Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $282.0300 (-1.12%) ($281.9150 - $285.9800) on Mon. Apr. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $282.0300(-1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(57%)    XRT(56%)    IWN(55%)    XLY(55%)    IWD(54%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-11%)    GDXJ(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

Resistance Level   $282.75
5 Day Moving Average   $283.81(-0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $282.7(-0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $282.75(-0.25%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   9.9%
Market Cap   $15.882b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170503

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_3_2017	267.58	282.75	282.7	283.81			282.03(-1.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-4	-10000	3	-26	0.64	56%	0.17	39	0.99%	0	-0.1	45	0
2	Mar_31_2017	267.13	282.46	283.05	283.43			285.23(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	5	-34	0.43	59%	0.19	36.6	0.98%	0	0.6	46	0
3	Mar_30_2017	266.62	282.12	283.32	282.69			285.51(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	6	-38	0.5	59%	0.19	33.9	0.99%	0	0.7	47	0
4	Mar_29_2017	266.11	281.72	283.35	281.84			283.43(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10000	0	-27	0.41	59%	0.2	31.5	0.99%	0	0.3	65	0
5	Mar_28_2017	265.58	281.31	283.74	281.8			282.86(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	2	-3	0.38	59%	0.2	27.9	1%	0	0.3	62	0

6	Mar_27_2017	265.06	280.87	283.99	281.49			280.14(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-8	18	0.51	59%	0.2	23.3	1%	0	-0.1	66	0
7	Mar_24_2017	264.52	280.68	284.69	282.6			281.53(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-10	53	0.34	59%	0.2	29.1	1%	0	0.2	58	0
8	Mar_23_2017	264	280.43	285.2	284.06			281.22(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-7	89	0.49	59%	0.17	40	1.01%	0	0.1	54	0
9	Mar_22_2017	263.56	280.12	284.62	285.08			283.26(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-10000	-6	97	0.7	53%	0.17	46.3	1.01%	0	0.6	57	0
10	Mar_21_2017	263.11	279.81	283.95	285.98			281.28(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	22	-10000	-6	107	0.59	53%	0.15	56	1.05%	0	0.3	58	0

11	Mar_20_2017	262.72	279.62	282.98	286.8			285.71(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-10000	-2	117	0.66	58%	0.18	66.8	1.03%	0	1.1	65	0
12	Mar_17_2017	262.26	279.07	282	287.04			288.81(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	3	127	0.67	61%	0.19	74.6	1.01%	0	1.7	64	0
13	Mar_16_2017	261.75	278.21	280.88	286.56			286.32(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	46	-10000	17	132	0.49	65%	0.16	76.8	1.02%	0	1.5	61	0
14	Mar_15_2017	261.33	277.55	279.96	284.05			287.78(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	-10000	17	108	0.55	65%	0.16	68	1.04%	0	2	65	0
15	Mar_14_2017	260.91	276.71	278.61	281.59			285.38(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	-10000	21	78	0.62	65%	0.13	59.8	1.05%	0	1.9	59	0

16	Mar_13_2017	260.56	275.84	277.38	278.5			286.91(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	20	-10000	15	33	1.09	65%	0.14	36.6	1.06%	0	2.5	60	0
17	Mar_10_2017	260.2	274.95	276.16	276.23			286.42(4.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	10	-10000	11	7	4.58	65%	0.13	24.1	1.06%	0	3	62	0
18	Mar_9_2017	259.87	274.22	275.02	274.58			273.77(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-6	-12	1.73	55%	0.07	20.4	0.9%	0	-0.2	54	0
19	Mar_8_2017	259.69	274.18	275.12	275.32			275.47(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1	-10000	1	2	0.82	55%	0.08	33.3	0.91%	0	0.5	53	0
20	Mar_7_2017	259.49	274.03	275.27	275.19			269.92(-2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-2	-10000	-6	11	1.64	48%	0.05	33.3	0.87%	0	-1.5	50	0

21	Mar_6_2017	259.37	274.22	276.05	275.89			275.59(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	-0	46	1.08	57%	0.05	48.4	0.83%	0	0.5	66	0
22	Mar_3_2017	259.24	274.04	276.02	275.91			278.15(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	3	60	0.46	61%	0.05	50	0.85%	0	1.6	66	0
23	Mar_2_2017	259.11	273.66	275.43	275.55			277.45(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	5	55	0.51	61%	0.15	45.6	0.86%	0	1.5	57	0
24	Mar_1_2017	258.71	273.27	275.04	274.98			274.83(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-4	45	0.59	58%	0.15	35.6	0.88%	0	0.6	54	0
25	Feb_28_2017	258.31	273.13	274.74	275.45			273.43(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-10000	-6	50	0.43	58%		47.2	0.88%	0	0.1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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