307.33	308.75			307.87(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	-10000	-4	138	0.51	58%	0.15	35.2	1.26%	0	0.9	62	0
20	Jun_8_2017	283.55	300.01	305.98	309.47			307.27(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	37	-10000	1	143	0.54	61%	0.15	43.1	1.26%	0	0.9	58	0

21	Jun_7_2017	283.12	299.58	303.53	309.36			307.94(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	34	-10000	3	127	0.48	57%	0.16	49.4	1.29%	0	1.1	62	0
22	Jun_6_2017	282.67	299.11	301.86	308.74			306.96(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	4	119	0.94	56%	0.09	56.1	1.32%	0	1	60	0
23	Jun_5_2017	282.42	298.6	300.65	307.95			313.73(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	-10000	11	119	0.84	59%	0.19	64.5	1.29%	0	2.1	63	0
24	Jun_2_2017	281.88	297.61	298.58	305.69			311.47(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	-10000	19	100	0.68	60%	0.18	73.7	1.29%	0	2.1	60	0
25	Jun_1_2017	281.36	296.6	297.06	302			306.72(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	-10000	28	70	0.55	59%		74.5	1.28%	0	1.8	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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