Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $259.5000 (-0.35%) ($256.5400 - $262.2700) on Wed. Nov. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.94% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $259.5000(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(57%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWD(54%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-11%)    GDXJ(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.97% (StdDev 1.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $261.43(-0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $256.75(1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $246.96(5.08%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $14.613b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 4.63% (three month std-dev: 1.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161230

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_30_2016	250.33	246.96	256.75	261.43			259.5(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	35	-10000	1	138	1.01	53%	0.02	46.7	1.94%	0	1.1	87	0
2	Nov_29_2016	250.27	245.95	255.32	261.21			260.41(-0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	44	-10000	7	153	0.75	53%	0.03	45	1.99%	0	1.3	90	0
3	Nov_28_2016	250.19	245.02	253.4	259.33			261.6(-0.77%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	45	-10000	9	154	0.84	53%	0.04	38.8	1.99%	0	1.6	93	0
4	Nov_25_2016	250.08	243.96	251.16	257.02			263.62(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	43	-10000	9	144	0.38	47%	0.08	30.7	2.13%	0	2	97	0
5	Nov_23_2016	249.89	242.68	248.44	254.53			262.02(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	44	-10000	12	139	0.84	49%	0.07	19.8	2.12%	0	2.3	87	0

6	Nov_22_2016	249.72	241.74	245.82	251.45			258.39(2.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	-10000	11	118	1.21	49%	0.04	4.6	2.12%	0	2.3	68	0
7	Nov_21_2016	249.63	241.04	243.21	248.66			251(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	8	94	0.74	46%	0.03	-12.5	2.1%	0	1.5	62	0
8	Nov_18_2016	249.56	241.04	241.38	246.54			250.09(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	9	70	0.47	48%	0.03	-25.3	2.1%	0	1.3	55	0
9	Nov_17_2016	249.49	240.99	239.2	244.3			251.13(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	11	41	0.9	48%	0.04	-39.3	2.12%	0	1.4	58	0
10	Nov_16_2016	249.39	241.02	237.17	241.4			246.62(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	8	12	0.79	48%	0.04	-54.9	2.11%	0	0.7	57	0

11	Nov_15_2016	249.28	241.4	236.29	239.34			244.47(1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	-10000	10	-8	0.9	48%	0.04	-49.4	2.1%	0	0.4	46	0
12	Nov_14_2016	249.19	241.89	235.72	236.97			240.41(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	6	-33	1.25	48%	0.01	-43.6	2.09%	0	-0.2	40	0
13	Nov_11_2016	249.17	242.73	235.88	235.41			238.87(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	9	-53	0.7	48%	-0.02	-36.2	2.09%	0	-0.4	32	0
14	Nov_10_2016	249.21	243.85	236.13	233.27			236.61(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-10000	4	-80	1.13	48%	-0	-29.2	2.09%	0	-0.7	29	0
15	Nov_9_2016	249.22	245.26	236.42	232.27			236.34(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-28	-10000	-2	-106	1.06	48%	-0.02	-21.9	2.09%	0	-0.8	27	0

16	Nov_8_2016	249.26	245.48	237.29	232.86			232.63(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-10000	-6	-117	0.66	48%	-0.03	-19.2	2.08%	0	-1.2	20	0
17	Nov_7_2016	249.34	245.81	238.69	234.37			232.59(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10000	-9	-119	1.2	48%	-0.02	-16.7	2.08%	0	-1.3	20	0
18	Nov_4_2016	249.4	246.31	240.6	236.52			228.17(-1.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-37	-10000	-11	-115	0.94	48%	-0.04	-10.4	2.07%	0	-1.8	10	0
19	Nov_3_2016	249.51	247	243.06	239.35			231.61(-3.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-32	-10000	-7	-108	0.97	48%	-0.03	-2.2	2.06%	0	-1.7	10	0
20	Nov_2_2016	249.58	247.62	245.38	241			239.29(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-32	-10000	-5	-112	0.39	51%	0	5.3	2.03%	0	-0.9	11	0

21	Nov_1_2016	249.57	247.62	247.07	242.32			240.18(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-5	-87	0.48	51%	0.01	7.2	2.04%	0	-0.8	56	0
22	Oct_31_2016	249.54	247.55	248.65	243.68			243.34(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-21	-10000	-7	-61	0.51	51%	0.01	8.7	2.03%	0	-0.5	60	0
23	Oct_28_2016	249.51	247.34	250.16	245.47			242.31(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-8	-32	0.58	51%	0.01	14.2	2.03%	0	-0.5	55	0
24	Oct_27_2016	249.49	247.2	252.19	247.48			239.86(-2.46%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-7	-10000	-11	5	0.81	51%	0	20.5	2.03%	0	-0.8	55	0
25	Oct_26_2016	249.48	247.16	254.83	250.39			245.92(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-8	53	0.62	54%		28.9	2.01%	0	-0.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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