Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ULTA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $285.3800 (-0.53%) ($283.8000 - $286.6900) on Tue. Mar. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $285.3800(-0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(57%)    XRT(56%)    IWN(55%)    XLY(55%)    IWD(54%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-11%)    GDXJ(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $281.59(1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $278.61(2.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $276.71(3.13%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $16.07b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170414

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_14_2017	260.91	276.71	278.61	281.59			285.38(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	-10000	21	78	0.62	65%	0.13	59.8	1.05%	0	1.9	59	0
2	Mar_13_2017	260.56	275.84	277.38	278.5			286.91(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	20	-10000	15	33	1.09	65%	0.14	36.6	1.06%	0	2.5	60	0
3	Mar_10_2017	260.2	274.95	276.16	276.23			286.42(4.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	10	-10000	11	7	4.58	65%	0.13	24.1	1.06%	0	3	62	0
4	Mar_9_2017	259.87	274.22	275.02	274.58			273.77(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-6	-12	1.73	55%	0.07	20.4	0.9%	0	-0.2	54	0
5	Mar_8_2017	259.69	274.18	275.12	275.32			275.47(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1	-10000	1	2	0.82	55%	0.08	33.3	0.91%	0	0.5	53	0

6	Mar_7_2017	259.49	274.03	275.27	275.19			269.92(-2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-2	-10000	-6	11	1.64	48%	0.05	33.3	0.87%	0	-1.5	50	0
7	Mar_6_2017	259.37	274.22	276.05	275.89			275.59(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	-0	46	1.08	57%	0.05	48.4	0.83%	0	0.5	66	0
8	Mar_3_2017	259.24	274.04	276.02	275.91			278.15(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	3	60	0.46	61%	0.05	50	0.85%	0	1.6	66	0
9	Mar_2_2017	259.11	273.66	275.43	275.55			277.45(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	5	55	0.51	61%	0.15	45.6	0.86%	0	1.5	57	0
10	Mar_1_2017	258.71	273.27	275.04	274.98			274.83(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-4	45	0.59	58%	0.15	35.6	0.88%	0	0.6	54	0

11	Feb_28_2017	258.31	273.13	274.74	275.45			273.43(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-10000	-6	50	0.43	58%	0.13	47.2	0.88%	0	0.1	53	0
12	Feb_27_2017	257.97	272.98	274.29	276.21			275.69(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	1	54	0.4	58%	0.15	63	0.88%	0	1.1	55	0
13	Feb_24_2017	257.59	272.76	273.73	276.11			276.33(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	7	51	0.47	58%	0.14	74.2	0.88%	0	1.5	59	0
14	Feb_23_2017	257.23	272.55	273.36	275.26			274.6(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	-10000	2	42	0.49	58%	0.16	81	0.88%	0	0.9	59	0
15	Feb_22_2017	256.82	272.41	273.17	275.07			277.19(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	9	50	0.31	73%	0.16	95.1	0.89%	0	2.1	67	0

16	Feb_21_2017	256.42	271.98	272.65	273.92			277.26(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	20	-10000	14	36	0.51	73%	0.23	101.3	0.96%	0	2.6	59	0
17	Feb_17_2017	255.82	271.42	272.17	272.09			275.15(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	-10000	8	16	0.45	73%	0.15	78.6	0.95%	0	1.6	60	0
18	Feb_16_2017	255.43	270.98	271.83	271.03			272.09(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-1	-10000	-1	0	0.4	70%	0.13	75.6	0.96%	0	0.5	51	0
19	Feb_15_2017	255.1	270.69	271.7	271.19			273.64(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	1	-0	0.52	70%	0.12	78.7	0.96%	0	1.2	52	0
20	Feb_14_2017	254.79	270.3	271.29	271.02			271.46(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-10000	-2	-9	0.62	70%	0.14	73.8	0.98%	0	0.4	48	0

21	Feb_13_2017	254.44	269.91	271.36	271.23			268.12(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-6	-10000	-7	-1	0.61	66%	0.13	78.9	0.97%	0	-0.6	51	0
22	Feb_10_2017	254.12	269.62	271.62	272.22			269.84(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-3	22	0.67	66%	0.13	73.4	0.97%	0	0.1	62	0
23	Feb_9_2017	253.8	269.22	271.8	272.66			272.87(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	3	42	0.49	74%	0.14	64.8	0.96%	0	0.9	69	0
24	Feb_8_2017	253.45	268.7	271.73	272.24			272.82(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	5	51	0.44	74%	0.16	61.6	0.97%	0	1	69	0
25	Feb_7_2017	253.05	268.19	271.64	271.58			272.49(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	0	55	0.43	74%		63	0.97%	0	1	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.