Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $297.5500 (-0.79%) ($296.1850 - $299.6500) on Fri. May. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   90
Latest Price   $297.5500(-0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(57%)    XRT(56%)    IWN(55%)    XLY(55%)    IWD(54%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-11%)    GDXJ(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $298.81(-0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $294.69(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $287.79(3.39%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $16.756b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.81% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2017	276.63	287.79	294.69	298.81			297.55(-0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.2	53	-10000	3	204	0.47	59%	0.15	48	0.98%	0	1.2	90	0
2	May_11_2017	276.22	287.01	293.17	298.39			299.91(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	61	-10000	11	211	0.51	59%	0.14	47.4	0.98%	0	1.7	91	0
3	May_10_2017	275.83	286.14	291.37	296.85			299.47(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	61	-10000	13	203	0.43	56%	0.15	47.4	0.99%	0	1.9	91	0
4	May_9_2017	275.43	285.42	289.4	295.03			299.57(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	58	-10000	15	185	0.59	56%	0.15	48.5	1%	0	2.2	88	0
5	May_8_2017	275.02	284.68	287.23	292.83			297.54(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	54	-10000	20	156	0.53	56%	0.13	49.5	1%	0	2.3	74	0

6	May_5_2017	274.65	283.95	285.25	289.97			295.47(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	45	-10000	20	118	0.48	56%	0.15	41.3	0.98%	0	2.4	71	0
7	May_4_2017	274.24	283.35	283.58	287.16			292.21(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	-10000	15	77	0.33	54%	0.15	29.7	0.98%	0	2.3	68	0
8	May_3_2017	273.83	282.78	282.17	285.06			290.36(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	22	-10000	15	42	0.46	54%	0.13	14.3	0.99%	0	2.3	62	0
9	May_2_2017	273.47	282.3	281	282.92			288.59(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	12	-10000	15	3	0.52	54%	0.14	-5.9	0.99%	0	2.2	50	0
10	May_1_2017	273.08	281.94	280.31	280.8			283.22(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	-10000	8	-34	0.49	50%	0.12	-27	0.96%	0	0.5	37	0

11	Apr_28_2017	272.75	282.02	280.24	279.8			281.44(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	3	-52	0.35	50%	0.11	-30.8	0.96%	0	-0.2	40	0
12	Apr_27_2017	272.45	282.21	280.33	279.41			281.68(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-12	-10000	4	-61	0.68	50%	0.11	-26.3	0.97%	0	-0.2	39	0
13	Apr_26_2017	272.16	282.29	280.49	278.82			279.69(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-10000	0	-68	0.49	50%	0.1	-32.6	0.96%	0	-1	46	0
14	Apr_25_2017	271.9	282.46	281.14	278.78			277.99(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10000	-7	-63	0.51	53%	0.08	-31.5	0.96%	0	-1.7	42	0
15	Apr_24_2017	271.69	282.61	281.99	279.75			278.21(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-7	-42	0.71	53%	0.1	-33.3	0.97%	0	-1.8	42	0

16	Apr_21_2017	271.43	282.81	282.64	280.74			279.5(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-5	-32	0.51	53%	0.08	-38.8	0.97%	0	-1.5	36	0
17	Apr_20_2017	271.2	282.92	283.2	281.38			278.73(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-12	-10000	-7	-26	0.56	53%	0.07	-43.4	0.98%	0	-1.9	33	0
18	Apr_19_2017	271	283.17	283.57	282.39			279.46(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-12	-10000	-10	-19	1.04	53%	0.07	-43.5	0.98%	0	-1.9	42	0
19	Apr_18_2017	270.8	283.29	283.85	283.83			282.86(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4	-10000	-5	-2	0.29	56%	0.08	-35.9	0.96%	0	-0.2	51	0
20	Apr_17_2017	270.58	283.43	283.8	284.57			283.17(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-2	12	0.33	56%	0.08	-27.3	0.97%	0	-0.1	60	0

21	Apr_13_2017	270.37	283.68	284	284.84			282.68(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	3	-10000	-3	22	0.33	56%	0.08	-15.2	0.97%	0	-0.4	54	0
22	Apr_12_2017	270.16	283.85	284.28	285.3			283.78(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	12	-10000	3	39	0.34	56%	0.1	14.5	0.97%	0	-0	58	0
23	Apr_11_2017	269.89	284.03	284.26	284.87			286.65(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	8	38	0.36	59%	0.14	33.3	0.96%	0	1.1	58	0
24	Apr_10_2017	269.52	283.95	283.86	283.85			286.59(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	7	28	0.37	59%	0.14	50.6	0.96%	0	1.1	62	0
25	Apr_7_2017	269.14	283.93	283.22	282.94			284.5(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	-1	3	0.34	59%		61.9	0.96%	0	0.2	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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