Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 2, 2017

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $311.4700 (1.55%) ($307.7000 - $311.7800) on Fri. Jun. 2, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $311.4700(1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(58%)    XRT(56%)    IWN(55%)    XLY(55%)    IWD(54%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-11%)    GDXJ(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $305.69(1.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $298.58(4.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $297.61(4.66%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.4%
Market Cap   $17.539b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.17% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170702

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_2_2017	281.88	297.61	298.58	305.69			311.47(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	-10000	19	100	0.68	60%	0.18	73.7	1.29%	0	2.1	60	0
2	Jun_1_2017	281.36	296.6	297.06	302			306.72(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	-10000	28	70	0.55	59%	0.16	74.5	1.28%	0	1.8	54	0
3	May_31_2017	280.9	295.75	295.52	296.76			304.84(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	13	-10000	15	8	0.6	58%	0.16	61.7	1.31%	0	1.7	53	0
4	May_30_2017	280.46	294.92	294.28	293.9			303(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-1	-10000	8	-28	0.81	59%	0.22	59	1.31%	0	1.6	52	0
5	May_26_2017	279.85	293.95	293.4	292.29			302.4(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-5	-10000	9	-46	2.86	59%	0.14	47.7	1.29%	0	1.4	53	0

6	May_25_2017	279.46	292.92	292.76	290.62			293.04(4.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-21	-10000	-5	-67	2.14	55%	0.11	41.2	1.24%	0	0	48	0
7	May_24_2017	279.14	292.41	293.38	291.58			280.51(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-25	-10000	-14	-57	2.03	48%	0.09	44.2	1.11%	0	-1.8	39	0
8	May_23_2017	278.89	292.5	295.38	293.9			290.55(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-10000	-4	-17	0.93	52%	0.04	53	1.02%	0	-0.3	53	0
9	May_22_2017	278.77	291.96	296.3	294.45			294.94(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10000	-1	10	0.61	55%	0.15	48.8	1.01%	0	0.4	63	0
10	May_19_2017	278.36	291.17	296.56	294.55			294.08(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-5	35	0.71	55%	0.14	44.3	1.01%	0	0.4	70	0

11	May_18_2017	277.98	290.48	296.75	295.24			297.82(1.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	16	-10000	-3	72	0.89	58%	0.15	43.8	1%	0	0.9	78	0
12	May_17_2017	277.55	289.54	296.22	295.66			292.09(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-10	98	0.75	57%	0.13	42.8	0.98%	0	0.3	74	0
13	May_16_2017	277.2	288.94	296.16	297.13			293.33(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	29	-10000	-8	138	0.7	57%	0.06	43.8	0.99%	0	0.5	79	0
14	May_15_2017	277.04	288.42	295.79	298.38			295.41(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	43	-10000	-3	181	0.58	57%	0.15	46.8	0.98%	0	0.9	85	0
15	May_12_2017	276.63	287.79	294.69	298.81			297.55(-0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.2	53	-10000	3	204	0.47	59%	0.15	48	0.98%	0	1.2	90	0

16	May_11_2017	276.22	287.01	293.17	298.39			299.91(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	61	-10000	11	211	0.51	59%	0.14	47.4	0.98%	0	1.7	91	0
17	May_10_2017	275.83	286.14	291.37	296.85			299.47(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	61	-10000	13	203	0.43	56%	0.15	47.4	0.99%	0	1.9	91	0
18	May_9_2017	275.43	285.42	289.4	295.03			299.57(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	58	-10000	15	185	0.59	56%	0.15	48.5	1%	0	2.2	88	0
19	May_8_2017	275.02	284.68	287.23	292.83			297.54(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	54	-10000	20	156	0.53	56%	0.13	49.5	1%	0	2.3	74	0
20	May_5_2017	274.65	283.95	285.25	289.97			295.47(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	45	-10000	20	118	0.48	56%	0.15	41.3	0.98%	0	2.4	71	0

21	May_4_2017	274.24	283.35	283.58	287.16			292.21(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	-10000	15	77	0.33	54%	0.15	29.7	0.98%	0	2.3	68	0
22	May_3_2017	273.83	282.78	282.17	285.06			290.36(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	22	-10000	15	42	0.46	54%	0.13	14.3	0.99%	0	2.3	62	0
23	May_2_2017	273.47	282.3	281	282.92			288.59(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	12	-10000	15	3	0.52	54%	0.14	-5.9	0.99%	0	2.2	50	0
24	May_1_2017	273.08	281.94	280.31	280.8			283.22(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	-10000	8	-34	0.49	50%	0.12	-27	0.96%	0	0.5	37	0
25	Apr_28_2017	272.75	282.02	280.24	279.8			281.44(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	3	-52	0.35	50%		-30.8	0.96%	0	-0.2	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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